Grayham E. Mizon
Citations
Many of the citations below have been collected in an experimental project, CitEc, where a more detailed citation analysis can be found. These are citations from works listed in RePEc that could be analyzed mechanically. So far, only a minority of all works could be analyzed. See under "Corrections" how you can help improve the citation analysis.Blog mentions
As found by EconAcademics.org, the blog aggregator for Economics research:- David Hendry & Grayham E. Mizon, 2010.
"On the Mathematical Basis of Inter-temporal Optimization,"
Economics Series Working Papers
497, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
Mentioned in:
- Elsewhere
by Robert Vienneau in Thoughts on Economics on 2010-09-18 17:05:00
- Elsewhere
Wikipedia or ReplicationWiki mentions
(Only mentions on Wikipedia that link back to a page on a RePEc service)- Massimiliano Marcellino & Grayham E. Mizon, 2001.
"Small-system modelling of real wages, inflation, unemployment and output per capita in Italy 1970-1994,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 16(3), pages 359-370.
- Massimiliano Marcellino & Grayham E. Mizon, "undated". "Small system modelling of real wages, inflation, unemployment and output per capita in Italy 1970-1994," Working Papers 188, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
Mentioned in:
Working papers
- David F. Hendry & Grayham E. Mizon, 2013.
"Unpredictability in Economic Analysis, Econometric Modeling and Forecasting,"
Economics Papers
2013-W04, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.
- Hendry, David F. & Mizon, Grayham E., 2014. "Unpredictability in economic analysis, econometric modeling and forecasting," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 182(1), pages 186-195.
- David Hendry, 2011. "Unpredictability in Economic Analyis, Econometric Modelling and Forecasting," Economics Series Working Papers 551, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
Cited by:
- Jun, Bogang & Kim, Tai-Yoo, 2015. "A neo-Schumpeterian perspective on the analytical macroeconomic framework: The expanded reproduction system," Hohenheim Discussion Papers in Business, Economics and Social Sciences 11-2015, University of Hohenheim, Faculty of Business, Economics and Social Sciences.
- Andrew Martinez, 2017. "Testing for Differences in Path Forecast Accuracy: Forecast-Error Dynamics Matter," Working Papers (Old Series) 1717, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Emilian DOBRESCU, 2017. "Modelling an Emergent Economy and Parameter Instability Problem," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(2), pages 5-28, June.
- Neil R. Ericsson, 2016.
"Economic Forecasting in Theory and Practice : An Interview with David F. Hendry,"
International Finance Discussion Papers
1184, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Neil R. Ericsson, 2016. "Economic Forecasting in Theory and Practice: An Interview with David F. Hendry," Working Papers 2016-012, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
- Ericsson, Neil R., 2017. "Economic forecasting in theory and practice: An interview with David F. Hendry," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(2), pages 523-542.
- Vugar Ahmadov & Shaig Adigozalov & Salman Huseynov & Fuad Mammadov & Vugar Rahimov, 2016. "Forecasting inflation in post-oil boom years: A case for non-linear models?," Working Papers 1601, Central Bank of Azerbaijan Republic.
- David Hendry & Grayham E. Mizon, 2016.
"Improving the Teaching of Econometrics,"
Economics Series Working Papers
785, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
- David F. Hendry & Grayham E. Mizon, 2016. "Improving the teaching of econometrics," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 4(1), pages 1170096-117, December.
- Katarina Juselius, 2022. "A Theory-Consistent CVAR Scenario for a Monetary Model with Forward-Looking Expectations," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 10(2), pages 1-15, April.
- Neil R. Ericsson, 2017.
"How Biased Are U.S. Government Forecasts of the Federal Debt?,"
Working Papers
2017-001, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
- Ericsson, Neil R., 2017. "How biased are U.S. government forecasts of the federal debt?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(2), pages 543-559.
- Neil R. Ericsson, 2017. "How Biased Are U.S. Government Forecasts of the Federal Debt?," International Finance Discussion Papers 1189, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Jennifer L. Castle & David F. Hendry & Andrew B. Martinez, 2022.
"The historical role of energy in UK inflation and productivity and implications for price inflation in 2022,"
Economics Series Working Papers
983, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
- Jennifer L. Castle & David F. Hendry & Andrew B. Martinez, 2022. "The Historical Role of Energy in UK Inflation and Productivity and Implications for Price Inflation in 2022," Working Papers 2022-001, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
- Alberto Bagnai & Christian Alexander Mongeau Ospina, 2014. "The a/simmetrie annual macroeconometric model of the Italian economy: structure and properties," a/ Working Papers Series 1405, Italian Association for the Study of Economic Asymmetries, Rome (Italy).
- David Hendry & Andrew B. Martinez, 2016.
"Evaluating Multi-Step System Forecasts with Relatively Few Forecast-Error Observations,"
Economics Series Working Papers
784, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
- Hendry, David F. & Martinez, Andrew B., 2017. "Evaluating multi-step system forecasts with relatively few forecast-error observations," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(2), pages 359-372.
- Hendry, David F. & Pretis, Felix, 2023.
"Analysing differences between scenarios,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(2), pages 754-771.
- David F. Hendry & Felix Pretis, 2020. "Analyzing Differences between Scenarios," Economics Papers 2020-W05, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.
- Jose J. Canals-Cerda, 2024. "CECL Implementation and Model Risk in Uncertain Times: An Application to Consumer Finance," Working Papers 24-03, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
- Schulz, Jan & Mayerhoffer, Daniel M., 2021.
"A network approach to consumption,"
BERG Working Paper Series
173, Bamberg University, Bamberg Economic Research Group.
- Jan Schulz & Daniel M. Mayerhoffer, 2022. "A Network Approach to Consumption," Papers 2203.14259, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2022.
- Jennifer Castle & David Hendry, 2016. "Policy Analysis, Forediction, and Forecast Failure," Economics Series Working Papers 809, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
- David F Hendry & John N J Muellbauer, 2018.
"The future of macroeconomics: macro theory and models at the Bank of England,"
Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Oxford University Press and Oxford Review of Economic Policy Limited, vol. 34(1-2), pages 287-328.
- David Hendry & John Muellbauer, 2017. "The future of macroeconomics: Macro theory and models at the Bank of England," Economics Series Working Papers 832, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
- Nicola Giocoli, 2016. "Truth or precision? Some reflections on the economists’ failure to predict the financial crisis," The Review of Austrian Economics, Springer;Society for the Development of Austrian Economics, vol. 29(4), pages 371-386, December.
- Huseynov, Salman & Ahmadov, Vugar & Adigozalov, Shaig, 2014. "Beating a Random Walk: “Hard Times” for Forecasting Inflation in Post-Oil Boom Years?," MPRA Paper 63515, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Muellbauer, John, 2018. "The Future of Macroeconomics," INET Oxford Working Papers 2018-10, Institute for New Economic Thinking at the Oxford Martin School, University of Oxford.
- Jennifer L. Castle & Jurgen A. Doornik & David F. Hendry & Ragnar Nymoen, 2012.
"Mis-specification Testing: Non-Invariance of Expectations Models of Inflation,"
Working Paper series
50_12, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Jennifer L. Castle & Jurgen A. Doornik & David F. Hendry & Ragnar Nymoen, 2014. "Misspecification Testing: Non-Invariance of Expectations Models of Inflation," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(5-6), pages 553-574, August.
- Zhonghua Cheng & Qingfei Xu & Ian Fraser Sanderson, 2021. "China's economic growth and haze pollution control," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 107(3), pages 2653-2669, July.
- Jurgen A. Doornik & David F. Hendry, 2016. "Outliers and Model Selection: Discussion of the Paper by Søren Johansen and Bent Nielsen," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 43(2), pages 360-365, June.
