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Economic impact assessment of alternative European Neighborhood Policy (ENP) options with the application of the GMR-Turkey model

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  • Attila Varga
  • Mete Baypinar
Abstract
This paper applies the GMR-Turkey policy impact model to estimate the likely regional effects of a selected set of policies suggested in the European Neighborhood Policy literature. We grouped the policy suggestions into two alternative sets of measures, which became the bases of two alternative scenarios of regional economic development, the Conservative scenario and the Technology- and innovation-based development scenario. Our results suggest that a persistent and systematic long-term regional technology development-based economic policy which applies measures such as investment, education and R&D support, promotion of better connectedness to EU research networks and increased physical accessibility to developed markets could in the longer run result in higher levels of regional and national production together with decreasing interregional differences than a scenario supporting the expansion of traditional industries in the region. Copyright Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 2016

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  • Attila Varga & Mete Baypinar, 2016. "Economic impact assessment of alternative European Neighborhood Policy (ENP) options with the application of the GMR-Turkey model," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 56(1), pages 153-176, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:anresc:v:56:y:2016:i:1:p:153-176
    DOI: 10.1007/s00168-015-0725-6
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    12. Nadezhda Lebedeva & Peter Schmidt, 2013. "Values and Attitudes towards Innovation among Canadian, Chinese and Russian Students," HSE Working papers WP BRP 04/SOC/2013, National Research University Higher School of Economics.
    13. Attila Varga, 2007. "GMR-Hungary: A Complex Macro-Regional Model for the Analysis of Development Policy Impacts on the Hungarian Economy," UPFBE Working Paper Series 2007/4, Faculty of Business and Economics, University Pécs.
    14. Thomas Scherngell & Michael J. Barber, 2009. "Spatial interaction modelling of cross‐region R&D collaborations: empirical evidence from the 5th EU framework programme," Papers in Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 88(3), pages 531-546, August.
    15. Attila Varga, 2006. "The Spatial Dimension of Innovation and Growth: Empirical Research Methodology and Policy Analysis," European Planning Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(9), pages 1171-1186, July.
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    Cited by:

    1. Attila Varga, 2014. "Challenges in modeling the impacts of modern development policies: The case of the GMR-approach," EcoMod2014 7151, EcoMod.
    2. Varga, Attila, 2020. "A tudástermelési függvénytől a fejlesztéspolitikai hatáselemzésig [From the knowledge production function to development policy-impact modelling]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(6), pages 537-556.
    3. Attila Varga & Norbert Szabó & Tamás Sebestyén, 2020. "Economic impact modelling of smart specialization policy: Which industries should prioritization target?," Papers in Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 99(5), pages 1367-1388, October.
    4. Sebestyén, Tamás & Szabó, Norbert & Braun, Emese & Bedő, Zsolt, 2024. "Lokális reziliencia számítása térbeli általános egyensúlyi modell felhasználásával [Measuring local resilience with a spatial computable general equilibrium model]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(11), pages 1222-1253.
    5. Varga, Attila & Sebestyén, Tamás & Szabó, Norbert, 2021. "Az intelligens szakosodási politika gazdasági hatásainak modellezése [Economic impact assessment of smart specialization policy]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(9), pages 901-929.
    6. Norbert Szabó & Richárd Farkas & Attila Varga, 2021. "The economic effects of passenger transport infrastructure investments in lagging regions. Would the increase in commuting be beneficial for regional development?," Growth and Change, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 52(4), pages 2099-2123, December.
    7. Szerb, László & Varga, Attila & Sebestyén, Tamás & Szabó, Norbert, 2024. "A vállalkozói ökoszisztémát fejlesztő szakpolitikák regionális hatásának elemzése az EU három országában [Assessing the regional impacts of policies to develop entrepreneurial ecosystems in three E," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(11), pages 1141-1175.
    8. Szerb, László & Varga, Attila & Sebestyén, Tamás & Szabó, Norbert, 2019. "A vállalkozás szerepe a gazdasági növekedésben Magyarországon [The role of entrepreneurship in Hungarys economic growth]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(6), pages 607-634.
    9. Jordi López-Tamayo & Raul Ramos & Jordi Suriñach i Caralt, 2018. "Economic performance, social progress and institutional reform in European neighbouring countries," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 60(3), pages 613-636, May.
    10. Edward M. Bergman & Attila Varga, 2018. "Innovative potential for development of Europe’s neighbouring countries and regions," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 60(3), pages 443-449, May.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    O31; H41; O40;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O31 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - Innovation and Invention: Processes and Incentives
    • H41 - Public Economics - - Publicly Provided Goods - - - Public Goods
    • O40 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - General

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