[go: up one dir, main page]
IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/bir/birmec/20-29.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Covid-19 and a Green Recovery?

Author

Listed:
  • Aditya Goenka

    (University of Birmingham)

  • Lin Liu

    (University of Liverpool)

  • Nguyen, Manh-Hung

    (Toulouse School of Economics)

Abstract
Preliminary evidence indicates that pollution increases severity and likelihood of Covid- 19 infections as is the for many other infectious diseases. This paper models the interaction of pollution and preventive actions on transmission of infectious diseases in a neoclassical growth framework where households do not take into account how their actions affects disease transmission and production activity results in pollution which increases likelihood of infections. Household can take private actions for abatement of pollution as for controlling disease transmission. Disease dynamics follow SIS dynamics. We study the difference in health and economic outcomes between the decentralized economy, where households do not internalize the externalities, and the socially optimal outcomes, and characterize the taxes and subsidies that will decentralize the socially optimal outcomes. Thus, we examine the question whether there are sufficient incentives to reduce pollution, both at the private and public levels, once its effects on disease transmission is taken into account.

Suggested Citation

  • Aditya Goenka & Lin Liu & Nguyen, Manh-Hung, 2020. "Covid-19 and a Green Recovery?," Discussion Papers 20-29, Department of Economics, University of Birmingham.
    • Handle: RePEc:bir:birmec:20-29
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://repec.cal.bham.ac.uk/pdf/20-29.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Aditya Goenka & Lin Liu & Manh-Hung Nguyen, 2021. "Modeling optimal quarantines with waning immunity," Discussion Papers 21-10, Department of Economics, University of Birmingham.
    2. Goenka, Aditya & Liu, Lin & Nguyen, Manh-Hung, 2021. "SIR economic epidemiological models with disease induced mortality," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    3. Stefano Bosi & David Desmarchelier, 2021. "Pollution effects on disease transmission and economic stability," International Journal of Economic Theory, The International Society for Economic Theory, vol. 17(2), pages 169-189, June.
    4. Mark Gersovitz & Jeffrey S. Hammer, 2004. "The Economical Control of Infectious Diseases," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 114(492), pages 1-27, January.
    5. Goenka, Aditya & Jafarey, Saqib & Pouliot, William, 2020. "Pollution, mortality and time consistent abatement taxes," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 1-15.
    6. Martin S Eichenbaum & Sergio Rebelo & Mathias Trabandt, 2021. "The Macroeconomics of Epidemics [Economic activity and the spread of viral diseases: Evidence from high frequency data]," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 34(11), pages 5149-5187.
    7. Goenka, Aditya & Liu, Lin & Nguyen, Manh-Hung, 2014. "Infectious diseases and economic growth," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 34-53.
    8. Stefano Bosi & David Desmarchelier, 2018. "Pollution and infectious diseases," International Journal of Economic Theory, The International Society for Economic Theory, vol. 14(4), pages 351-372, December.
    9. Geoffard, Pierre-Yves & Philipson, Tomas, 1996. "Rational Epidemics and Their Public Control," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 37(3), pages 603-624, August.
    10. Goenka, Aditya & Liu, Lin & Nguyen, Manh-Hung, 2020. "Modeling optimal quarantines under infectious disease related mortality," TSE Working Papers 20-1136, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE).
    11. Aditya Goenka & Lin Liu, 2020. "Infectious diseases, human capital and economic growth," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 70(1), pages 1-47, July.
    12. Aditya Goenka & Lin Liu, 2012. "Infectious diseases and endogenous fluctuations," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 50(1), pages 125-149, May.
    13. Liu, Shenglong & Hu, Angang, 2013. "Demographic change and economic growth: Theory and evidence from China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 71-77.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Dong, Weijian & Li, Ying & Gao, Pengpeng & Sun, Yunpeng, 2023. "Role of trade and green bond market in renewable energy deployment in Southeast Asia," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 204(C), pages 313-319.
    2. Vladimir S. Osipov & Yuriy A. Krupnov & Galina N. Semenova & Maria V. Tkacheva, 2022. "Ecologically Responsible Entrepreneurship and Its Contribution to the Green Economy’s Sustainable Development: Financial Risk Management Prospects," Risks, MDPI, vol. 10(2), pages 1-19, February.
    3. Xu, Jiaqi & Zhao, Jingfeng & Liu, Wen, 2023. "A comparative study of renewable and fossil fuels energy impacts on green development in Asian countries with divergent income inequality," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).
