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Achieving Sustainable Irrigation Water Withdrawals: Global Impacts on Food Security and Land Use

Author

Listed:
  • Liu, Jing
  • Hertel, Thomas W.
  • Lammers, Richard
  • Prusevich, Alexander
  • Baldos, Uris Lantz C.
  • Grogan, Danielle S.
  • Frolking, Steve
Abstract
Human activity induced unsustainable water use challenges the capacity of water resources to ensure food security and continued growth of the economy. Adaptation policies targeting future water security can easily overlook its interaction with other sustainability metrics and unanticipated local responses to the larger-scale policy interventions. Using a global partial equilibrium grid-resolving model SIMPLE-on-a-Grid, and coupling it with the global Water Balance Model, we simulate the consequences of reducing unsustainable irrigation for food security, land use change, and terrestrial carbon under a variety of future (2050) scenarios that interact future irrigation productivity with two policy interventions - inter-basin water transfers and international commodity market integration. We find that pursuing sustainable irrigation may erode other development and environmental goals due to higher food price and cropland expansion. This results in over 800 million more undernourished people and 0.87GtC additional emissions. Faster total factor productivity growth in irrigated sectors will encourage more aggressive irrigation water use in the basins where irrigation vulnerability is expected to be reduced by inter-basin water transfer. By allowing for a systematic comparison of these alternative adaptations to future irrigation vulnerability, the global gridded modeling approach offers unique insights into the multiscale nature of the water scarcity challenge.
(This abstract was borrowed from another version of this item.)

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  • Liu, Jing & Hertel, Thomas W. & Lammers, Richard & Prusevich, Alexander & Baldos, Uris Lantz C. & Grogan, Danielle S. & Frolking, Steve, 2017. "Achieving Sustainable Irrigation Water Withdrawals: Global Impacts on Food Security and Land Use," 2017 Annual Meeting, July 30-August 1, Chicago, Illinois 258118, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:aaea17:258118
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.258118
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Amarasinghe, Upali A. & Smakhtin, Vladimir, 2014. "Global water demand projections: past, present and future," IWMI Reports 201006, International Water Management Institute.
    2. Amarasinghe, Upali A. & Smakhtin, Vladimir., 2014. "Global water demand projections: past, present and future," IWMI Research Reports H046577, International Water Management Institute.
    3. Hanjra, Munir A. & Qureshi, M. Ejaz, 2010. "Global water crisis and future food security in an era of climate change," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 35(5), pages 365-377, October.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    Cited by:

    1. Wang, Zhan & Liu, Jing & Hertel, Thomas, 2020. "The Uncertain Future of Biofuels in China and the Impacts on the Food-Land-Water Nexus: A Multi-scale Analysis," Conference papers 333177, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    2. Haqiqi, Iman & Bowling, Laura C. & Jame, Sadia & Hertel, Thomas W. & Baldos, Uris Lantz C. & Liu, Jing, 2019. "Global Drivers of Land and Water Sustainability Stresses at Mid-Century," 2019 Annual Meeting, July 21-23, Atlanta, Georgia 291101, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    3. Villoria, Nelson B. & Liu, Jing, 2018. "Using spatially explicit data to improve our understanding of land supply responses: An application to the cropland effects of global sustainable irrigation in the Americas," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 411-419.
    4. Hertel, Thomas W., 2021. "Educating the Next Generation of Interdisciplinary Researchers to Tackle Global Sustainability Challenges: A Graduate Course," Applied Economics Teaching Resources (AETR), Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 2(6), January.
    5. Haqiqi, Iman & Bahalou Horeh, Marziyeh, 2018. "The Impacts of Climate Change on Surface and Ground Water Withdrawal: A New Global Data Base of Costs and Returns of Irrigation Part I: Background, Method, and Data," Conference papers 332975, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    6. Qun Liu & Zhaoping Yang & Cuirong Wang & Fang Han, 2019. "Temporal-Spatial Variations and Influencing Factor of Land Use Change in Xinjiang, Central Asia, from 1995 to 2015," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(3), pages 1-14, January.
    7. Haqiqi, Iman, 2022. "Implications of Climate Policy for Local Agriculture and Irrigation," Conference papers 333449, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    8. Obiamaka P. Egbo & Hillary Chijindu Ezeaku & Victor O. Okolo & Chika A. Anisiuba & Godwin Imo Ibe & Onuora M. Okeke & Paul Agu Igwe, 2023. "Enhancing agricultural and industrial productivity through freshwater withdrawals and management: implications for the BRICS countries," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 25(4), pages 3771-3799, April.
    9. Bahalou Horeh, Marziyeh & Haqiqi, Iman, 2020. "Impacts of Economic Growth and Depression in the US, China, and India on Global Land and Water Resources," 2020 Annual Meeting, July 26-28, Kansas City, Missouri 304526, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    10. Wuliyasu Bai & Liang Yan & Jingbo Liang & Long Zhang, 2022. "Mapping Knowledge Domain on Economic Growth and Water Sustainability: A Scientometric Analysis," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 36(11), pages 4137-4159, September.
    11. Johnson, Justin Andrew & Baldos, Uris Lantz & Hertel, Thomas & Nootenboom, Chris & Polasky, Stephen & Roxburgh, Toby, 2020. "Global Futures: Modelling the global economic impacts of environmental change to support policy-making," Technical Papers 323944, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    12. Liu, Jing & Hertel, Thomas W. & Kucharik, Christopher & Baldos, Uris Lantz C. & Jarvis, Larissa & Ramankutty, Navin, 2018. "Using Targeted Policies to Manage Nitrogen for Sustainable Agriculture in the US," 2018 Annual Meeting, August 5-7, Washington, D.C. 274427, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    13. Jing Liu & Laura Bowling & Christopher Kucharik & Sadia Jame & Uris Baldos & Larissa Jarvis & Navin Ramankutty & Thomas Hertel, 2022. "Multi-scale Analysis of Nitrogen Loss Mitigation in the US Corn Belt," Papers 2206.07596, arXiv.org.
    14. Hadi A. AL-agele & Lloyd Nackley & Chad W. Higgins, 2021. "A Pathway for Sustainable Agriculture," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(8), pages 1-14, April.
    15. Cao, Xinchun & Zeng, Wen & Wu, Mengyang & Guo, Xiangping & Wang, Weiguang, 2020. "Hybrid analytical framework for regional agricultural water resource utilization and efficiency evaluation," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).

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    Keywords

    Land Economics/Use; Resource/Energy Economics and Policy; Agricultural and Food Policy;
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