Effectiveness of expectations channel of monetary policy transmission: Evidence from India
Author
Suggested Citation
Download full text from publisher
References listed on IDEAS
- Paul Hubert, 2015.
"Do Central Bank Forecasts Influence Private Agents? Forecasting Performance versus Signals,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 47(4), pages 771-789, June.
- Paul Hubert, 2009. "Informational Advantage and Influence of Communicating Central Banks," Documents de Travail de l'OFCE 2009-04, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE).
- Paul Hubert, 2011. "Do central banks forecast influence private agents ? Forecasting performance vs. signals," Documents de Travail de l'OFCE 2011-20, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE).
- Uhlig, Harald, 2005.
"What are the effects of monetary policy on output? Results from an agnostic identification procedure,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 52(2), pages 381-419, March.
- Uhlig, H.F.H.V.S., 1999. "What are the Effects of Monetary Policy on Output? Results from an Agnostic Identification Procedure," Discussion Paper 1999-28, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
- Uhlig, Harald, 1999. "What are the Effects of Monetary Policy on Output? Results from an Agnostic Identification Procedure," CEPR Discussion Papers 2137, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Ashima Goyal & Prashant Parab, 2019. "Inflation convergence and anchoring of expectations in India," Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai Working Papers 2019-023, Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai, India.
- Leduc, Sylvain & Sill, Keith & Stark, Tom, 2007.
"Self-fulfilling expectations and the inflation of the 1970s: Evidence from the Livingston Survey,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(2), pages 433-459, March.
- Sylvain Leduc & Keith Sill & Tom Stark, 2002. "Self-fulfilling expectations and the inflation of the 1970s: evidence from the Livingston Survey," Working Papers 02-13, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
- Paul Hubert, 2014.
"FOMC Forecasts as a Focal Point for Private Expectations,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 46(7), pages 1381-1420, October.
- Paul Hubert, 2013. "FOMC forecasts as a focal point for private expectations," Documents de Travail de l'OFCE 2013-12, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE).
- Paul Hubert, 2014. "FOMC Forecasts as a Focal Point for Private Expectations," Post-Print hal-03399408, HAL.
- Paul Hubert, 2014. "FOMC Forecasts as a Focal Point for Private Expectations," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03399408, HAL.
- Juan F. Rubio-Ramírez & Daniel F. Waggoner & Tao Zha, 2010.
"Structural Vector Autoregressions: Theory of Identification and Algorithms for Inference,"
The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 77(2), pages 665-696.
- Juan F. Rubio-Ramirez & Daniel F. Waggoner & Tao Zha, 2008. "Structural vector autoregressions: theory of identification and algorithms for inference," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2008-18, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
- Aleem, Abdul, 2010. "Transmission mechanism of monetary policy in India," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 21(2), pages 186-197, April.
- Christiano, Lawrence J. & Eichenbaum, Martin & Evans, Charles L., 1999.
"Monetary policy shocks: What have we learned and to what end?,"
Handbook of Macroeconomics, in: J. B. Taylor & M. Woodford (ed.), Handbook of Macroeconomics, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 2, pages 65-148,
Elsevier.
- Lawrence J. Christiano & Martin S. Eichenbaum & Charles L. Evans, 1997. "Monetary policy shocks: what have we learned and to what end?," Working Paper Series, Macroeconomic Issues WP-97-18, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
- Lawrence J. Christiano & Martin Eichenbaum & Charles L. Evans, 1998. "Monetary Policy Shocks: What Have We Learned and to What End?," NBER Working Papers 6400, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Alan S. Blinder & Michael Ehrmann & Marcel Fratzscher & Jakob De Haan & David-Jan Jansen, 2008.
"Central Bank Communication and Monetary Policy: A Survey of Theory and Evidence,"
Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 46(4), pages 910-945, December.
- Blinder, Alan S. & Ehrmann, Michael & Fratzscher, Marcel & de Haan, Jakob & Jansen, David-Jan, 2008. "Central Bank communication and monetary policy: a survey of theory and evidence," Working Paper Series 898, European Central Bank.
