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Household resilience to adverse macroeconomic shocks: evidence from Czech microdata

Author

Listed:
  • Kamil Galuščák
  • Petr Hlaváč
  • Petr Jakubík
Abstract
We develop a methodology for identifying financially distressed households and use it for testing the responses to shocks to the unemployment rate, the interest rate and prices of essential expenditure in the Czech Republic. We extend the approach of Johansson and Persson (2006) for Sweden and Albacete and Fessler (2010) for Austria in the literature to allow for full labour market transitions between employment and unemployment, and, due to data availability, to account for heads and spouses within households. This improvement may lead to a higher response of household distress incidence, due to the unemployment rate shock, than in both Sweden and Austria, while the effects due to the interest rate shock are of similar size as in Austria. We illustrate the use of our approach for stress testing households’ ability to pay their debts using macroeconomic scenarios from the CNB’s official forecast and from the CNB’s Financial Stability Report. The results highlight the importance of using micro-level datasets in the analysis of household distress incidence, as the impact of shocks is more pronounced among lower-income households.

Suggested Citation

  • Kamil Galuščák & Petr Hlaváč & Petr Jakubík, 2016. "Household resilience to adverse macroeconomic shocks: evidence from Czech microdata," International Review of Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(3), pages 377-402, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:irapec:v:30:y:2016:i:3:p:377-402
    DOI: 10.1080/02692171.2015.1105937
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Alena Bicakova & Zuzana Prelcova & Renata Pasalicova, 2010. "Who Borrows and Who May Not Repay?," Working Papers 2010/10, Czech National Bank.
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    3. repec:zbw:bofrdp:2007_005 is not listed on IDEAS
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    Cited by:

    1. Ondřej Badura, 2018. "Vliv relativního příjmu na sklon ke spotřebě případ České republiky [An Influence of Relative Income on the Propensity to Consume - Czech Republic Case Study]," Politická ekonomie, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2018(4), pages 430-449.
    2. repec:cnb:ocpubv:rb16/1 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. repec:cnb:ocpubv:rb15/1 is not listed on IDEAS
    4. repec:cnb:ocpubv:rb14/2 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. Giordana, Gastón & Ziegelmeyer, Michael, 2020. "Stress testing household balance sheets in Luxembourg," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 115-138.
    6. repec:cnb:ocpubv:rb15/2 is not listed on IDEAS
    7. repec:cnb:ocpubv:rb16/2 is not listed on IDEAS
    8. Simona Malovaná & Michal Hlavácek & Kamil Galušcák, 2017. "Stress testing the Czech household sector using microdata - practical applications in the policy-making process," IFC Bulletins chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Data needs and Statistics compilation for macroprudential analysis, volume 46, Bank for International Settlements.
    9. Jaanika Meriküll & Tairi Rõõm, 2020. "Stress Tests of the Household Sector Using Microdata from Survey and Administrative Sources," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 16(2), pages 203-248, March.

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