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Sovereign Bail-Outs and Fiscal Rules in a Banking Union

Author

Listed:
  • Marattin, Luigi

    (Department of Economics, University of Bologna)

  • Meraglia, Simone

    (Department of Economics, University of Exeter)

  • Minetti, Raoul

    (Michigan State University, Department of Economics)

Abstract
This paper studies optimal fiscal rules in a two-country economy in which cross-country linkages between sovereign debts and banking sectors motivate bail-outs among countries. The first-best sovereign borrowing, which is contingent on countries' output gap, cannot be achieved in the presence of asymmetric information on a country's potential output. Because bail-out induces overborrowing, fiscal rules can be implemented to prevent the ensuing inefficiency. A mechanism can be designed to induce a country with low potential output (i.e., a small negative output gap) to run an optimal budget deficit upon receiving a (ex-post) transfer from the other country. We characterize conditions under which this `cyclically- contingent' fiscal mechanism Pareto dominates an alternative `cyclically-adjusted' fiscal rule imposing a unique ceiling on a country's borrowing, independently of its potential output.

Suggested Citation

  • Marattin, Luigi & Meraglia, Simone & Minetti, Raoul, 2018. "Sovereign Bail-Outs and Fiscal Rules in a Banking Union," Working Papers 2018-11, Michigan State University, Department of Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:ris:msuecw:2018_011
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Sovereign Debt; Bail-out; Fiscal Federations; Fiscal Rules;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
    • F34 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Lending and Debt Problems
    • H63 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Debt; Debt Management; Sovereign Debt
    • H87 - Public Economics - - Miscellaneous Issues - - - International Fiscal Issues; International Public Goods

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