- Alan S. Blinder & Michael Ehrmann & Marcel Fratzscher & Jakob de Haan & David-Jan Jansen, 2008. "Central Bank Communication and Monetary Policy: A Survey of Theory and Evidence," DNB Working Papers 170, Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department.
- Alan S. Blinder & Michael Ehrmann & Marcel Fratzscher & Jakob De Haan & David-Jan Jansen, 2008. "Central Bank Communication and Monetary Policy: A Survey of Theory and Evidence," Working Papers 1038, Princeton University, Department of Economics, Center for Economic Policy Studies..
- Alan S. Blinder & Michael Ehrmann & Marcel Fratzscher & Jakob De Haan & David-Jan Jansen, 2008. "Central Bank Communication and Monetary Policy: A Survey of Theory and Evidence," NBER Working Papers 13932, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Alan S. Blinder & Michael Ehrmann & Marcel Fratzscher & Jakob De Haan & David-Jan Jansen, 2008. "Central Bank Communication and Monetary Policy: A Survey of Theory and Evidence," Working Papers 2008-2, Princeton University. Economics Department..
- Khundrakpam, Jeevan Kumar, 2011. "Credit Channel of Monetary Transmission in India - How Effective and Long is the Lag?," MPRA Paper 50899, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Jonas Dovern & Ulrich Fritsche & Jiri Slacalek, 2012.
"Disagreement Among Forecasters in G7 Countries,"
The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 94(4), pages 1081-1096, November.
- Jonas Dovern & Ulrich Fritsche & Jiri Slacalek, 2009. "Disagreement among Forecasters in G7 Countries," Macroeconomics and Finance Series 200906, University of Hamburg, Department of Socioeconomics.
- Dovern, Jonas & Fritsche, Ulrich & Slacalek, Jiri, 2009. "Disagreement among forecasters in G7 countries," Working Paper Series 1082, European Central Bank.
- Gottschalk, Jan, 2001. "An Introduction into the SVAR Methodology: Identification, Interpretation and Limitations of SVAR models," Kiel Working Papers 1072, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
- Bank for International Settlements, 2008. "Transmission mechanisms for monetary policy in emerging market economies," BIS Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 35.
- Khundrakpam, Jeevan Kumar & Jain, Rajeev, 2012. "Monetary Policy Transmission in India: A Peep Inside the Black Box," MPRA Paper 50903, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Ashima Goyal, 2015. "Understanding High Inflation Trend in India," South Asian Journal of Macroeconomics and Public Finance, , vol. 4(1), pages 1-42, June.
- Paul Hubert, 2011.
"Do central banks forecast influence private agents ? Forecasting performance vs. signals,"
Documents de Travail de l'OFCE
2011-20, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE).
- Paul Hubert, 2015. "Do Central Bank forecasts influence private agents? Forecasting Performance vs. Signals," Post-Print hal-03399242, HAL.
- Paul Hubert, 2015. "Do Central Bank forecasts influence private agents? Forecasting Performance vs. Signals," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03399242, HAL.
- Goyal, Ashima & Parab, Prashant, 2021. "What influences aggregate inflation expectations of households in India?," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
- Gauti B. Eggertsson & Michael Woodford, 2003. "The Zero Bound on Interest Rates and Optimal Monetary Policy," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 34(1), pages 139-235.
- Monique Reid & Pierre Siklos, 2020. "Building Credibility and Influencing Expectations The Evolution of Central Bank Communication," Working Papers 10144, South African Reserve Bank.
- Barendra Kumar Bhoi & Arghya Kusum Mitra & Jang Bahadur Singh & Gangadaran Sivaramakrishnan, 2017. "Effectiveness of alternative channels of monetary policy transmission: some evidence for India," Macroeconomics and Finance in Emerging Market Economies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(1), pages 19-38, January.
- Arias, Jonas E. & Caldara, Dario & Rubio-Ramírez, Juan F., 2019.
"The systematic component of monetary policy in SVARs: An agnostic identification procedure,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 101(C), pages 1-13.
