[go: up one dir, main page]

IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/ecosta/v3y2017icp73-88.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Incorporating unobserved heterogeneity in Weibull survival models: A Bayesian approach

Author

Listed:
  • Vallejos, Catalina A.
  • Steel, Mark F.J.
Abstract
Outlying observations and other forms of unobserved heterogeneity can distort inference for survival datasets. The family of Rate Mixtures of Weibull distributions includes subject-level frailty terms as a solution to this issue. With a parametric mixing distribution assigned to the frailties, this family generates flexible hazard functions. Covariates are introduced via an Accelerated Failure Time specification for which the interpretation of the regression coefficients does not depend on the choice of mixing distribution. A weakly informative prior is proposed by combining the structure of the Jeffreys prior with a proper prior on some model parameters. This improper prior is shown to lead to a proper posterior distribution under easily satisfied conditions. By eliciting the proper component of the prior through the coefficient of variation of the survival times, prior information is matched for different mixing distributions. Posterior inference on subject-level frailty terms is exploited as a tool for outlier detection. Finally, the proposed methodology is illustrated using two real datasets, one concerning bone marrow transplants and another on cerebral palsy.

Suggested Citation

  • Vallejos, Catalina A. & Steel, Mark F.J., 2017. "Incorporating unobserved heterogeneity in Weibull survival models: A Bayesian approach," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 3(C), pages 73-88.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecosta:v:3:y:2017:i:c:p:73-88
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ecosta.2017.01.005
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2452306217300072
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only. Contains open access articles

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ecosta.2017.01.005?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Heckman, James & Singer, Burton, 1984. "A Method for Minimizing the Impact of Distributional Assumptions in Econometric Models for Duration Data," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 52(2), pages 271-320, March.
    2. G. P. S. Kwong & J. L. Hutton, 2003. "Choice of parametric models in survival analysis: applications to monotherapy for epilepsy and cerebral palsy," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 52(2), pages 153-168, May.
    3. Catalina A. Vallejos & Mark F. J. Steel, 2015. "Objective Bayesian Survival Analysis Using Shape Mixtures of Log-Normal Distributions," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 110(510), pages 697-710, June.
    4. Il Do Ha & Maengseok Noh & Youngjo Lee, 2010. "Bias Reduction of Likelihood Estimators in Semiparametric Frailty Models," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 37(2), pages 307-320, June.
    5. Philip Heidelberger & Peter D. Welch, 1983. "Simulation Run Length Control in the Presence of an Initial Transient," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 31(6), pages 1109-1144, December.
    6. Jaap H. Abbring & Gerard J. Van Den Berg, 2007. "The unobserved heterogeneity distribution in duration analysis," Biometrika, Biometrika Trust, vol. 94(1), pages 87-99.
    7. J. Heckman & B. Singer, 1984. "The Identifiability of the Proportional Hazard Model," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 51(2), pages 231-241.
    8. Fernández, C. & Steel, M.F.J., 1997. "On the Dangers of Modelling through Continuous Distributions : A Bayesian Perspective," Discussion Paper 1997-05, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
    9. Gerda Claeskens & Rosemary Nguti & Paul Janssen, 2008. "One-sided tests in shared frailty models," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 17(1), pages 69-82, May.
    10. Chib S. & Jeliazkov I., 2001. "Marginal Likelihood From the Metropolis-Hastings Output," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 96, pages 270-281, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Corradin, Riccardo & Nieto-Barajas, Luis Enrique & Nipoti, Bernardo, 2022. "Optimal stratification of survival data via Bayesian nonparametric mixtures," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 22(C), pages 17-38.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Bijwaard, Govert, 2011. "Unobserved Heterogeneity in Multiple-Spell Multiple-States Duration Models," IZA Discussion Papers 5748, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    2. Jaap H. Abbring, 0000. "Mixed Hitting-Time Models," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 07-057/3, Tinbergen Institute, revised 11 Aug 2009.
    3. Jaap H. Abbring, 2012. "Mixed Hitting‐Time Models," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 80(2), pages 783-819, March.
    4. Rebollo-Sanz, Yolanda Fatima & Rodríguez-Planas, Núria, 2016. "When the Going Gets Tough... Financial Incentives, Duration of Unemployment and Job-Match Quality," IZA Discussion Papers 10044, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    5. Damien Échevin & Bernard Fortin, 2011. "Physician Payment Mechanisms, Hospital Length of Stay and Risk of Readmission: a Natural Experiment," CIRANO Working Papers 2011s-44, CIRANO.
    6. Xu, Wenjing & Pan, Qing & Gastwirth, Joseph L., 2014. "Cox proportional hazards models with frailty for negatively correlated employment processes," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 295-307.
    7. Escanciano, Juan Carlos, 2023. "Irregular identification of structural models with nonparametric unobserved heterogeneity," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 234(1), pages 106-127.
    8. Giovanni Compiani & Yuichi Kitamura, 2016. "Using mixtures in econometric models: a brief review and some new results," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 19(3), pages 95-127, October.
    9. Kozo Kiyota & Miho Takizawa, 2006. "The Shadow of Death: Pre-exit Performance of Firms in Japan," Discussion papers 06033, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
    10. J. Ignacio García-Pérez & Yolanda F. Rebollo Sanz, 2009. "The use of permanent contracts across Spanish regions: Do regional wage subsidies work?," Investigaciones Economicas, Fundación SEPI, vol. 33(1), pages 97-130, January.
    11. Haywood, Luke, 2016. "Wealth effects on job preferences," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 38, pages 1-11.
    12. Ohinata, A., 2011. "Did the US Infertility Health Insurance Mandates Affect the Timing of First Birth?," Discussion Paper 2011-102, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
    13. Haardt, David, 2006. "Transitions out of and back to employment among older men and women in the UK," ISER Working Paper Series 2006-20, Institute for Social and Economic Research.
    14. Ralf van der Lans & Bram Van den Bergh & Evelien Dieleman, 2014. "Partner Selection in Brand Alliances: An Empirical Investigation of the Drivers of Brand Fit," Marketing Science, INFORMS, vol. 33(4), pages 551-566, July.
    15. Hess, Wolfgang & Persson, Maria, 2010. "The Duration of Trade Revisited. Continuous-Time vs. Discrete-Time Hazards," Working Papers 2010:1, Lund University, Department of Economics.
    16. Gómez-Déniz, E. & Pérez-Rodríguez, J.V., 2019. "Modelling bimodality of length of tourist stay," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 131-151.
    17. Laura Pilossoph & Gregor Jarosch, 2014. "Hiring Practices, Duration Dependence, and Long-Term Unemployment," 2014 Meeting Papers 1256, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    18. Terence D.Agbeyegbe & Elena Goldman, 2005. "Estimation of threshold time series models using efficient jump MCMC," Economics Working Paper Archive at Hunter College 406, Hunter College Department of Economics, revised 2005.
    19. Dario Pozzoli, 2009. "The Transition to Work for Italian University Graduates," LABOUR, CEIS, vol. 23(1), pages 131-169, March.
    20. Matzkin, Rosa L., 2012. "Identification in nonparametric limited dependent variable models with simultaneity and unobserved heterogeneity," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 166(1), pages 106-115.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:ecosta:v:3:y:2017:i:c:p:73-88. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/econometrics-and-statistics .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.