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Cointegration of Matched Home Purchases and Rental Price Indexes - Evidence from Singapore

Author

Listed:
  • Jing Li
  • Badi Baltagi
Abstract
This paper exploits the homogeneity feature of the Singapore private residential condominium market and constructs matched home purchase price and rental price series using the repeated sales method. These matched series allow us to conduct time series analysis to examine the long-term present value relationship in the housing market. Three key findings are obtained. First, we fail to establish a cointegrating relationship between the home purchase price and rental price based on nationally estimated indexes. Second, area-specific indexes demonstrate strong cross-correlations, invalidating the use of first generation panel unit root tests that ignore these cross-correlations. Third, Pesaran's CIPS test indicates that the unit root hypothesis is rejected for the first difference of both indexes. We also do not reject the hypothesis that home purchases and rental price indexes are cointegrated with a cointegrating vector (1,-1).

Suggested Citation

  • Jing Li & Badi Baltagi, 2015. "Cointegration of Matched Home Purchases and Rental Price Indexes - Evidence from Singapore," ERSA conference papers ersa15p571, European Regional Science Association.
    • Handle: RePEc:wiw:wiwrsa:ersa15p571
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    Cited by:

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    2. Huang, Naqun & Li, Jing & Ross, Amanda, 2018. "The impact of the cost of car ownership on the house price gradient in Singapore," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 160-171.
    3. Sumit Agarwal & Jing Li & Ernie Teo & Alan Cheong, 2018. "Strategic Sequential Bidding for Government Land Auction Sales – Evidence from Singapore," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 57(4), pages 535-565, November.
    4. Jiang, Liang & Phillips, Peter C.B. & Yu, Jun, 2015. "New methodology for constructing real estate price indices applied to the Singapore residential market," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(S2), pages 121-131.
    5. Ting Lan, 2019. "Intrinsic bubbles and Granger causality in the Hong Kong residential property market," Frontiers of Business Research in China, Springer, vol. 13(1), pages 1-15, December.
    6. Tan, Shin Bin & Ti, Edward S.W., 2020. "What is the value of built heritage conservation? Assessing spillover effects of conserving historic sites in Singapore," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Cointegration; housing market; purchase and rental price; market efficiency;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • R00 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General - - - General
    • C1 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General

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