- Jonas E. Arias & Dario Caldara & Juan F. Rubio-Ramírez, 2014. "The Systematic Component of Monetary Policy in SVARs: An Agnostic Identification Procedure," Working Papers 2014-13, FEDEA.
- Jonas E. Arias & Dario Caldara & Juan F. Rubio-Ramirez, 2016. "The Systematic Component of Monetary Policy in SVARs: An Agnostic Identification Procedure," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2016-15, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
- Juan Rubio-Ramirez & Dario Caldara & Jonas Arias, 2015. "The Systematic Component of Monetary Policy in SVARs: An Agnostic Identification Procedure," 2015 Meeting Papers 359, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Jonas E. Arias & Dario Caldara & Juan F. Rubio-Ramirez, 2015. "The Systematic Component of Monetary Policy in SVARs: An Agnostic Identification Procedure," International Finance Discussion Papers 1131, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Alan S. Blinder & Michael Ehrmann & Marcel Fratzscher & Jakob De Haan & David-Jan Jansen, 2008.
"Central Bank Communication and Monetary Policy: A Survey of Theory and Evidence,"
Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 46(4), pages 910-945, December.
- Alan S. Blinder & Michael Ehrmann & Marcel Fratzscher & Jakob de Haan & David-Jan Jansen, 2008. "Central Bank Communication and Monetary Policy: A Survey of Theory and Evidence," DNB Working Papers 170, Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department.
- Alan S. Blinder & Michael Ehrmann & Marcel Fratzscher & Jakob De Haan & David-Jan Jansen, 2008. "Central Bank Communication and Monetary Policy: A Survey of Theory and Evidence," Working Papers 1038, Princeton University, Department of Economics, Center for Economic Policy Studies..
- Alan S. Blinder & Michael Ehrmann & Marcel Fratzscher & Jakob De Haan & David-Jan Jansen, 2008. "Central Bank Communication and Monetary Policy: A Survey of Theory and Evidence," NBER Working Papers 13932, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Blinder, Alan S. & Ehrmann, Michael & Fratzscher, Marcel & de Haan, Jakob & Jansen, David-Jan, 2008. "Central Bank communication and monetary policy: a survey of theory and evidence," Working Paper Series 898, European Central Bank.
- Gill Hammond & Ravi Kanbur & Eswar Prasad (ed.), 2009. "Monetary Policy Frameworks for Emerging Markets," Books, Edward Elgar Publishing, number 13504.
- Ashima Goyal, 2016. "Unconventional monetary policy in emerging markets," Macroeconomics and Finance in Emerging Market Economies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 9(2), pages 101-108, July.
- Christopher Herrington & Yash P. Mehra, 2008. "On the sources of movements in inflation expectations : a few insights from a VAR model," Economic Quarterly, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, vol. 94(Spr), pages 121-146.
- Frederic S. Mishkin, 1995. "Symposium on the Monetary Transmission Mechanism," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 9(4), pages 3-10, Fall.
- repec:pri:cepsud:161blinder is not listed on IDEAS
- Miranda S Goeltom, 2008. "The transmission mechanisms of monetary policy in Indonesia," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Transmission mechanisms for monetary policy in emerging market economies, volume 35, pages 309-332, Bank for International Settlements.
- Monique Reid & Pierre Siklos, 2020.
"Building Credibility and Influencing Expectations The Evolution of Central Bank Communication,"
Working Papers
10144, South African Reserve Bank.
- Monique Reid & Pierre Siklos, 2020. "Building Credibility and Influencing Expectations- The Evolution of Central Bank Communication," Working Papers 10141, South African Reserve Bank.
- Alan S. Blinder, 1999. "Central Banking in Theory and Practice," MIT Press Books, The MIT Press, edition 1, volume 1, number 0262522608, April.
Citations
Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
Cited by:
- Ashima Goyal, 2022. "Flexible inflation targeting: Concepts and application in India," Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai Working Papers 2022-003, Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai, India.
Most related items
These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.- Baranowski, Paweł & Doryń, Wirginia & Łyziak, Tomasz & Stanisławska, Ewa, 2021. "Words and deeds in managing expectations: Empirical evidence from an inflation targeting economy," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 49-67.