- David F. Hendry, 2020. "A Short History of Macro-econometric Modelling," Economics Papers 2020-W01, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.
- Jennifer L. Castle & Jurgen A. Doornik & David F. Hendry, 2021. "Forecasting Principles from Experience with Forecasting Competitions," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 3(1), pages 1-28, February.
- David Hendry, 2016.
"Deciding Between Alternative Approaches In Macroeconomics,"
Economics Series Working Papers
778, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
- Hendry, David F., 2018. "Deciding between alternative approaches in macroeconomics," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 34(1), pages 119-135.
- Leon Podkaminer, 2021. "Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium: macroeconomics at a dead end," Bank i Kredyt, Narodowy Bank Polski, vol. 52(2), pages 97-122.
- Andrew B. Martinez, 2020.
"Forecast Accuracy Matters for Hurricane Damages,"
Working Papers
2020-003, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
- Andrew B. Martinez, 2020. "Forecast Accuracy Matters for Hurricane Damage," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 8(2), pages 1-24, May.
- Jennifer L. Castle & David F. Hendry & Andrew B. Martinez, 2017. "Evaluating Forecasts, Narratives and Policy Using a Test of Invariance," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 5(3), pages 1-27, September.
- Vugar Ahmadov & Salman Huseynov & Shaig Adigozalov & Fuad Mammadov & Vugar Rahimov, 2018. "Forecasting inflation in post-oil boom years: A case for regime switches?," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 42(2), pages 369-385, April.
- J. James Reade & Sachiko Akie, 2013. "Using Forecasting to Detect Corruption in International Football," Working Papers 2013-005, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
- Bing Chen & Frank P. Stafford, 2019. "A Farewell to ARMs or Ever Changing Market Segments?," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 59(4), pages 649-672, November.
- Cheng, Fenfen & Yang, Shanlin & Zhou, Kaile, 2020. "Quantile partial adjustment model with application to predicting energy demand in China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 191(C).
- Alexander HARIN, 2014. "Partially Unforeseen Events. Corrections and Correcting Formulae for Forecasts," Expert Journal of Economics, Sprint Investify, vol. 2(2), pages 69-79.
- David Hendry & Grayham E. Mizon, 2012.
"Forecasting from Structural Econometric Models,"
Economics Series Working Papers
597, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
Cited by:
- Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2013.
"Konjunkturprognosen heute – Möglichkeiten und Probleme,"
ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 66(01), pages 25-32, January.
- Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2012. "Konjunkturprognosen heute – Möglichkeiten und Probleme," ifo Dresden berichtet, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 19(05), pages 29-37, October.
- Bell, Venetia & Co, Lai Wah & Stone, Sophie & Wallis, gavin`, 2014. "Nowcasting UK GDP growth," Bank of England Quarterly Bulletin, Bank of England, vol. 54(1), pages 58-68.
- Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2013.
"Konjunkturprognosen heute – Möglichkeiten und Probleme,"
ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 66(01), pages 25-32, January.
- David Hendry & Grayham E. Mizon, 2010.
"On the Mathematical Basis of Inter-temporal Optimization,"
Economics Series Working Papers
497, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
Cited by:
- Alan Kirman, 2014.
"Is it rational to have rational expectations?,"
Mind & Society: Cognitive Studies in Economics and Social Sciences, Springer;Fondazione Rosselli, vol. 13(1), pages 29-48, June.
- Alan Kirman, 2014. "Is it rational to have rational expectations?," Post-Print hal-01463917, HAL.
- David Hendry, 2010. "Climate Change: Lessons for our Future from the Distant Past," Economics Series Working Papers 485, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
- Eugenio Caverzasi & Alberto Russo, 2018.
"Toward a New Microfounded Macroeconomics in the Wake of the Crisis,"
LEM Papers Series
2018/23, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy.
- Eugenio Caverzasi & Alberto Russo, 2018. "Toward a new microfounded macroeconomics in the wake of the crisis," Industrial and Corporate Change, Oxford University Press and the Associazione ICC, vol. 27(6), pages 999-1014.
- Eugenio Caverzasi & Alberto Russo, 2018. "Toward a new microfounded macroeconomics in the wake of the crisis," Working Papers PKWP1807, Post Keynesian Economics Society (PKES).
- Giovanni Dosi & Mauro Napoletano & Andrea Roventini & Joseph Stiglitz & Tania Treibich, 2020.
"Rational heuristics? Expectations and behaviors in evolving economies with heterogeneous interacting agents,"
SciencePo Working papers Main
halshs-03046977, HAL.
- Giovanni Dosi & Mauro Napoletano & Andrea Roventini & Joseph Stiglitz & Tania Treibich, 2017. "Rational Heuristics ? Expectations and behaviors in Evolving Economies with Heterogeneous interacting agents," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03455368, HAL.
- Giovanni Dosi & Mauro Napoletano & Andrea Roventini & Joseph Stiglitz & Tania Treibich, 2020. "Rational heuristics? Expectations and behaviors in evolving economies with heterogeneous interacting agents," Post-Print halshs-03046977, HAL.
- Giovanni Dosi & Mauro Napoletano & Andrea Roventini & Joseph Stiglitz & Tania Treibich, 2017. "Rational Heuristics ? Expectations and behaviors in Evolving Economies with Heterogeneous interacting agents," Working Papers hal-03455368, HAL.
- Giovanni Dosi & Mauro Napoletano & Andrea Roventini & Joseph E. Stiglitz & Tania Treibich, 2017. "Rational Heuristics? Expectations and Behaviors in Evolving Economies with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents," LEM Papers Series 2017/31, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy.
- Giovanni Dosi & Mauro Napoletano & Andrea Roventini & Joseph Stiglitz & Tania Treibich, 2017. "Rational Heuristics ? Expectations and behaviours in evolving economies with heterogeneous interacting agents," Documents de Travail de l'OFCE 2017-32, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE).
- Giovanni Dosi & Mauro Napoletano & Andrea Roventini & Joseph E. Stiglitz & Tania Treibich, 2020. "Rational Heuristics? Expectations and Behaviors in Evolving Economies with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents," NBER Working Papers 26922, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Giovanni Dosi & Mauro Napoletano & Andrea Roventini & Joseph E. Stiglitz & Tania Treibich, 2020. "Rational Heuristics? Expectations And Behaviors In Evolving Economies With Heterogeneous Interacting Agents," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 58(3), pages 1487-1516, July.
- André K. Anundsen & Ragnar Nymoen & Tord S. Krogh & Jon Vislie, 2012. "The macroeconomics of Trygve Haavelmo," Nordic Journal of Political Economy, Nordic Journal of Political Economy, vol. 37, pages 1-2.
- Ermanno Catullo & Mauro Gallegati & Alberto Russo, 2020.
"Forecasting in a complex environment: Machine learning sales expectations in a Stock Flow Consistent Agent-Based simulation model,"
Working Papers
2020/17, Economics Department, Universitat Jaume I, Castellón (Spain).
- Catullo, Ermanno & Gallegati, Mauro & Russo, Alberto, 2022. "Forecasting in a complex environment: Machine learning sales expectations in a stock flow consistent agent-based simulation model," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
- Davide Bazzana, 2020. "Ageing population and pension system sustainability: reforms and redistributive implications," Economia Politica: Journal of Analytical and Institutional Economics, Springer;Fondazione Edison, vol. 37(3), pages 971-992, October.
- Jennifer L. Castle & Jurgen A. Doornik & David F. Hendry & Ragnar Nymoen, 2012.
