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What determines private and household savings in India?

Author

Listed:
  • Soumya Kanti Ghosh

    (State Bank of India, Mumbai (India))

  • Hiranya K. Nath

    (Department of Economics and International Business, Sam Houston State University)

Abstract
This paper uses annual data from 1960 to 2016 to examine the determinants of private and household saving behavior in India. The results indicate that per capita real income and access to banks are significant determinants with favorable impacts on private as well as household saving rates in short as well as long run. Further, as inflation accelerates, the uncertainty about the future value of their accumulated savings and expected real rate of return discourage households and other private agents from saving. A desire to maintain a certain level of real expenditures also contributes to this decrease in saving rate. An increase in dependent population reduces private and household saving rates in the short run while it increases the private saving rate in the long run. The results further indicate that a rise in the real interest rate increases household saving rate in the short run but reduces both private and household saving in the long run. It does not seem to have any significant impact on total private saving in the short run. Additionally, increased corporate saving tends to reduce household saving in both time horizons. Further, both private and household saving rates have declined significantly after the global financial crisis. Finally, any deviation from the long run equilibrium for saving rates dissipates rather quickly. Overall, these results seem to suggest that policies intended to increase per capita income, lower inflation, and increase accessibility to banking will go a long way in increasing private and household saving in India.

Suggested Citation

  • Soumya Kanti Ghosh & Hiranya K. Nath, 2021. "What determines private and household savings in India?," Working Papers 2101, Sam Houston State University, Department of Economics and International Business.
    • Handle: RePEc:shs:wpaper:2101
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    Cited by:

    1. Chatterjee, Oindrila & Gopalakrishnan, Balagopal & Mohapatra, Sanket, 2024. "Gold in household portfolios during a pandemic: Evidence from India," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(PA), pages 1288-1306.
    2. Oindrila Chatterjee & Balagopal Gopalakrishnan & Sanket Mohapatra, 2023. "Gold in household portfolios during a pandemic: Evidence from an emerging economy," IIMA Working Papers WP 2023-06-01, Indian Institute of Management Ahmedabad, Research and Publication Department.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Private saving rate; household saving rate; Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL); Bounds test; India;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E21 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Consumption; Saving; Wealth
    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects

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