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Managing the transition to central bank digital currency

Author

Listed:
  • Katrin Assenmacher
  • Massimo Ferrari Minesso
  • Arnaud Mehl
  • Maria Sole Pagliari
Abstract
We develop a two-country DSGE model with financial frictions to study the transi- tion from a steady-state without CBDC to one in which the home country issues a CBDC. The CBDC provides households with a liquid, convenient and storage-cost- free means of payments which reduces the market power of banks on deposits. In the steady-state CBDC unambiguously improves welfare without disintermediating the banking sector. But macroeconomic volatility in the transition period to the new steady-state increases for plausible values of the latter. Demand for CBDC and money overshoot, thereby crowding out bank deposits and leading to initial declines in investment, consumption and output. We use non-linear solution meth- ods with occasionally binding constraints to explore how alternative policies reduce volatility in the transition, contrasting the effects of restrictions on non-residents, binding caps, tiered remuneration and central bank asset purchases. Binding caps reduce disintermediation and output losses in the transition most effectively, with an optimal level of around 40% of steady-state CBDC demand.

Suggested Citation

  • Katrin Assenmacher & Massimo Ferrari Minesso & Arnaud Mehl & Maria Sole Pagliari, 2024. "Managing the transition to central bank digital currency," Working Papers 803, DNB.
  • Handle: RePEc:dnb:dnbwpp:803
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    File URL: https://www.dnb.nl/media/ffenyxxc/working_paper_no-803.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Saroj Bhattarai & Mohammad Davoodalhosseini & Zhenning Zhao, 2024. "Central Bank Digital Currency and Transmission of Monetary Policy," Staff Working Papers 24-27, Bank of Canada.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Central bank digital currency; open-economy DSGE models; steady- state transition; occasionally binding constraints;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E50 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - General
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • F30 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - General
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

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