"Mis-specification Testing: Non-Invariance of Expectations Models of Inflation,"
Working Paper series
50_12, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Jennifer L. Castle & Jurgen A. Doornik & David F. Hendry & Ragnar Nymoen, 2014. "Misspecification Testing: Non-Invariance of Expectations Models of Inflation," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(5-6), pages 553-574, August.
- Kukacka, Jiri & Sacht, Stephen, 2023.
"Estimation of heuristic switching in behavioral macroeconomic models,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
- Kukacka, Jiri & Sacht, Stephen, 2021. "Estimation of Heuristic Switching in Behavioral Macroeconomic Models," Economics Working Papers 2021-01, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics.
- Giovanni Dosi & Andrea Roventini, 2019.
"More is different ... and complex! the case for agent-based macroeconomics,"
Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, vol. 29(1), pages 1-37, March.
- Giovanni Dosi & Andrea Roventini, 2019. "More is Different ... and Complex! The Case for Agent-Based Macroeconomics," LEM Papers Series 2019/01, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy.
- De Grauwe, Paul & Macchiarelli, Corrado, 2015.
"Animal spirits and credit cycles,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 95-117.
- Paul De Grauwe & Corrado Macchiarelli, 2013. "Animal Spirits and Credit Cycles," CESifo Working Paper Series 4480, CESifo.
- de Grauwe, Paul & Macchiarelli, Corrado, 2015. "Animal spirits and credit cycles," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 63984, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Jennifer Castle & David Hendry & Oleg Kitov, 2013. "Forecasting and Nowcasting Macroeconomic Variables: A Methodological Overview," Economics Series Working Papers 674, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
- Adriana Cornea & Cars Hommes & Domenico Massaro, 2013.
"Behavioral Heterogeneity in U.S. Inflation Dynamics,"
Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers
13-015/II, Tinbergen Institute.
- Adriana Cornea-Madeira & Cars Hommes & Domenico Massaro, 2019. "Behavioral Heterogeneity in U.S. Inflation Dynamics," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(2), pages 288-300, April.
- Cornea, A. & Hommes, C.H. & Massaro, D., 2012. "Behavioral Heterogeneity in U.S. Inflation Dynamics," CeNDEF Working Papers 12-03, Universiteit van Amsterdam, Center for Nonlinear Dynamics in Economics and Finance.
- David Hendry & Grayham E. Mizon, 2012. "Forecasting from Structural Econometric Models," Economics Series Working Papers 597, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
- Kevin Hoover & Katarina Juselius, 2012. "Experiments, Passive Observation and Scenario Analysis: Trygve Haavelmo and the Cointegrated Vector Autoregression," Discussion Papers 12-16, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics.
- Alan Kirman, 2016. "Complexity and Economic Policy: A Paradigm Shift or a Change in Perspective? A Review Essay on David Colander and Roland Kupers's Complexity and the Art of Public Policy," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 54(2), pages 534-572, June.
- Alan Kirman, 2014.
"Is it rational to have rational expectations?,"
Mind & Society: Cognitive Studies in Economics and Social Sciences, Springer;Fondazione Rosselli, vol. 13(1), pages 29-48, June.
- David Hendry & Grayham E. Mizon, 2010.
"Econometric Modelling of Changing Time Series,"
Economics Series Working Papers
475, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
Cited by:
- Yulia Tyumeneva & Yulia Kuzmina, 2012. "The Effect of One Extra Year of Schooling on Pisa Results: a Case of Countries with Different Tracking Systems," HSE Working papers WP BRP 08/EDU/2012, National Research University Higher School of Economics.
- Paul Plummer & Matthew Tonts, 2013. "Do History and Geography Matter? Regional Unemployment Dynamics in a Resource-Dependent Economy: Evidence from Western Australia, 1984–2011," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 45(12), pages 2919-2938, December.
- Pinto, Hugo, 2011. "The role of econometrics in economic science: An essay about the monopolization of economic methodology by econometric methods," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics (formerly The Journal of Socio-Economics), Elsevier, vol. 40(4), pages 436-443, August.
- David Hendry & Maozu Lu & Grayham E. Mizon, 2001.
"Model Identification and Non-unique Structure,"
Economics Papers
2002-W10, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.
Cited by:
- Matteo Richiardi, 2003.
"The Promises and Perils of Agent-Based Computational Economics,"
LABORatorio R. Revelli Working Papers Series
29, LABORatorio R. Revelli, Centre for Employment Studies.
- Matteo Richiardi, 2004. "The Promises and Perils of Agent-Based Computational Economics," Computational Economics 0401001, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Mark P. Taylor, 2004. "Estimating structural macroeconomic shocks through long-run recursive restrictions on vector autoregressive models: the problem of identification," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 9(3), pages 229-244.
- Matteo Richiardi, 2003.
"The Promises and Perils of Agent-Based Computational Economics,"
LABORatorio R. Revelli Working Papers Series
29, LABORatorio R. Revelli, Centre for Employment Studies.
- Neil R. Ericsson & Esfandiar Maasoumi & Grayham E. Mizon, 2001.
"A retrospective on J. Denis Sargan and his contributions to econometrics,"
International Finance Discussion Papers
700, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
Cited by:
- David F. Hendry & Massimiliano Marcellino & Chiara Monfardini, 2008. "Foreword," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 70(s1), pages 711-714, December.
- Ragnar Nymoen, 2017. "Between Institutions and Global Forces: Norwegian Wage Formation Since Industrialisation," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 5(1), pages 1-54, January.
- David Hendry & Grayham E. Mizon, 2001.
"Forecasting in the Presence of Structural Breaks and Policy Regime Shifts,"
Economics Papers
2002-W12, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.
Cited by:
- Andrew B. Martinez, 2011. "Comparing Government Forecasts of the United States’ Gross Federal Debt," Working Papers 2011-002, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
- Martinez, Andrew B., 2015.
"How good are US government forecasts of the federal debt?,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(2), pages 312-324.
- Andrew Martinez, 2014. "How Good Are U.S. Government Forecasts of the Federal Debt?," Economics Series Working Papers 727, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
- J. M. Kargbo, 2007. "Forecasting agricultural exports and imports in South Africa," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 39(16), pages 2069-2084.
- Krkoska, Libor & Teksoz, Utku, 2007. "Accuracy of GDP growth forecasts for transition countries: Ten years of forecasting assessed," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 23(1), pages 29-45.
- Massimiliano Marcellino & Grayham E. Mizon, 2000.
"Wages, Prices, Productivity, Inflation and Unemployment in Italy 1970-1994,"
Econometric Society World Congress 2000 Contributed Papers
0911, Econometric Society.
Cited by:
- Neil R. Ericsson & David F. Hendry & Grayham E. Mizon, 1998.
"Exogeneity, cointegration, and economic policy analysis,"
International Finance Discussion Papers
616, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Ericsson, Neil R & Hendry, David F & Mizon, Grayham E, 1998. "Exogeneity, Cointegration, and Economic Policy Analysis," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 16(4), pages 370-387, October.
Cited by:
- Chebbi, Houssem Eddine & Lachaal, Lassaad, 2007.
"Agricultural sector and economic growth in Tunisia: Evidence from co-integration and error correction mechanism,"
MPRA Paper
9101, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Chebbi, Houssem Eddine & Lachaal, Lassaad, 2007. "Agricultural Sector and Economic Growth in Tunisia: Evidence from Co-integration and Error Correction Mechanism," 103rd Seminar, April 23-25, 2007, Barcelona, Spain 9416, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
- Batini, Nicoletta & Harrison, Richard & Millard, Stephen P., 2003.
"Monetary policy rules for an open economy,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 27(11), pages 2059-2094.
- Nicoletta Batini & Richard Harrison & Stephen P Millard, 2001. "Monetary policy rules for an open economy," Bank of England working papers 149, Bank of England.
