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Industry Effects of Oil Price Shocks: Re-Examination

Author

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  • Soojin Jo
  • Lilia Karnizova
  • Abeer Reza
Abstract
Sectoral responses to oil price shocks help determine how these shocks are transmitted through the economy. Textbook treatments of oil price shocks often emphasize negative supply effects on oil importing countries. By contrast, the seminal contribution of Lee and Ni (2002) has shown that almost all U.S. industries experience oil price shocks largely through a reduction in their respective demands. Only industries with very high oil intensities face a supply-driven reduction. In this paper, we re-examine this seminal findings using two additional decades of data. Further, we apply updated empirical methods, including structural factor-augmented vector autoregressions, that take into account how industries are linked among themselves and with the remainder of the macro-economy. Our results confirm the original finding of Lee and Ni that demand effects of oil price shocks dominate in all but a handful of U.S. industries.

Suggested Citation

  • Soojin Jo & Lilia Karnizova & Abeer Reza, 2017. "Industry Effects of Oil Price Shocks: Re-Examination," Working Papers 1710, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
  • Handle: RePEc:fip:feddwp:1710
    DOI: 10.24149/wp1710
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    3. Ron Alquist & Reinhard Ellwanger & Jianjian Jin, 2020. "The effect of oil price shocks on asset markets: Evidence from oil inventory news," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(8), pages 1212-1230, August.
    4. Jo, Soojin & Karnizova, Lilia & Reza, Abeer, 2019. "Industry effects of oil price shocks: A re-examination," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 179-190.
    5. Lu, Xunfa & He, Pengchao & Zhang, Zhengjun & Apergis, Nicholas & Roubaud, David, 2024. "Extreme co-movements between decomposed oil price shocks and sustainable investments," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
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    9. Quintero Otero, Jorge David, 2020. "Not all sectors are alike: Differential impacts of shocks in oil prices on the sectors of the Colombian economy," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
    10. Johan Brannlund & Geoffrey R. Dunbar & Reinhard Ellwanger, 2022. "Are Temporary Oil Supply Shocks Real?," Staff Working Papers 22-52, Bank of Canada.
    11. Henry Egbezien Inegbedion & Emmanuel Inegbedion & Eseosa Obadiaru & Abiola Asaleye, 2020. "Petroleum Subsidy Withdrawal, Fuel Price Hikes and the Nigerian Economy," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 10(4), pages 258-265.
    12. Lorraine Eden & Charles F. Hermann & Stewart R. Miller, . "Evidence-based policymaking in a VUCA world," UNCTAD Transnational Corporations Journal, United Nations Conference on Trade and Development.
    13. Darko B. Vuković & Senanu Dekpo-Adza & Vladislav Khmelnitskiy & Mustafa Özer, 2023. "Spillovers across the Asian OPEC+ Financial Market," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(18), pages 1-23, September.
    14. Dohyoung Kwon, 2024. "Changes in the effects of oil price shocks on US industrial production," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(2), pages 2515-2526, April.
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    Keywords

    oil price shocks; SVAR; FAVAR; industry supply and demand;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E30 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • Q43 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Energy and the Macroeconomy

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