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International spillovers in global asset markets

Author

Listed:
  • Ansgar Belke
  • Irina Dubova
Abstract
The paper empirically estimates the financial transmission between bond and equity markets within and across the four largest global financial markets - the United States, the Euro area, Japan, and the United Kingdom. We argue that international bond and equity markets are highly connected both within and across asset classes in a globalized world, where the complex transmission process across various financial assets is not restricted to just the domestic market. This paper employs identification through generalized forecast error variance decompositions to estimate spillovers across four systemic markets in a Vector Autoregression (VAR) framework. We find that asset prices react strongest to international shocks within the same asset class, but that there are also substantial international spillovers across asset classes. Rolling estimations analysis provides evidence that global asset markets have become more integrated and the bilateral relationships change over time. Our results are robust to specifications which take into account the monetary policy stance and include foreign exchange markets.

Suggested Citation

  • Ansgar Belke & Irina Dubova, 2017. "International spillovers in global asset markets," ROME Working Papers 201709, ROME Network.
    • Handle: RePEc:rmn:wpaper:201709
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    2. Umar, Zaghum & Abrar, Afsheen & Hadhri, Sinda & Sokolova, Tatiana, 2023. "The connectedness of oil shocks, green bonds, sukuks and conventional bonds," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
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    4. Zhang, Weiping & Zhuang, Xintian & Wang, Jian & Lu, Yang, 2020. "Connectedness and systemic risk spillovers analysis of Chinese sectors based on tail risk network," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    5. Choi, Sun-Yong & Phiri, Andrew & Teplova, Tamara & Umar, Zaghum, 2024. "Connectedness between (un)conventional monetary policy and islamic and advanced equity markets: A returns and volatility spillover analysis," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 348-363.
    6. Fateh Belaid & Amine Ben Amar & Stéphane Goutte & Khaled Guesmi, 2023. "Emerging and advanced economies markets behaviour during the COVID‐19 crisis era," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(2), pages 1563-1581, April.
    7. Billah, Mabruk & Amar, Amine Ben & Balli, Faruk, 2023. "The extreme return connectedness between Sukuk and green bonds and their determinants and consequences for investors," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    8. Kang, Sang Hoon & Maitra, Debasish & Dash, Saumya Ranjan & Brooks, Robert, 2019. "Dynamic spillovers and connectedness between stock, commodities, bonds, and VIX markets," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    9. Ansgar Belke & Thomas Osowski, 2019. "International Effects Of Euro Area Versus U.S. Policy Uncertainty: A Favar Approach," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 57(1), pages 453-481, January.
    10. Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Cunado, Juncal & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2018. "Volatility spillovers across global asset classes: Evidence from time and frequency domains," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 194-202.
    11. Hachicha, Néjib & Ben Amar, Amine & Ben Slimane, Ikrame & Bellalah, Makram & Prigent, Jean-Luc, 2022. "Dynamic connectedness and optimal hedging strategy among commodities and financial indices," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    12. Kang, Sanghoon & Hernandez, Jose Arreola & Sadorsky, Perry & McIver, Ronald, 2021. "Frequency spillovers, connectedness, and the hedging effectiveness of oil and gold for US sector ETFs," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).
    13. Joya, Omar & Rougier, Eric, 2019. "Do (all) sectoral shocks lead to aggregate volatility? Empirics from a production network perspective," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 77-107.
    14. Banerjee, Ameet Kumar & Sensoy, Ahmet & Goodell, John W., 2024. "Connectivity and spillover during crises: Highlighting the prominent and growing role of green energy," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
    15. Ahmed Samour, Aliya Zhakanova Isiksal, Turgut Türsoy, 2023. "Effects of the domestic and ECB interest rates on Türkiye's stock market: Empirical evidence from a newly developed combined co-integration and causality analysis," European Journal of Comparative Economics, Cattaneo University (LIUC), vol. 20(2), pages 223-238, December.
    16. Umar, Zaghum & Hadhri, Sinda & Abakah, Emmanuel Joel Aikins & Usman, Muhammad & Umar, Muhammad, 2024. "Return and volatility spillovers among oil price shocks and international green bond markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    17. Zhao, Jing & Cui, Luansong & Liu, Weiguo & Zhang, Qiwen, 2023. "Extreme risk spillover effects of international oil prices on the Chinese stock market: A GARCH-EVT-Copula-CoVaR approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(PB).
    18. Justinas Lubys & Pradiptarathi Panda, 2021. "US and EU unconventional monetary policy spillover on BRICS financial markets: an event study," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 48(2), pages 353-371, May.
    19. Antonakakis, Nikolaos & Gabauer, David & Gupta, Rangan, 2019. "International monetary policy spillovers: Evidence from a time-varying parameter vector autoregression," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    20. Billah, Mabruk & Elsayed, Ahmed H. & Hadhri, Sinda, 2023. "Asymmetric relationship between green bonds and Sukuk markets: The role of global risk factors," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    21. Hsu, Ching-Chi & Chen, Miao-Ling, 2021. "Currency momentum strategies based on the Chinese Yuan: Timing of foreign exchange volatility," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    22. Sanjay Sehgal & Sakshi Saini & Florent Deisting, 2019. "Examining Dynamic Interdependencies Among Major Global Financial Markets," Multinational Finance Journal, Multinational Finance Journal, vol. 23(1-2), pages 103-139, March - J.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    asset markets; financial transmission; financial market integration; rolling estimations; spillovers; Vector Autoregression;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • F42 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - International Policy Coordination and Transmission

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