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Effects of US Quantitative Easing on Emerging Market Economies

Author

Listed:
  • Bhattarai, Saroj

    (Asian Development Bank Institute)

  • Chatterjee, Arpita

    (Asian Development Bank Institute)

  • Park, Woong Yong

    (Asian Development Bank Institute)

Abstract
We estimate international spillover effects of the United States (US)’ Quantitative Easing (QE) on emerging market economies (EMEs). Using a Bayesian VAR on monthly US macroeconomic and financial data, we first identify the US QE shock. The identified US QE shock is then used in a monthly Bayesian panel VAR for EMEs to infer spillover effects on these countries. We find that an expansionary US QE shock has significant effects on financial variables in EMEs. It leads to an exchange rate appreciation, a reduction in long-term bond yields, a stock market boom, and an increase in capital inflows to these countries. These effects on financial variables are stronger for the “Fragile Five" countries compared to other EMEs.

Suggested Citation

  • Bhattarai, Saroj & Chatterjee, Arpita & Park, Woong Yong, 2018. "Effects of US Quantitative Easing on Emerging Market Economies," ADBI Working Papers 803, Asian Development Bank Institute.
    • Handle: RePEc:ris:adbiwp:0803
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    US quantitative easing; spillovers; emerging market economies; bayesian var; panel var; fragile five countries;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C31 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Cross-Sectional Models; Spatial Models; Treatment Effect Models; Quantile Regressions; Social Interaction Models
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics
    • F42 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - International Policy Coordination and Transmission

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