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The Renminbi central parity: An empirical investigation

Author

Listed:
  • Cheung, Yin-Wong
  • Hui, Cho-Hoi
  • Tsang, Andrew
Abstract
On August 11, 2015, China revamped its procedure for setting the official central parity of the renminbi (RMB) against the US dollar. Our empirical investigation suggests that the intertemporal dynamics of China's central parity shifted after this policy change, though the deviation of the RMB offshore rate from the central parity and the US dollar index remained the two significant determi-nants of central parity after the policy change. In contrast, the VIX index only offered explanatory power up to August 2015. Thereafter, the onshore RMB rate and the difference between the one-month offshore and onshore RMB forward points have significant impacts on the central parity. While the US dollar index effect remains, we find no evidence of a rate-fixing role for the RMB exchange rate against the currency basket announced by China in December 2015.

Suggested Citation

  • Cheung, Yin-Wong & Hui, Cho-Hoi & Tsang, Andrew, 2017. "The Renminbi central parity: An empirical investigation," BOFIT Discussion Papers 7/2017, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:bofitp:bdp2017_007
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Yin-Wong Cheung & Cho-Hoi Hui & Andrew Tsang, 2017. "The RMB Central Parity Formation Mechanism after August 2015: A Statistical Analysis," Working Papers 062017, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research.
    2. Daniela Marconi, "undated". "Currency Co-Movements In Asia-Pacific: The Regional Role Of The Renminbi," GRU Working Paper Series GRU_2016_023, City University of Hong Kong, Department of Economics and Finance, Global Research Unit.
    3. Funke, Michael & Loermann, Julius & Tsang, Andrew, 2017. "The information content in the offshore Renminbi foreign-exchange option market: Analytics and implied USD/CNH densities," BOFIT Discussion Papers 15/2017, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).
    4. Urban J. Jermann & Bin Wei & Vivian Z. Yue, 2022. "The Two‐Pillar Policy for the RMB," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 77(6), pages 3093-3140, December.
    5. Daniela Marconi, "undated". "Currency Co-Movements In Asia-Pacific: The Regional Role Of The Renminbi," GRU Working Paper Series GRU_2016_023, City University of Hong Kong, Department of Economics and Finance, Global Research Unit.
    6. Frederik Kunze, 2020. "Predicting exchange rates in Asia: New insights on the accuracy of survey forecasts," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(2), pages 313-333, March.
    7. Tom Pak Wing Fong & Alfred Yun Tong Wong, 2020. "Safehavenness of the Chinese renminbi," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 23(2), pages 215-233, August.
    8. Wan, Xiaoli & Yan, Yuruo & Zeng, Zhixiong, 2020. "Exchange rate regimes and market integration: evidence from the dynamic relations between renminbi onshore and offshore markets," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    9. Cheung, Yin-Wong & Hui, Cho-Hoi & Tsang, Andrew, 2018. "The RMB central parity formation mechanism: August 2015 to December 2016," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 223-243.
    10. Kunze, Frederik, 2017. "Predicting exchange rates in Asia: New insights on the accuracy of survey forecasts," University of Göttingen Working Papers in Economics 326, University of Goettingen, Department of Economics.
    11. repec:zbw:bofitp:2017_010 is not listed on IDEAS
    12. Yin-Wong Cheung & Cho-Hoi Hui & Andrew Tsang, 2016. "The Renminbi Central Parity: An Empirical Investigation," Working Papers 102016, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research.
    13. repec:zbw:bofitp:2017_015 is not listed on IDEAS
    14. Cho-Hoi Hui & Chi-Fai Lo, 2018. "A simple explanation of biased movements of renminbi exchange rate," International Journal of Financial Engineering (IJFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 5(04), pages 1-12, December.
    15. Zuzana Rowland & George Lazaroiu & Ivana Podhorská, 2020. "Use of Neural Networks to Accommodate Seasonal Fluctuations When Equalizing Time Series for the CZK/RMB Exchange Rate," Risks, MDPI, vol. 9(1), pages 1-21, December.
    16. Katarzyna Twarowska, 2019. "Reforms of China’s exchange rate regime and the renminbi interna-tionalization," Ekonomia i Prawo, Uniwersytet Mikolaja Kopernika, vol. 18(4), pages 531-556, December.
    17. repec:zbw:bofitp:2017_007 is not listed on IDEAS

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    JEL classification:

    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • F33 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • G17 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Financial Forecasting and Simulation
    • G18 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Government Policy and Regulation

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