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OPTIMAL CARBON PRICING IN GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM: Temperature caps and stranded assets in an extended annual DSGE model

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  • Frederick van der Ploeg
  • Armon Rezai
Abstract
The general equilibrium model developed by Golosov et al. (2014), GHKT for short, is modified to allow for additional negative impacts of global warming on utility and productivity growth, mean reversion in the ratio of climate damages to production, labour-augmenting technical progress, and population growth. We also replace the GHKT assumption of full depreciation of capital each decade by annual logarithmic depreciation. Furthermore, we allow the government to use a lower discount rate than the private sector. We derive a tractable rule for the optimal carbon price for each of these extensions. We then simplify the GHKT model by modelling temperature as cumulative emissions and calibrating it to Burke et al. (2015) damages. Finally, we consider how the rule for the optimal carbon price must be modified to allow for a temperature cap, and what this implies for stranded oil and gas reserves. We illustrate our analytical results with a range of optimal policy simulations.

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  • Frederick van der Ploeg & Armon Rezai, 2021. "OPTIMAL CARBON PRICING IN GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM: Temperature caps and stranded assets in an extended annual DSGE model," OxCarre Working Papers 227, Oxford Centre for the Analysis of Resource Rich Economies, University of Oxford.
    • Handle: RePEc:oxf:oxcrwp:227
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    2. Campiglio, Emanuele & Lamperti, Francesco & Terranova, Roberta, 2024. "Believe me when I say green! Heterogeneous expectations and climate policy uncertainty," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 165(C).
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    5. Abiry, Raphael & Ferdinandusse, Marien & Ludwig, Alexander & Nerlich, Carolin, 2022. "Climate change mitigation: How effective is green quantitative easing?," ZEW Discussion Papers 22-027, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
    6. Lorenzo Forni & Mehrab Kiarsi, 2023. "Optimal Climate and Monetary-Fiscal Policy in a Climate-DSGE Framework," "Marco Fanno" Working Papers 0299, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche "Marco Fanno".
    7. Federico Lubello, 2024. "From Brown to Green: Climate Transition and Macroprudential Policy Coordination," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 17(10), pages 1-20, October.
    8. Sareh Vosooghi & Maria Arvaniti & Rick van der Ploeg, 2022. "Self-Enforcing Climate Coalitions for Farsighted Countries: Integrated Analysis of Heterogeneous Countries," CESifo Working Paper Series 9768, CESifo.
    9. Laeven, Luc & Popov, Alexander, 2023. "Carbon taxes and the geography of fossil lending," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
    10. Punzi, Maria Teresa, 2024. "The role of macroprudential policies under carbon pricing," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(PA), pages 858-875.
    11. Emanuele Campiglio & Alessandro Spiganti & Anthony Wiskich, 2023. "Clean innovation and heterogeneous financing costs," Working Papers 2023: 07, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari".
    12. Jin, Wei & van der Ploeg, Frederick & Zhang, Lin, 2024. "How clean capital slows down disinvestment of carbon-intensive capital in the low-carbon transition," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 162(C).
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    14. Banerjee, Rhythm, 2024. "Shifting Tides: the Effect of Institutional Divestments on the Global Market," MPRA Paper 121922, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 11 Apr 2024.
    15. Emanuele Campiglio & Alessandro Spiganti & Anthony Wiskich, 2023. "Clean Innovation, Heterogeneous Financing Costs, and the Optimal Climate Policy Mix," CAMA Working Papers 2023-25, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, revised May 2024.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    carbon price; tractable rule; general equilibrium; utility and growth damages; technical progress; population growth; logarithmic depreciation; differential discount rates; temperature cap; stranded oil and gas reserves;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • H21 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - Efficiency; Optimal Taxation
    • Q51 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Valuation of Environmental Effects
    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming

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