    4. Li, Zengrong & Wu, Yanqiu & Rasoulinezhad, Ehsan & Sheng, Yishen & Bi, Chunyu, 2023. "Green economic recovery in central Asia by utilizing natural resources," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    5. Hu, Xiaofeng, 2023. "Green economic recovery in Central Asia by utilizing natural resources," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    6. Da Van Huynh & Long Hai Duong & Nhan Trong Nguyen & Thuy Thi Kim Truong, 2022. "Tourism Vulnerability Amid the Pandemic Crisis: Impacts and Implications for Rebuilding Resilience of a Local Tourism System in Vietnam," Social Sciences, MDPI, vol. 11(10), pages 1-13, September.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Goenka, Aditya & Liu, Lin & Nguyen, Manh-Hung, 2021. "SIR economic epidemiological models with disease induced mortality," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    2. Raouf Boucekkine & Shankha Chakraborty & Aditya Goenka & Lin Liu, 2024. "A Brief Tour of Economic Epidemiology Modelling," LIDAM Discussion Papers IRES 2024002, Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES).
    3. repec:hal:journl:hal-03549316 is not listed on IDEAS
    4. Bouveret, Géraldine & Mandel, Antoine, 2021. "Social interactions and the prophylaxis of SI epidemics on networks," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    5. d’Albis, Hippolyte & Augeraud-Véron, Emmanuelle, 2021. "Optimal prevention and elimination of infectious diseases," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    6. Bosi, Stefano & Camacho, Carmen & Desmarchelier, David, 2021. "Optimal lockdown in altruistic economies," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    7. Aditya Goenka & Lin Liu & Manh-Hung Nguyen, 2021. "Modeling optimal quarantines with waning immunity," Discussion Papers 21-10, Department of Economics, University of Birmingham.
    8. David Desmarchelier & Magali Jaoul-Grammare & Guillaume Morel & Thi Kim Cuong Pham, 2021. "Infectious disease and endogenous cycles: lockdown hits two birds with one stone," Working Papers of BETA 2021-23, Bureau d'Economie Théorique et Appliquée, UDS, Strasbourg.
    9. Aditya Goenka & Lin Liu & Manh-Hung Nguyen, 2020. "Modeling optimal quarantines under infectious disease related mortality," Working Papers 202025, University of Liverpool, Department of Economics.
    10. Luca Gori & Cristiana Mammana & Piero Manfredi & Elisabetta Michetti, 2022. "Economic development with deadly communicable diseases and public prevention," Journal of Public Economic Theory, Association for Public Economic Theory, vol. 24(5), pages 912-943, October.
    11. La Torre, Davide & Liuzzi, Danilo & Marsiglio, Simone, 2021. "Epidemics and macroeconomic outcomes: Social distancing intensity and duration," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    12. Thomas Hellmann & Veikko Thiele, 2022. "A theory of voluntary testing and self‐isolation in an ongoing pandemic," Journal of Public Economic Theory, Association for Public Economic Theory, vol. 24(5), pages 873-911, October.
    13. Aditya Goenka & Lin Liu, 2020. "Infectious diseases, human capital and economic growth," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 70(1), pages 1-47, July.
    14. Davide Torre & Simone Marsiglio & Franklin Mendivil & Fabio Privileggi, 2024. "Stochastic disease spreading and containment policies under state-dependent probabilities," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 77(1), pages 127-168, February.
    15. Stefano Bosi & Carmen Camacho & David Desmarchelier, 2023. "On human capital accumulation in times of epidemic," PSE Working Papers halshs-04164371, HAL.
    16. Carmona, Julio & León, ángel, 2021. "Pandemic Effects in the Solow Growth Model," QM&ET Working Papers 21-1, University of Alicante, D. Quantitative Methods and Economic Theory, revised 07 Apr 2022.
    17. Guimarães, Luís, 2021. "Antibody tests: They are more important than we thought," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    18. Stefano Bosi & Carmen Camacho & David Desmarchelier, 2020. "Optimal lockdown in altruistic economies," PSE Working Papers halshs-02652165, HAL.
    19. Konstantinos Gkillas & Christoforos Konstantatos & Costas Siriopoulos, 2021. "Uncertainty Due to Infectious Diseases and Stock–Bond Correlation," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 9(2), pages 1-18, April.
    20. Siddhartha Bandyopadhyay & Kalyan Chatterjee & Kaustav Das & Jaideep Roy, 2020. "Learning or habit formation? Optimal timing of lockdown for disease containment," Discussion Papers 20-17, Department of Economics, University of Birmingham.
    21. Luciana BARTOLINI & Francesco MAGRIS, 2022. "Growth, Lockdown and the Dynamics of the Covid-19 Pandemic," LEO Working Papers / DR LEO 2935, Orleans Economics Laboratory / Laboratoire d'Economie d'Orleans (LEO), University of Orleans.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Covid-19; pollution; environmental policy; infectious disease; Green Recovery; dynamic Pigovian taxes;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • I15 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - Health and Economic Development
    • Q53 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Air Pollution; Water Pollution; Noise; Hazardous Waste; Solid Waste; Recycling
    • H23 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - Externalities; Redistributive Effects; Environmental Taxes and Subsidies
    • E22 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Investment; Capital; Intangible Capital; Capacity
    • C61 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Optimization Techniques; Programming Models; Dynamic Analysis

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bir:birmec:20-29. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Oleksandr Talavera (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/debhauk.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.