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A distribution dynamics approach to regional GDP convergence in reunified Germany

Author

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  • Juessen Falko

    (University of Dortmund, Department of Economics)

Abstract
This paper presents an empirical study of GDP per worker (and per capita) convergence across German labour market regions during 1992 to 2002 using nonparametric techniques. There is evidence for a tendency towards convergence during the observed period, i.e. regions that were less productive in 1992 (East-German regions) established a higher relative GDP in 2002. It is an advantage of our approach that it allows to make predictions about the long run distribution of regional production. We predict a persistent inequality among German regions. This result implies that the substantial regional policy expenditures made by the German government and the EU will not achieve their aim of equalisation, and need therefore to be critically reviewed.

Suggested Citation

  • Juessen Falko, 2005. "A distribution dynamics approach to regional GDP convergence in reunified Germany," Urban/Regional 0506008, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  • Handle: RePEc:wpa:wuwpur:0506008
    Note: Type of Document - pdf; pages: 30. The paper includes a referee appendix.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    regional convergence; distribution dynamics; nonparametric econometrics; stochastic kernel; regional policy;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General
    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • O47 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Empirical Studies of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity; Cross-Country Output Convergence
    • R11 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Regional Economic Activity: Growth, Development, Environmental Issues, and Changes

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