- Nicoletta Batini & Richard Harrison & Stephen Millard, 2001. "Monetary policy rules for an open economy," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue Mar.
- Batini, Nicoletta & Harrison, Richard & Millard, Stephen P., 2003. "Monetary policy rules for an open economy," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 27(11-12), pages 2059-2094, September.
- Nicoletta Batini & Stephen P. Millard & Richard Harrison, 2000. "Monetary Policy Rules For An Open Economy," Computing in Economics and Finance 2000 361, Society for Computational Economics.
- Neil R. Ericsson & Erica L. Reisman, 2012.
"Evaluating a Global Vector Autoregression for Forecasting,"
Working Papers
2012-006, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
- Neil R. Ericsson & Erica L. Reisman, 2012. "Evaluating a global vector autoregression for forecasting," International Finance Discussion Papers 1056, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Neil Ericsson & Erica Reisman, 2012. "Evaluating a Global Vector Autoregression for Forecasting," International Advances in Economic Research, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 18(3), pages 247-258, August.
- Jennifer Castle & Takamitsu Kurita, 2019. "Modelling and forecasting the dollar-pound exchange rate in the presence of structural breaks," Economics Series Working Papers 866, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
- Karimova, Amira & Simsek, Esra & Orhan, Mehmet, 2020. "Policy implications of the Lucas Critique empirically tested along the global financial crisis," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 42(1), pages 153-172.
- Yang, Yung Y. & Yi, Myung Hoon, 2008. "Does financial development cause economic growth? Implication for policy in Korea," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 30(5), pages 827-840.
- Keblowski, Piotr & Welfe, Aleksander, 2010. "Estimation of the equilibrium exchange rate: The CHEER approach," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(7), pages 1385-1397, November.
- Naveed H. Naqvi, 2002. "Crowding-in or Crowding-out? Modelling the Relationship between Public and Private Fixed Capital Formation Using Co-integration Analysis: The Case of Pakistan 1964-2000," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 41(3), pages 255-276.
- Budina, Nina & Maliszewski, Wojciech & de Menil, Georges & Turlea, Geomina, 2006.
"Money, inflation and output in Romania, 1992-2000,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 25(2), pages 330-347, March.
- Nina Budina & Wojtek Maliszewski & Georges de Menil & Geomina Turlea, 2002. "Money, Inflation and output in Romania, 1992-2000," DELTA Working Papers 2002-15, DELTA (Ecole normale supérieure).
- Nina Budina & Wojciech Maliszewski & Georges de Menil & Geomina Turlea, 2006. "Money, inflation and output in Romania, 1992-2000," Post-Print halshs-00754167, HAL.
- Ivars Tillers, 2004. "Money Demand in Latvia," Working Papers 2004/03, Latvijas Banka.
- Jarko Fidrmuc & Reiner Martin, 2011. "FDI, Trade and Growth in CESEE Countries," Focus on European Economic Integration, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue 1, pages 70-89.
- Augustine Arize & John Malindretos & Kiseok Nam, 2005. "Inflation and Structural Change in 50 Developing Countries," Atlantic Economic Journal, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 33(4), pages 461-471, December.
- Christian Müller-Kademann, 2009. "Biased Estimation in a Simple Extension of a Standard Error Correction Model," Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics (SJES), Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics (SSES), vol. 145(I), pages 37-60, March.
- Robert Darko Osei & Oliver Morrissey & Tim Lloyd, 2005.
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"Small system modelling of real wages, inflation, unemployment and output per capita in Italy 1970-1994,"
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188, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
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Economics and Quantitative Methods
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- Rita Duarte & Carlos Marques, 2013. "The dynamic effects of shocks to wages and prices in the United States and the Euro Area," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 44(2), pages 613-638, April.
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"A Markov-Switching Vector Equilibrium Correction Model of the UK Labour Market,"
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185, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
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"A comparison of methods for the construction of composite coincident and leading indexes for the UK,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 23(2), pages 219-236.
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"Regime Switching Model of US Crude Oil and Stock Market Prices: 1859 to 2013,"
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2014-26, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics.
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- Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller, 2014. "Regime Switching Model of US Crude Oil and Stock Market Prices: 1859 to 2013," Working Papers 201429, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
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"A regime switching long memory model for electricity prices,"
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"The Role of Regime Shifts in the Term Structure of Interest Rates: Further Evidence from an Emerging Market,"
Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(S5), pages 48-63, November.
- Saltoglu, Burak & Yazgan, Ege, 2009. "The role of Regime Shifts in the Term Structure of Interest Rates: Further evidence from an Emerging Market," MPRA Paper 18741, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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"Interest Rate Pass-Through in the Euro Area during the Financial Crisis: a Multivariate Regime-Switching Approach,"
Quaderni del Dipartimento di Economia, Finanza e Statistica
107/2012, Università di Perugia, Dipartimento Economia.
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"Asimetrías en la demanda por trabajo en Colombia: el papel del ciclo económico,"
Borradores de Economia
689, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
- Jorge Andrés Tamayo Castaño, 2012. "Asimetrías en la demanda por trabajo en Colombia: el papel del ciclo económico," Borradores de Economia 9286, Banco de la Republica.
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"The influence of Brazilian exports on price transmission processes in the coffee sector: A Markov-switching approach,"
DARE Discussion Papers
1904, Georg-August University of Göttingen, Department of Agricultural Economics and Rural Development (DARE).
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"Current account determinants and external sustainability in periods of structural change,"
Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 45(1), pages 71-95, February.
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"Business Cycle in the Industrial Production of Brazilian States,"
Anais do XXXI Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 31st Brazilian Economics Meeting]
e75, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
- Marcelo Savino Portugal & Igor Alexandre Clemente de Morais, 2004. "Business Cycle In The Industrial Production Of Brazilian States," Econometric Society 2004 Latin American Meetings 23, Econometric Society.
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"Stock returns and inflation in Greece: A Markov switching approach,"
Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 15(1), pages 76-94.
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- David F. Hendry & Massimiliano Marcellino & Chiara Monfardini, 2008. "Foreword," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 70(s1), pages 711-714, December.
- PeterTillmann, 2004. "Cointegration and Regime-Switching Risk Premia in the U.S. Term Structure of Interest Rates," Computing in Economics and Finance 2004 53, Society for Computational Economics.
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- Camacho, Maximo, 2005. "Markov-switching stochastic trends and economic fluctuations," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 29(1-2), pages 135-158, January.
- Evangelia Papapetrou, 2013. "Oil prices and economic activity in Greece," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 46(4), pages 385-397, November.
- Brümmer, Bernhard & von Cramon-Taubadel, Stephan & Zorya, Sergiy, 2006. "Vertical Price Transmission between Wheat and Flour in Ukraine: A Markov-Switching Vector Error Correction Approach," 2006 Annual Meeting, August 12-18, 2006, Queensland, Australia 25575, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
- Jamel JOUINI, 2018. "Measuring the Macroeconomic Impacts of Fiscal Policy Shocks in the Saudi Economy : A Markov Switching Approach," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(4), pages 55-70, December.
- Ihle, Rico & von Cramon-Taubadel, Stephan, 2008. "A Comparison of Threshold Cointegration and Markov-Switching Vector Error Correction Models in Price Transmission Analysis," 2008 Conference, April 21-22, 2008, St. Louis, Missouri 37603, NCCC-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
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"Directional Congestion and Regime Switching in a Long Memory Model for Electricity Prices,"
Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 10(3), pages 1-24, September.
- Haldrup; Niels & Morten Oerregaard Nielsen, 2005. "Directional Congestion and Regime Switching in a Long Memory Model for Electricity Prices," Economics Working Papers 2005-18, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Manera, Matteo & Cologni, Alessandro, 2006. "The Asymmetric Effects of Oil Shocks on Output Growth: A Markov-Switching Analysis," International Energy Markets Working Papers 12121, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM).
