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Banking market structure and macroeconomic stability: Are low-income countries special?

Author

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  • Bremus, Franziska
  • Buch, Claudia M.
Abstract
Does the structure of banking markets affect macroeconomic volatility and, if yes, is this link different in low-income countries? Banking markets in low-income countries differ from those in developed market economies. Banking systems in lower-income countries are typically smaller and less open. In this paper, we explore the channels through which the structure of banking markets affects macroeconomic volatility. Our research has three main findings. First, we study the relevance of granular effects: if the degree of market concentration in the banking sector is sufficiently high, idiosyncratic volatility at the bank-level can impact aggregate volatility. We find weak evidence for a link between granular banking sector volatility and macroeconomic fluctuations. Second, a higher share of domestic credit to GDP coincides with higher volatility in the short run. Third, a higher level of cross-border asset holdings, i.e. a higher degree of de facto financial integration, increases volatility in low-income countries.

Suggested Citation

  • Bremus, Franziska & Buch, Claudia M., 2014. "Banking market structure and macroeconomic stability: Are low-income countries special?," Discussion Papers 46/2014, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:bubdps:462014
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    2. Mohd Amin, Syajarul Imna & Mohd, Shamsher Mohamad Ramadili & Mohd. Rasid, Mohamed Eskandar Shah, 2017. "Does Cost Efficiency Affect Liquidity Risk in Banking? Evidence from Selected OIC Countries," Jurnal Ekonomi Malaysia, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, vol. 51(2), pages 47-62.
    3. Arias, Jose & Talavera, Oleksandr & Tsapin, Andriy, 2022. "Bank liquidity and exposure to industry shocks: Evidence from Ukraine," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
    4. Ruba Hamed, 2023. "The Role of Internal Control Systems in Ensuring Financial Performance Sustainability," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(13), pages 1-18, June.
    5. Nderitu Kingori, 2016. "Market Structure, Macroeconomic Shocks, and Banking Risk in Kenya," Econometric Research in Finance, SGH Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of Economic Analysis, vol. 1(2), pages 81-113, December.
    6. Malgorzata Iwanicz-Drozdowska & Pawel Smaga & Bartosz Witkowski, 2017. "Role of Foreign Capital in Stability of Banking Sectors in CESEE Countries," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 67(6), pages 492-511, October.
    7. Dincer, Hasan & Hacioglu, Umit & Tatoglu, Ekrem & Delen, Dursun, 2019. "Developing a hybrid analytics approach to measure the efficiency of deposit banks," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 104(C), pages 131-145.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    bank market structure; financial integration; granularity; macroeconomic volatility; low-income countries;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles

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