- Peter Andrebriq & Carlo Pizzinelli & Christopher Roth & Johannes Wohlfart, 2022.
"Subjective Models of the Macroeconomy: Evidence From Experts and Representative Samples,"
The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 89(6), pages 2958-2991.
- Peter Andre & Carlo Pizzinelli & Christopher Roth & Johannes Wohlfart, 2019. "Subjective Models of the Macroeconomy: Evidence from Experts and Representative Samples," CESifo Working Paper Series 7850, CESifo.
- Peter Andre & Carlo Pizzinelli & Christopher Roth & Johannes Wohlfart, 2021. "Subjective Models of the Macroeconomy: Evidence From Experts and Representative Samples," ECONtribute Discussion Papers Series 119, University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Germany.
- Peter Andre & Carlo Pizzinelli & Christopher Roth & Johannes Wohlfart, 2019. "Subjective Models Of The Macroeconomy: Evidence From Experts And A Representative Sample," CEBI working paper series 19-11, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics. The Center for Economic Behavior and Inequality (CEBI).
- Andre, Peter & Pizzinelli, Carlo & Roth, Christopher & Wohlfart, Johannes, 2021. "Subjective Models of the Macroeconomy : Evidence from Experts and a Representative Sample," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 1342, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
- Ahrens, Steffen & Lustenhouwer, Joep & Tettamanzi, Michele, 2017.
"The Stabilizing Role of Forward Guidance: A Macro Experiment,"
VfS Annual Conference 2017 (Vienna): Alternative Structures for Money and Banking
168063, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Ahrens, Steffen & Lustenhouwer, Joep & Tettamanzi, Michele, 2018. "The stabilizing role of forward guidance: A macro experiment," BERG Working Paper Series 137, Bamberg University, Bamberg Economic Research Group.
- Rholes, Ryan & Petersen, Luba, 2021. "Should central banks communicate uncertainty in their projections?," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 183(C), pages 320-341.
- Silvia Miranda-Agrippino & Giovanni Ricco, 2021.
"The Transmission of Monetary Policy Shocks,"
American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 13(3), pages 74-107, July.
- Silvia Miranda-Agrippino & Giovanni Ricco, 2015. "The Transmission of Monetary Policy Shocks," Discussion Papers 1711, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM), revised Feb 2017.
- Miranda-Agrippino, Silvia & Ricco, Giovanni, 2017. "The Transmission of Monetary Policy Shocks," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 1136, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
- Miranda-Agrippino, Silvia & Ricco, Giovanni, 2017. "The transmission of monetary policy shocks," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 86163, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Ricco, Giovanni & Miranda-Agrippino, Silvia, 2018. "The Transmission of Monetary Policy Shocks," CEPR Discussion Papers 13396, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Miranda-Agrippino, Silvia & Ricco, Giovanni, 2017. "The transmission of monetary policy shocks," Bank of England working papers 657, Bank of England.
- Miranda-Agrippino, Silvia & Ricco, Giovanni, 2017. "The Transmission of Monetary Policy Shocks," Economic Research Papers 269310, University of Warwick - Department of Economics.
- Silvia Miranda-Agrippino & Giovanni Ricco, 2017. "The transmission of monetary policy shocks," Documents de Travail de l'OFCE 2017-15, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE).
- Goy, Gavin & Hommes, Cars & Mavromatis, Kostas, 2022. "Forward guidance and the role of central bank credibility under heterogeneous beliefs," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 200(C), pages 1240-1274.
- Paul Hubert & Becky Maule, 2016.
"Policy and Macro Signals as Inputs to Inflation Expectation Formation,"
SciencePo Working papers Main
hal-03459462, HAL.
- Paul Hubert & Becky Maule, 2016. "Policy and Macro Signals as Inputs to Inflation Expectation Formation," Documents de Travail de l'OFCE 2016-02, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE).
- Hubert, Paul & Maule, Becky, 2016. "Policy and macro signals as inputs to inflation expectation formation," Bank of England working papers 581, Bank of England.