- Ming‐Yuan Leon Li, 2009. "The dynamics of the relationship between spot and futures markets under high and low variance regimes," Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 25(6), pages 696-718, November.
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"The Long-run Relationship of Gold and Silver and the Influence of Bubbles and Financial Crises,"
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172, Finance Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney.
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- Troncoso Sepúlveda, Ricardo, 2019. "Transmisión de los precios del arroz en Colombia y el mundo," Revista Lecturas de Economía, Universidad de Antioquia, CIE, issue 91, pages 151-179, July.
- Massimiliano Marcellino & Grayham E. Mizon, "undated".
"Small system modelling of real wages, inflation, unemployment and output per capita in Italy 1970-1994,"
Working Papers
188, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
- Massimiliano Marcellino & Grayham E. Mizon, 2001. "Small-system modelling of real wages, inflation, unemployment and output per capita in Italy 1970-1994," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 16(3), pages 359-370.
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"Predicting the contribution of artificial intelligence to unemployment rates: an artificial neural network approach,"
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- Theis Lange, 2009. "First and second order non-linear cointegration models," CREATES Research Papers 2009-04, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Dennis Kristensen & Anders Rahbek, 2007. "Likelihood-Based Inference in Nonlinear Error-Correction Models," CREATES Research Papers 2007-38, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Tamayo Castaño, Jorge Andrés, 2012. "Asimetrías en la demanda por trabajo en Colombia : el papel del ciclo económico," Chapters, in: Arango-Thomas, Luis Eduardo & Hamann-Salcedo, Franz Alonso (ed.), El mercado de trabajo en Colombia : hechos, tendencias e instituciones, chapter 12, pages 487-542, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
- Costas Milas & Phil Rothman, 2005. "Multivariate STAR Unemployment Rate Forecasts," Econometrics 0502010, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Garcés Díaz Daniel, 2017. "Explaining Inflation with a Classical Dichotomy Model and Switching Monetary Regimes: Mexico 1932-2013," Working Papers 2017-20, Banco de México.
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"The monetary model strikes back: Evidence from the world,"
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- Chevallier, Julien, 2011. "Evaluating the carbon-macroeconomy relationship: Evidence from threshold vector error-correction and Markov-switching VAR models," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 28(6), pages 2634-2656.
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- José Cancelo, 2007. "Cyclical Asymmetries in Unemployment Rates: International Evidence," International Advances in Economic Research, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 13(3), pages 334-346, August.
- Maximo Camacho, 2002. "Nonlinear stochastic trends and economic fluctuations," Computing in Economics and Finance 2002 274, Society for Computational Economics.
- Declerck , Francis & Indjehagopian , Jean-Pierre & Bellocq , Flavien, 2015. "Relation entre le prix du pétrole et les cours boursiers des grandes compagnies pétrolières mondiales," ESSEC Working Papers WP1504, ESSEC Research Center, ESSEC Business School.
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"Modelling shifts in the wage-price and unemployment-inflation relationships in Italy, Poland, and the UK,"
Working Papers
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Cited by:
- Massimiliano Marcellino & Grayham E. Mizon & Hans-Martin Krolzig, 2002.
"A Markov-switching vector equilibrium correction model of the UK labour market,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 27(2), pages 233-254.
- Hans-Martin Krolzig & Massimiliano Marcellino & Grayham E. Mizon, "undated". "A Markov-Switching Vector Equilibrium Correction Model of the UK Labour Market," Working Papers 185, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
- David F. Hendry & Massimiliano Marcellino & Chiara Monfardini, 2008. "Foreword," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 70(s1), pages 711-714, December.
- Ian Babetskii, 2007.
"Aggregate Wage Flexibility in Selected New EU Member States,"
CESifo Working Paper Series
1916, CESifo.
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- Adriatik Hoxha, 2016. "The Switch to Near-Rational Wage-Price Setting Behaviour: The Case of United Kingdom," EuroEconomica, Danubius University of Galati, issue 1(35), pages 127-148, may.
- Adriatik Hoxha, 2016. "The Wage-Price Setting Behavior: Comparing The Evidence from EU28 and EMU," Romanian Economic Journal, Department of International Business and Economics from the Academy of Economic Studies Bucharest, vol. 19(60), pages 61-102, June.
- Rita Duarte, 2009.
"The dynamic effects of shocks to wages and prices in the United States and the Euro Area,"
Working Papers
w200915, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department.
- Marques, Carlos Robalo & Duarte, Rita, 2009. "The dynamic effects of shocks to wages and prices in the United States and the euro area," Working Paper Series 1067, European Central Bank.
- Rita Duarte & Carlos Marques, 2013. "The dynamic effects of shocks to wages and prices in the United States and the Euro Area," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 44(2), pages 613-638, April.
- Ana María Iregui & Jesús Otero, 2002.
"On The Dynamics Of Unemployment In A Developing Economy: Colombia,"
Borradores de Economia
3298, Banco de la Republica.
- Ana María Iregui & Jesús Otero, 2002. "On the Dynamics of Unemployment in a Developing Economy: Colombia," Borradores de Economia 208, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
- Ana Maria Iregui & Jesus Otero, 2003. "On the dynamics of unemployment in a developing economy: Colombia," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(14), pages 895-898.
- Jolejole-Foreman, Maria Christina & Mallory, Mindy L. & Baylis, Katherine R., 2013. "Impact of Wheat and Rice Export Ban on Indian Market Integration," 2013 Annual Meeting, August 4-6, 2013, Washington, D.C. 150595, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
- Silvia Fedeli & Francesco Forte, 2009. "The Laffer effects of a program of deregulation cum detaxation: the Italian reform of labour contracts in the period 1997–2001," European Journal of Law and Economics, Springer, vol. 27(3), pages 211-232, June.
- Binotti, Annetta Maria & Ghiani, Enrico, 2008. "Changes in aggregate supply conditions in Italy: A small econometric model and its policy implications," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 30(6), pages 1017-1039.
Articles
- Hendry, David F. & Mizon, Grayham E., 2014.
"Unpredictability in economic analysis, econometric modeling and forecasting,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 182(1), pages 186-195.
See citations under working paper version above.
- David F. Hendry & Grayham E. Mizon, 2013. "Unpredictability in Economic Analysis, Econometric Modeling and Forecasting," Economics Papers 2013-W04, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.
- David Hendry, 2011. "Unpredictability in Economic Analyis, Econometric Modelling and Forecasting," Economics Series Working Papers 551, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
- Hendry David F & Mizon Grayham E, 2011.
"Econometric Modelling of Time Series with Outlying Observations,"
Journal of Time Series Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 3(1), pages 1-26, February.
Cited by:
- Calvert Jump, Robert & Kohler, Karsten, 2022.
"A history of aggregate demand and supply shocks for the United Kingdom, 1900 to 2016,"
Explorations in Economic History, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
- Jump, Robert Calvert & Kohler, Karsten, 2020. "A history of aggregate demand and supply shocks for the United Kingdom, 1900 to 2016," Greenwich Papers in Political Economy 30959, University of Greenwich, Greenwich Political Economy Research Centre.
- Marczak, Martyna & Proietti, Tommaso, 2015.
"Outlier Detection in Structural Time Series Models: the Indicator Saturation Approach,"
VfS Annual Conference 2015 (Muenster): Economic Development - Theory and Policy
113137, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Marczak, Martyna & Proietti, Tommaso, 2016. "Outlier detection in structural time series models: The indicator saturation approach," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(1), pages 180-202.
