On the uncertainty of a combined forecast: The critical role of correlation
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- Magnus, Jan R. & Vasnev, Andrey L., 2023. "On the uncertainty of a combined forecast: The critical role of correlation," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(4), pages 1895-1908.
References listed on IDEAS
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Cited by:
- Ikefuji, Masako & Magnus, Jan R. & Vasnev, Andrey L., 2023.
"The role of data and priors in estimating climate sensitivity,"
Working Papers
BAWP-2023-02, University of Sydney Business School, Discipline of Business Analytics.
- Masako Ikefuji & Jan Magnus & Andrey Vasnev, 2023. "The role of data and priors in estimating climate sensitivity," ISER Discussion Paper 1217, Institute of Social and Economic Research, Osaka University.
- Thompson, Ryan & Qian, Yilin & Vasnev, Andrey L., 2024.
"Flexible global forecast combinations,"
Omega, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
- Ryan Thompson & Yilin Qian & Andrey L. Vasnev, 2022. "Flexible global forecast combinations," Papers 2207.07318, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2024.
- Astafyeva, Ekaterina & Turuntseva, Marina, 2024. "Forecast evaluation improving using the simplest methods of individual forecasts’ combination," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 74, pages 78-103.
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More about this item
Keywords
Combining information; Correlation; Growth forecasting; Inflation forecasting; Central Banks;All these keywords.
JEL classification:
- C52 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection
- C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods
- E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
- E37 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
- O40 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - General
NEP fields
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:- NEP-FOR-2022-08-29 (Forecasting)
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