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Statistical inference for rough volatility: Central limit theorems

Author

Listed:
  • Carsten Chong
  • Marc Hoffmann
  • Yanghui Liu
  • Mathieu Rosenbaum
  • Gr'egoire Szymanski
Abstract
In recent years, there has been a substantive interest in rough volatility models. In this class of models, the local behavior of stochastic volatility is much more irregular than semimartingales and resembles that of a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter $H

Suggested Citation

  • Carsten Chong & Marc Hoffmann & Yanghui Liu & Mathieu Rosenbaum & Gr'egoire Szymanski, 2022. "Statistical inference for rough volatility: Central limit theorems," Papers 2210.01216, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2024.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2210.01216
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    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/2210.01216
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Mikkel Bennedsen & Asger Lunde & Mikko S Pakkanen, 2022. "Decoupling the Short- and Long-Term Behavior of Stochastic Volatility [Multifactor Approximation of Rough Volatility Models]," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 20(5), pages 961-1006.
    2. Bolko, Anine E. & Christensen, Kim & Pakkanen, Mikko S. & Veliyev, Bezirgen, 2023. "A GMM approach to estimate the roughness of stochastic volatility," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 235(2), pages 745-778.
    3. Ilze Kalnina & Dacheng Xiu, 2017. "Nonparametric Estimation of the Leverage Effect: A Trade-Off Between Robustness and Efficiency," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 112(517), pages 384-396, January.
    4. Aït-Sahalia, Yacine & Fan, Jianqing & Li, Yingying, 2013. "The leverage effect puzzle: Disentangling sources of bias at high frequency," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 109(1), pages 224-249.
    5. Paul Jusselin & Mathieu Rosenbaum, 2020. "No‐arbitrage implies power‐law market impact and rough volatility," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 30(4), pages 1309-1336, October.
    6. Carsten H. Chong & Thomas Delerue & Guoying Li, 2021. "When Frictions are Fractional: Rough Noise in High-Frequency Data," Papers 2106.16149, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2024.
    7. Jim Gatheral & Thibault Jaisson & Mathieu Rosenbaum, 2018. "Volatility is rough," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(6), pages 933-949, June.
    8. Christina D. Wang & Per A. Mykland, 2014. "The Estimation of Leverage Effect With High-Frequency Data," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 109(505), pages 197-215, March.
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    11. Carsten H. Chong & Viktor Todorov, 2022. "Short-time expansion of characteristic functions in a rough volatility setting with applications," Papers 2208.00830, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2024.
    12. Giulia Livieri & Saad Mouti & Andrea Pallavicini & Mathieu Rosenbaum, 2018. "Rough volatility: Evidence from option prices," IISE Transactions, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(9), pages 767-776, September.
    13. Omar El Euch & Mathieu Rosenbaum, 2019. "The characteristic function of rough Heston models," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 29(1), pages 3-38, January.
    14. Carsten Chong & Marc Hoffmann & Yanghui Liu & Mathieu Rosenbaum & Gr'egoire Szymanski, 2022. "Statistical inference for rough volatility: Minimax Theory," Papers 2210.01214, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2024.
    15. Masaaki Fukasawa, 2021. "Volatility has to be rough," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(1), pages 1-8, January.
    16. Yacine Aït-Sahalia & Jianqing Fan & Roger J. A. Laeven & Christina Dan Wang & Xiye Yang, 2017. "Estimation of the Continuous and Discontinuous Leverage Effects," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 112(520), pages 1744-1758, October.
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    18. Jim Gatheral & Paul Jusselin & Mathieu Rosenbaum, 2020. "The quadratic rough Heston model and the joint S&P 500/VIX smile calibration problem," Papers 2001.01789, arXiv.org.
    19. Corcuera, José Manuel & Hedevang, Emil & Pakkanen, Mikko S. & Podolskij, Mark, 2013. "Asymptotic theory for Brownian semi-stationary processes with application to turbulence," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 123(7), pages 2552-2574.
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    Cited by:

    1. Xiyue Han & Alexander Schied, 2023. "Estimating the roughness exponent of stochastic volatility from discrete observations of the integrated variance," Papers 2307.02582, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2024.
    2. Carsten Chong & Marc Hoffmann & Yanghui Liu & Mathieu Rosenbaum & Gr'egoire Szymanski, 2022. "Statistical inference for rough volatility: Minimax Theory," Papers 2210.01214, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2024.
    3. Ranieri Dugo & Giacomo Giorgio & Paolo Pigato, 2024. "The Multivariate Fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck Process," CEIS Research Paper 581, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 28 Aug 2024.
    4. Ulrich Horst & Wei Xu & Rouyi Zhang, 2023. "Convergence of Heavy-Tailed Hawkes Processes and the Microstructure of Rough Volatility," Papers 2312.08784, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2024.

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