- Martyna Marczak & Tommaso Proietti, 2014. "Outlier Detection in Structural Time Series Models: the Indicator Saturation Approach," CREATES Research Papers 2014-20, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Marczak, Martyna & Proietti, Tommaso, 2014. "Outlier detection in structural time series models: The indicator saturation approach," FZID Discussion Papers 90-2014, University of Hohenheim, Center for Research on Innovation and Services (FZID).
- Martyna Marczak & Tommaso Proietti, 2014. "Outlier Detection in Structural Time Series Models: the Indicator Saturation Approach," CEIS Research Paper 325, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 08 Aug 2014.
- Jennifer L. Castle & Jurgen A. Doornik & David F. Hendry & Felix Pretis, 2015. "Detecting Location Shifts during Model Selection by Step-Indicator Saturation," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 3(2), pages 1-25, April.
- Hendry, David F. & Mizon, Grayham E., 2014.
"Unpredictability in economic analysis, econometric modeling and forecasting,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 182(1), pages 186-195.
- David F. Hendry & Grayham E. Mizon, 2013. "Unpredictability in Economic Analysis, Econometric Modeling and Forecasting," Economics Papers 2013-W04, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.
- David Hendry, 2011. "Unpredictability in Economic Analyis, Econometric Modelling and Forecasting," Economics Series Working Papers 551, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
- David Hendry & Grayham E. Mizon, 2016.
"Improving the Teaching of Econometrics,"
Economics Series Working Papers
785, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
- David F. Hendry & Grayham E. Mizon, 2016. "Improving the teaching of econometrics," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 4(1), pages 1170096-117, December.
- Søren Johansen & Bent Nielsen, 2014.
"Outlier detection algorithms for least squares time series regression,"
CREATES Research Papers
2014-39, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Søren Johansen & Bent Nielsen, 2014. "Outlier detection algorithms for least squares time series regression," Economics Papers 2014-W04, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.
- D. R. Cox, 2013. "A return to an old paper: ‘Tests of separate families of hypotheses’," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 75(2), pages 207-215, March.
- Panday, Anjan, 2015. "Impact of monetary policy on exchange market pressure: The case of Nepal," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 59-71.
- Jennifer L. Castle & Jurgen A. Doornik & David F. Hendry, 2013.
"Model Selection in Equations with Many ‘Small’ Effects,"
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 75(1), pages 6-22, February.
- Jennifer L. Castle & Jurgen A. Doornik & David F. Hendry, 2012. "Model Selection in Equations with Many 'Small' Effects," Working Paper series 53_12, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Jennifer Castle & David Hendry, 2011. "Model Selection in Equations with Many 'Small' Effects," Economics Series Working Papers 528, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
- Barlow, David, 2023. "The stability of UK households Divisia money balances," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 451-459.
- Lukasz Gatarek & Søren Johansen, 2014.
"Optimal hedging with the cointegrated vector autoregressive model,"
Discussion Papers
14-22, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics.
- Søren Johansen & Bent Nielsen, 2014. "Optimal hedging with the cointegrated vector autoregressive model," Discussion Papers 14-23, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics.
- Søren Johansen & Lukasz Gatarek, 2014. "Optimal hedging with the cointegrated vector autoregressive model," CREATES Research Papers 2014-40, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- James A. Duffy & David F. Hendry, 2017.
"The impact of integrated measurement errors on modeling long-run macroeconomic time series,"
Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(6-9), pages 568-587, October.
- James Duffy & David Hendry, 2017. "The Impact of Integrated Measurement Errors on Modelling Long-run Macroeconomic Time Series," Economics Series Working Papers 818, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
- Jiao, Xiyu & Pretis, Felix & Schwarz, Moritz, 2024. "Testing for coefficient distortion due to outliers with an application to the economic impacts of climate change," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 239(1).
- David F Hendry & John N J Muellbauer, 2018.
"The future of macroeconomics: macro theory and models at the Bank of England,"
Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Oxford University Press and Oxford Review of Economic Policy Limited, vol. 34(1-2), pages 287-328.
- David Hendry & John Muellbauer, 2017. "The future of macroeconomics: Macro theory and models at the Bank of England," Economics Series Working Papers 832, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
- David Hendry & Felix Pretis, 2011.
"Anthropogenic Influences on Atmospheric CO2,"
Economics Series Working Papers
584, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
- David F. Hendry & Felix Pretis, 2013. "Anthropogenic influences on atmospheric CO2," Chapters, in: Roger Fouquet (ed.), Handbook on Energy and Climate Change, chapter 12, pages 287-326, Edward Elgar Publishing.
- Jurgen A. Doornik & David F. Hendry, 2016. "Outliers and Model Selection: Discussion of the Paper by Søren Johansen and Bent Nielsen," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 43(2), pages 360-365, June.
- Jennifer Castle & David Hendry & Oleg Kitov, 2013. "Forecasting and Nowcasting Macroeconomic Variables: A Methodological Overview," Economics Series Working Papers 674, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
- Javid, Muhammad & Khan, Farzana Naheed & Arif, Umaima, 2022. "Income and price elasticities of natural gas demand in Pakistan: A disaggregated analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
- Castle, Jennifer L. & Doornik, Jurgen A. & Hendry, David F., 2021.
"Modelling non-stationary ‘Big Data’,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(4), pages 1556-1575.
- Jennifer Castle & Jurgen Doornik & David Hendry, 2020. "Modelling Non-stationary 'Big Data'," Economics Series Working Papers 905, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
- David Hendry & Grayham E. Mizon, 2012. "Forecasting from Structural Econometric Models," Economics Series Working Papers 597, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
- Jennifer L. Castle & David F. Hendry & Andrew B. Martinez, 2017. "Evaluating Forecasts, Narratives and Policy Using a Test of Invariance," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 5(3), pages 1-27, September.
- Alexander Herzog-Stein & Camille Logeay, 2019. "Short-Term macroeconomic evaluation of the German minimum wage with a VAR/VECM," IMK Working Paper 197-2019, IMK at the Hans Boeckler Foundation, Macroeconomic Policy Institute.
- David Hendry & Jurgen A. Doornik & Felix Pretis, 2013. "Step-indicator Saturation," Economics Series Working Papers 658, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
- Castle, Jennifer L. & Doornik, Jurgen A. & Hendry, David F., 2023.
"Robust Discovery of Regression Models,"
Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 31-51.
- Jennifer L. Castle & Jurgen A. Doornik & David F. Hendry, 2020. "Robust Discovery of Regression Models," Economics Papers 2020-W04, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.
- Rocha, Jordano Vieira & Pereira, Pedro L. Valls, 2015. "Forecast comparison with nonlinear methods for Brazilian industrial production," Textos para discussão 397, FGV EESP - Escola de Economia de São Paulo, Fundação Getulio Vargas (Brazil).
- Calvert Jump, Robert & Kohler, Karsten, 2022.
"A history of aggregate demand and supply shocks for the United Kingdom, 1900 to 2016,"
Explorations in Economic History, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
- Maozu Lu & Grayham E. Mizon & Chiara Monfardini, 2008.
"Simulation Encompassing: Testing Non‐nested Hypotheses,"
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 70(s1), pages 781-806, December.
Cited by:
- Luigi Ermini & David F. Hendry, 2008.
"Log Income vs. Linear Income: An Application of the Encompassing Principle,"
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 70(s1), pages 807-827, December.
- Luigi Ermini & David F. Hendry, 1991. "Log Income vs. Linear Income: An Application of the Encompassing Principle," Working Papers 199111, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Economics.
- David F. Hendry & Massimiliano Marcellino & Chiara Monfardini, 2008. "Foreword," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 70(s1), pages 711-714, December.
