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Policies for managing sudden stops

Author

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  • Chokri Zehri

    (Prince Sattam Bin Abdulaziz University, College of Sciences and Humanities in Al-Sulail, Saudi Arabia)

Abstract
Managing capital flows needs an appropriate association of foreign exchange reserves, foreign borrowing, and capital control. These policies are considered as a tool to predict sudden stops (SS). Consequently, this analysis identifies the occurrences of SS for a sample of 200 countries within the period 1985 - 2019. The probability of SS is determined through a logit model. Results suggest that effective management reduces the probability of sudden stops. A spillover risk influence analysis was conducted on the gross domestic product, consumption, investment, and unemployment. The results show harmful impacts on these macroeconomic variables. The findings demonstrate that countries with a satisfactory level of exchange foreign reserves, small foreign borrowing, and initiating capital controls before the occurrence of SS, are less touched by the spillover risk than emergent economies which are more vulnerable than rich economies.

Suggested Citation

  • Chokri Zehri, 2020. "Policies for managing sudden stops," Zbornik radova Ekonomskog fakulteta u Rijeci/Proceedings of Rijeka Faculty of Economics, University of Rijeka, Faculty of Economics and Business, vol. 38(1), pages 9-33.
    • Handle: RePEc:rfe:zbefri:v:38:y:2020:i:1:p:9-33
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    File URL: https://www.efri.uniri.hr/upload/Zbornik_1_2020/03-Zehri2-2020-1.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Chokri Zehri & David McMillan, 2020. "Restrictive policy impacts in emerging economies," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 8(1), pages 1815979-181, January.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    sudden stops; policies; capital flows; debts; reserves; controls;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
    • F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration
    • F37 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Finance Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications

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