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Exposure of Belt and Road Economies to China Trade Shocks

Author

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  • Paulo Bastos
Abstract
This paper uses international trade data to assess the degree of exposure of Belt and Roadeconomies to China trade shocks. It finds that the growth of China’s trade following its internal transformation and accession to the WTO significantly impacted the export performance ofBelt and Road economies in the period 2000-2015. The increase in China’s imports significantlyboosted the exports of these economies. However, this effect was attenuated by increased compe-tition from China in export markets. The effects of China’s demand shocks were stronger in more upstream industries, while those of competition shocks were stronger in industries that producegoods that are closer to final use. The effects of competition shocks were also relatively stronger in countries that are relatively poorer and geographically closer to China. Building on these find-ings, the paper documents the current degree of exposure of Belt and Road economies to Chinatrade shocks.

Suggested Citation

  • Paulo Bastos, 2020. "Exposure of Belt and Road Economies to China Trade Shocks," Working Papers REM 2020/0119, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa.
    • Handle: RePEc:ise:remwps:wp01192020
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    2. Liu, Zhigao & Schindler, Seth & Liu, Weidong, 2020. "Demystifying Chinese overseas investment in infrastructure: Port development, the Belt and Road Initiative and regional development," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
    3. Zhi Luo & Guanghua Wan & Chen Wang & Xun Zhang, 2022. "The distributive impacts of the Belt and Road Initiative," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(3), pages 586-604, July.
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    6. DeStefano, Timothy & Timmis, Jonathan, 2024. "Robots and export quality," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 168(C).
    7. Fredrik Sjöholm, 2023. "The Belt and Road Initiative: Economic Causes and Effects," Asian Economic Papers, MIT Press, vol. 22(1), pages 62-81, Winter/Sp.
    8. Jiemiao Dong & Zhuangxiong Yu & Xunpeng Shi & Yang Yang, 2024. "Industrial Policy, Product Switching, and Export Performance," China & World Economy, Institute of World Economics and Politics, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, vol. 32(1), pages 167-196, January.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Belt and Road Initiative; China; Trade shocks;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F1 - International Economics - - Trade

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