- Aris Spanos & David F. Hendry & J. James Reade, 2008. "Linear vs. Log‐linear Unit‐Root Specification: An Application of Mis‐specification Encompassing," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 70(s1), pages 829-847, December.
- Christophe Bontemps & Grayham E. Mizon, 2008. "Encompassing: Concepts and Implementation," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 70(s1), pages 721-750, December.
- Luigi Ermini & David F. Hendry, 2008.
"Log Income vs. Linear Income: An Application of the Encompassing Principle,"
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 70(s1), pages 807-827, December.
- David F. Hendry & Massimiliano Marcellino & Grayham E. Mizon, 2008.
"Guest Editors’ Introduction to Special Issue on Encompassing,"
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 70(s1), pages 715-719, December.
Cited by:
- David Hendry & Grayham E. Mizon, 2016.
"Improving the Teaching of Econometrics,"
Economics Series Working Papers
785, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
- David F. Hendry & Grayham E. Mizon, 2016. "Improving the teaching of econometrics," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 4(1), pages 1170096-117, December.
- D. R. Cox, 2013. "A return to an old paper: ‘Tests of separate families of hypotheses’," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 75(2), pages 207-215, March.
- David Hendry & Grayham E. Mizon, 2016.
"Improving the Teaching of Econometrics,"
Economics Series Working Papers
785, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
- Christophe Bontemps & Grayham E. Mizon, 2008.
"Encompassing: Concepts and Implementation,"
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 70(s1), pages 721-750, December.
Cited by:
- Christensen, Garret & Miguel, Edward & Sturdy, Jennifer, 2017.
"Transparency, Reproducibility, and the Credibility of Economics Research,"
MetaArXiv
9a3rw, Center for Open Science.
- Garret Christensen & Edward Miguel, 2018. "Transparency, Reproducibility, and the Credibility of Economics Research," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 56(3), pages 920-980, September.
- Garret S. Christensen & Edward Miguel, 2016. "Transparency, Reproducibility, and the Credibility of Economics Research," NBER Working Papers 22989, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Christensen, Garret & Miguel, Edward, 2017. "Transparency, Reproducibility, and the Credibility of Economics Research," Department of Economics, Working Paper Series qt52h6x1cq, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley.
- Josh Ryan-Collins, 2015. "Is Monetary Financing Inflationary? A Case Study of the Canadian Economy, 1935-75," Economics Working Paper Archive wp_848, Levy Economics Institute.
- Neil R. Ericsson, 2016.
"Economic Forecasting in Theory and Practice : An Interview with David F. Hendry,"
International Finance Discussion Papers
1184, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Neil R. Ericsson, 2016. "Economic Forecasting in Theory and Practice: An Interview with David F. Hendry," Working Papers 2016-012, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
- Ericsson, Neil R., 2017. "Economic forecasting in theory and practice: An interview with David F. Hendry," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(2), pages 523-542.
- Hendry, David F. & Mizon, Grayham E., 2014.
"Unpredictability in economic analysis, econometric modeling and forecasting,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 182(1), pages 186-195.
- David F. Hendry & Grayham E. Mizon, 2013. "Unpredictability in Economic Analysis, Econometric Modeling and Forecasting," Economics Papers 2013-W04, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.
- David Hendry, 2011. "Unpredictability in Economic Analyis, Econometric Modelling and Forecasting," Economics Series Working Papers 551, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
- David Hendry & Grayham E. Mizon, 2016.
"Improving the Teaching of Econometrics,"
Economics Series Working Papers
785, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
- David F. Hendry & Grayham E. Mizon, 2016. "Improving the teaching of econometrics," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 4(1), pages 1170096-117, December.
- D. R. Cox, 2013. "A return to an old paper: ‘Tests of separate families of hypotheses’," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 75(2), pages 207-215, March.
- Neil R. Ericsson, 2017.
"How Biased Are U.S. Government Forecasts of the Federal Debt?,"
Working Papers
2017-001, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
- Ericsson, Neil R., 2017. "How biased are U.S. government forecasts of the federal debt?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(2), pages 543-559.
- Neil R. Ericsson, 2017. "How Biased Are U.S. Government Forecasts of the Federal Debt?," International Finance Discussion Papers 1189, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- David Hendry & Jennifer L. Castle, 2010.
"Model Selection in Under-specified Equations Facing Breaks,"
Economics Series Working Papers
509, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
- Castle, Jennifer L. & Hendry, David F., 2014. "Model selection in under-specified equations facing breaks," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 178(P2), pages 286-293.
- Luigi Ermini & David F. Hendry, 2008.
"Log Income vs. Linear Income: An Application of the Encompassing Principle,"
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 70(s1), pages 807-827, December.
- Luigi Ermini & David F. Hendry, 1991. "Log Income vs. Linear Income: An Application of the Encompassing Principle," Working Papers 199111, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Economics.
- Maozu Lu & Grayham E. Mizon & Chiara Monfardini, 2008. "Simulation Encompassing: Testing Non‐nested Hypotheses," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 70(s1), pages 781-806, December.
- David F Hendry & John N J Muellbauer, 2018.
"The future of macroeconomics: macro theory and models at the Bank of England,"
Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Oxford University Press and Oxford Review of Economic Policy Limited, vol. 34(1-2), pages 287-328.
- David Hendry & John Muellbauer, 2017. "The future of macroeconomics: Macro theory and models at the Bank of England," Economics Series Working Papers 832, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
- David Hendry & Felix Pretis, 2011.
"Anthropogenic Influences on Atmospheric CO2,"
Economics Series Working Papers
584, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
- David F. Hendry & Felix Pretis, 2013. "Anthropogenic influences on atmospheric CO2," Chapters, in: Roger Fouquet (ed.), Handbook on Energy and Climate Change, chapter 12, pages 287-326, Edward Elgar Publishing.
- David F. Hendry & Massimiliano Marcellino & Chiara Monfardini, 2008. "Foreword," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 70(s1), pages 711-714, December.
- David F. Hendry, 2020. "A Short History of Macro-econometric Modelling," Economics Papers 2020-W01, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.
- Lapenta, Elia & Lavergne, Pascal, 2022. "Encompassing Tests for Nonparametric Regressions," TSE Working Papers 22-1332, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE).
- Jennifer Castle & David Hendry & Oleg Kitov, 2013. "Forecasting and Nowcasting Macroeconomic Variables: A Methodological Overview," Economics Series Working Papers 674, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
- David F. Hendry & Peter C.B. Phillips, 2017. "John Denis Sargan at the London School of Economics," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 2082, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
- David Hendry, 2016.
"Deciding Between Alternative Approaches In Macroeconomics,"
Economics Series Working Papers
778, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
- Hendry, David F., 2018. "Deciding between alternative approaches in macroeconomics," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 34(1), pages 119-135.
- Ryan-Collins, Josh & Werner, Richard A. & Castle, Jennifer, 2016. "A half-century diversion of monetary policy? An empirical horse-race to identify the UK variable most likely to deliver the desired nominal GDP growth rate," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 158-176.
- Ericsson, Neil R., 2017. "Interpreting estimates of forecast bias," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(2), pages 563-568.
- Jurgen A. Doornik, 2008. "Encompassing and Automatic Model Selection," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 70(s1), pages 915-925, December.
- Bernt P. Stigum, 2016. "The Status of Bridge Principles in Applied Econometrics," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 4(4), pages 1-22, December.
- Castle, Jennifer L. & Doornik, Jurgen A. & Hendry, David F., 2023.
"Robust Discovery of Regression Models,"
Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 31-51.
- Jennifer L. Castle & Jurgen A. Doornik & David F. Hendry, 2020. "Robust Discovery of Regression Models," Economics Papers 2020-W04, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.