- Paul Hubert & Becky Maule, 2016. "Policy and Macro Signals as Inputs to Inflation Expectation Formation," Working Papers hal-03459462, HAL.
- Antón Sarabia Arturo & Bazdresch Santiago & Lelo-de-Larrea Alejandra, 2023. "The Influence of Central Bank's Projections and Economic Narrative on Professional Forecasters' Expectations: Evidence from Mexico," Working Papers 2023-21, Banco de México.
- Couture, Cody, 2021. "Financial market effects of FOMC projections," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
- Ricardo Reis, 2013.
"Central Bank Design,"
Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 27(4), pages 17-44, Fall.
- Ricardo Reis, 2013. "Central Bank Design," NBER Working Papers 19187, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Reis, Ricardo, 2013. "Central Bank Design," CEPR Discussion Papers 9567, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Aeimit Lakdawala, 2019.
"Decomposing the effects of monetary policy using an external instruments SVAR,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 34(6), pages 934-950, September.
- Lakdawala, Aeimit, 2016. "Decomposing the Effects of Monetary Policy Using an External Instruments SVAR," MPRA Paper 78254, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Hubert Paul, 2017.
"Qualitative and quantitative central bank communication and inflation expectations,"
The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 17(1), pages 1-41, January.
- Paul Hubert, 2017. "Qualitative and quantitative central bank communication and inflation expectations," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03409181, HAL.
- Paul Hubert, 2017. "Qualitative and quantitative central bank communication and inflation expectations," Post-Print hal-03409181, HAL.
- Hwang, In Do & Lustenberger, Thomas & Rossi, Enzo, 2021. "Does communication influence executives’ opinion of central bank policy?☆," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
- Ryan Rholes & Luba Petersen, 2020. "Should central banks communicate uncertainty in their projections?," Discussion Papers dp20-01, Department of Economics, Simon Fraser University.
- Arnold Segawa, 2021. "Sentimental Outlook for the Monetary Policies of South African Reserve Bank," International Journal of Finance & Banking Studies, Center for the Strategic Studies in Business and Finance, vol. 10(3), pages 37-56, July.
- de Mendonça, Helder Ferreira & de Deus, Joseph David Barroso Vasconcelos, 2019. "Central bank forecasts and private expectations: An empirical assessment from three emerging economies," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 234-244.
- repec:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/79hle3i1b69dqrocqsjarh6lb1 is not listed on IDEAS
- Tafajul Hossain & Biswajit Maitra, 2020. "Monetary Policy, Trade Openness and Economic Growth in India Under Monetary-targeting and Multiple-indicator Approach Regimes," Arthaniti: Journal of Economic Theory and Practice, , vol. 19(1), pages 108-124, June.
- Vereda, Luciano & Savignon, João & Gouveia da Silva, Tarciso, 2024. "A theory-based method to evaluate the impact of central bank inflation forecasts on private inflation expectations," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(3), pages 1069-1084.
- Yoichi Tsuchiya, 2021. "The value added of the Bank of Japan's range forecasts," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(5), pages 817-833, August.
- repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/79hle3i1b69dqrocqsjarh6lb1 is not listed on IDEAS
- Gabriel Arce‐Alfaro & Boris Blagov, 2023. "Monetary Policy Uncertainty and Inflation Expectations," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 85(1), pages 70-94, February.
More about this item
Keywords
Household expectations; Survey of professional forecasters; Central bank communications; Expectations channel; Structural vector auto regression;All these keywords.
JEL classification:
- D83 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Search; Learning; Information and Knowledge; Communication; Belief; Unawareness
- D84 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Expectations; Speculations
- E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
- E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
NEP fields
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:- NEP-CBA-2021-05-24 (Central Banking)
- NEP-MAC-2021-05-24 (Macroeconomics)
- NEP-MON-2021-05-24 (Monetary Economics)
Statistics
Access and download statisticsCorrections
All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ind:igiwpp:2021-011. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Shamprasad M. Pujar (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/igidrin.html .
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.