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Looking Beyond the Horizon : How Climate Change Impacts and Adaptation Responses Will Reshape Agriculture in Eastern Europe and Central Asia

Author

Listed:
  • William R. Sutton
  • Jitendra P. Srivastava
  • James E. Neumann
Abstract
This volume presents a synthesis of the multi-country collaborative program of analytical and advisory activities titled reducing vulnerability to climate change in European and Central Asian (ECA) agricultural systems. Climate change and its impacts on agricultural systems and rural economies are already evident throughout the ECA region. Adaptation measures now in use in the region-largely piecemeal efforts-would be insufficient to prevent impacts on agricultural production over the coming decades. Interest is growing among governments and many of their development partners to gain a better understanding of the exposure, sensitivities, and impacts of climate change at the farm level, and to develop and prioritize adaptation measures to build resilience to the potentially adverse consequences. Agricultural production is inextricably tied to climate, making agriculture one of the most climate-sensitive of all economic sectors. In many countries, such as the four examined in this work, the risks of climate change for the agricultural sector are a particularly immediate and important problem because the majority of the rural population depends either directly or indirectly on agriculture for their livelihoods. The risks of climate change cannot be effectively dealt with and the opportunities cannot be effectively exploited without a clear plan for aligning agricultural policies with climate change, for developing key agricultural institution capabilities, and for making needed infrastructure and on-farm investments. However, an important advantage of the innovative approach developed for this assessment is that it can be applied to gauge the climate change risks and opportunities of any country's farming systems, and it can be used to define and prioritize practical adaptation options.

Suggested Citation

  • William R. Sutton & Jitendra P. Srivastava & James E. Neumann, 2013. "Looking Beyond the Horizon : How Climate Change Impacts and Adaptation Responses Will Reshape Agriculture in Eastern Europe and Central Asia," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 13119.
    • Handle: RePEc:wbk:wbpubs:13119
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    File URL: https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/bitstream/handle/10986/13119/9780821397688.pdf?sequence=5
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Griewald, Yuliana & Clemens, Gerhard & Kamp, Johannes & Gladun, Elena & Hölzel, Norbert & von Dressler, Hubertus, 2017. "Developing land use scenarios for stakeholder participation in Russia," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 264-276.
    2. Miranda Svanidze & Linde Götz & Ivan Djuric & Thomas Glauben, 2019. "Food security and the functioning of wheat markets in Eurasia: a comparative price transmission analysis for the countries of Central Asia and the South Caucasus," Food Security: The Science, Sociology and Economics of Food Production and Access to Food, Springer;The International Society for Plant Pathology, vol. 11(3), pages 733-752, June.
    3. Voloudakis, Dimitrios & Karamanos, Andreas & Economou, Garifalia & Kalivas, Dionissios & Vahamidis, Petros & Kotoulas, Vasilios & Kapsomenakis, John & Zerefos, Christos, 2015. "Prediction of climate change impacts on cotton yields in Greece under eight climatic models using the AquaCrop crop simulation model and discriminant function analysis," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 147(C), pages 116-128.
    4. J. V. N. S. Prasad & N. Loganandhan & P. R. Ramesh & C. A. Rama Rao & B. M. K. Raju & K. V. Rao & A. V. M. Subba Rao & R. Rejani & Sumanta Kundu & Prabhat Kumar Pankaj & C. M. Pradeep & B. V. S. Kiran, 2024. "Assessment of Resilience Due to Adoption of Technologies in Frequently Drought-Prone Regions of India," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(17), pages 1-23, August.
    5. Bobojonov, Ihtiyor & Berg, Ernst & Franz-Vasdeki, Jennifer & Martius, Christopher & Lamers, John P.A., 2016. "Income and irrigation water use efficiency under climate change: An application of spatial stochastic crop and water allocation model to Western Uzbekistan," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 13, pages 19-30.
    6. William R. Sutton & Jitendra P. Srivastava & James E. Neumann & Peter Droogers & Brent B. Boehlert, 2013. "Reducing the Vulnerability of Uzbekistan's Agricultural Systems to Climate Change : Impact Assessment and Adaptation Options," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 16200.
    7. Ștefan-Mihai PETREA & Dragos Sebastian Cristea & Maria Magdalena Turek Rahoveanu & Cristina Gabriela Zamfir & Adrian Turek Rahoveanu & Gheorghe Adrian Zugravu & Dumitru Nancu, 2020. "Perspectives of the Moldavian Agricultural Sector by Using a Custom-Developed Analytical Framework," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(11), pages 1-40, June.
    8. Wanlu Liu & Lulu Liu & Jiangbo Gao, 2020. "Adapting to climate change: gaps and strategies for Central Asia," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 25(8), pages 1439-1459, December.
    9. repec:zbw:iamodp:285032 is not listed on IDEAS
    10. Neumann James E. & Strzepek Kenneth, 2014. "State of the literature on the economic impacts of climate change in the United States," Journal of Benefit-Cost Analysis, De Gruyter, vol. 5(3), pages 411-443, December.
    11. Donna Mitchell & Ryan B. Williams & Darren Hudson & Phillip Johnson, 2017. "A Monte Carlo analysis on the impact of climate change on future crop choice and water use in Uzbekistan," Food Security: The Science, Sociology and Economics of Food Production and Access to Food, Springer;The International Society for Plant Pathology, vol. 9(4), pages 697-709, August.

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