- Christophe Bontemps & Jean‐Pierre Florens & Jean‐François Richard, 2008. "Parametric and Non‐parametric Encompassing Procedures," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 70(s1), pages 751-780, December.
- Elia Lapenta & Pascal Lavergne, 2022. "Encompassing Tests for Nonparametric Regressions," Papers 2203.06685, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2023.
- Opoku-Agyemang, Kweku A., 2017. "A Human-Computer Interaction Approach for Integrity in Economics," SocArXiv ra3cs, Center for Open Science.
- David Hendry & Michael P. Clements, 2010. "Forecasting from Mis-specified Models in the Presence of Unanticipated Location Shifts," Economics Series Working Papers 484, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
- Bernt P. Stigum, 2021. "Consumer Choice under Certainty and Uncertainty in Applied Econometrics," EERI Research Paper Series EERI RP 2021/08, Economics and Econometrics Research Institute (EERI), Brussels.
- Kuan, Chung-Ming & Lin, Hsin-Yi, 2010. "An encompassing test for non-nested quantile regression models," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 107(2), pages 257-260, May.
- Qin, Duo, 2014. "Resurgence of instrument variable estimation and fallacy of endogeneity," Economics Discussion Papers 2014-42, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
- Christensen, Garret & Miguel, Edward & Sturdy, Jennifer, 2017.
"Transparency, Reproducibility, and the Credibility of Economics Research,"
MetaArXiv
9a3rw, Center for Open Science.
- Massimiliano Marcellino & Grayham E. Mizon & Hans-Martin Krolzig, 2002.
"A Markov-switching vector equilibrium correction model of the UK labour market,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 27(2), pages 233-254.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Hans-Martin Krolzig & Massimiliano Marcellino & Grayham E. Mizon, "undated". "A Markov-Switching Vector Equilibrium Correction Model of the UK Labour Market," Working Papers 185, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
- Massimiliano Marcellino & Grayham E. Mizon, 2001.
"Small-system modelling of real wages, inflation, unemployment and output per capita in Italy 1970-1994,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 16(3), pages 359-370.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Massimiliano Marcellino & Grayham E. Mizon, "undated". "Small system modelling of real wages, inflation, unemployment and output per capita in Italy 1970-1994," Working Papers 188, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
- Marcellino, Massimiliano & Mizon, Grayham E., 2000.
"Modelling shifts in the wage-price and unemployment-inflation relationships in Italy, Poland and the UK,"
Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 17(3), pages 387-413, August.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Massimiliano Marcellino & Grayham E. Mizon, "undated". "Modelling shifts in the wage-price and unemployment-inflation relationships in Italy, Poland, and the UK," Working Papers 145, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
- Hall, Stephen & Mizon, Grayham E. & Welfe, Aleksander, 2000.
"Modelling economies in transition: an introduction,"
Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 17(3), pages 339-357, August.
Cited by:
- Julian Ramajo & Miguel A. Marquez, 1998. "Structural change in regional economies: A varying coefficients econometric modeling approach," ERSA conference papers ersa98p189, European Regional Science Association.
- Bruno Merlevede & Joseph Plasmans & Bas van Aarle, 2003. "A Small Macroeconomic Model of the EU-Accession Countries," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 14(3), pages 221-250, July.
- Kateryna Onishchenko, 2012.
"Can a pure real business cycle model explain the real exchange rate: the case of Ukraine,"
International Journal of Sustainable Economy, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 4(2), pages 111-135.
- Onishchenko, Kateryna, 2011. "Can a pure real business cycle model explain the real exchange rate: the case of Ukraine," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2011/17, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
- Onishchenko Kateryna, 2011. "Can a pure real business cycle model explain the real exchange rate: the case of Ukraine," EERC Working Paper Series 11/04e, EERC Research Network, Russia and CIS.
- Michał Greszta & Wojciech Maciejewski, 2005. "Kombinowanie prognoz gospodarki Polski," Gospodarka Narodowa. The Polish Journal of Economics, Warsaw School of Economics, issue 5-6, pages 49-61.
- David F. Hendry & Massimiliano Marcellino & Chiara Monfardini, 2008. "Foreword," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 70(s1), pages 711-714, December.
- Peeters, Marga, 2011. "Demographic pressure, excess labour supply and public-private sector employment in Egypt - Modelling labour supply to analyse the response of unemployment, public finances and welfare," MPRA Paper 31101, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Cheong, ChongCheul, 2003. "Regime changes and econometric modeling of the demand for money in Korea," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 20(3), pages 437-453, May.
- Erjavec, Natasa, 2003. "Applied macroeconometrics in transition economy: Croatian experience," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 23444, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Moller Andersen, Frits & Celov, Dmitry & Grinderslev, Dorte & Kazlauskas, Arvydas, 2005. "A macro-econometric model of Lithuania LITMOD," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 22(4), pages 707-719, July.
- Vesna BUCEVSKA, 2010. "A Macroeconometric Model for the Republic of Macedonia," EcoMod2004 330600030, EcoMod.
- van Aarle, Bas & de Jong, Eelke & Sosoian, Robert, 2006. "Exchange rate management in Ukraine: Is there a case for more flexibility?," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 30(3), pages 282-305, October.
- Ivan Baboucek & Martin Jancar, 2005. "Effects of Macroeconomic Shocks to the Quality of the Aggregate Loan Portfolio," Working Papers 2005/01, Czech National Bank.
- Hendry, David F & Mizon, Grayham E, 2000.
"Reformulating Empirical Macroeconomic Modelling,"
Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Oxford University Press and Oxford Review of Economic Policy Limited, vol. 16(4), pages 138-159, Winter.
Cited by:
- Neil R. Ericsson, 2016.
"Economic Forecasting in Theory and Practice : An Interview with David F. Hendry,"
International Finance Discussion Papers
1184, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Neil R. Ericsson, 2016. "Economic Forecasting in Theory and Practice: An Interview with David F. Hendry," Working Papers 2016-012, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
- Ericsson, Neil R., 2017. "Economic forecasting in theory and practice: An interview with David F. Hendry," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(2), pages 523-542.
- Amit Kara & Edward Nelson, 2004.
"International Evidence on the Stability of the Optimizing IS Equation,"
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 66(s1), pages 687-712, September.
- Amit Kara & Edward Nelson, 2004. "International evidence on the stability of the optimizing IS equation," Working Papers 2003-020, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
- Katarina Juselius, 2022. "A Theory-Consistent CVAR Scenario for a Monetary Model with Forward-Looking Expectations," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 10(2), pages 1-15, April.
- Ericsson Neil R., 2008. "Comment on "Economic Forecasting in a Changing World" (by Michael Clements and David Hendry)," Capitalism and Society, De Gruyter, vol. 3(2), pages 1-18, October.
- Benjamin Leiva & Mar Rubio-Varas, 2020. "The Energy and Gross Domestic Product Causality Nexus in Latin America 1900-2010," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 10(1), pages 423-435.
- Rodríguez-Caballero, Carlos Vladimir & Ventosa-Santaulària, Daniel, 2017. "Energy-growth long-term relationship under structural breaks. Evidence from Canada, 17 Latin American economies and the USA," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 121-134.
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Chapters
- Driffill, John & Mizon, Grayham E. & Ulph, Alistair, 1990.
"Costs of inflation,"
Handbook of Monetary Economics, in: B. M. Friedman & F. H. Hahn (ed.), Handbook of Monetary Economics, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 19, pages 1013-1066,
Elsevier.
See citations under working paper version above.Sorry, no citations of chapters recorded.
- Driffill, John & Mizon, Grayham Ernest & Ulph, Alistair Mitchell, 1989. "Costs of Inflation," CEPR Discussion Papers 293, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.