[go: up one dir, main page]

IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/csdana/v116y2017icp49-66.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A continuous threshold expectile model

Author

Listed:
  • Zhang, Feipeng
  • Li, Qunhua
Abstract
Expectile regression is a useful tool for exploring the relation between the response and the explanatory variables beyond the conditional mean. A continuous threshold expectile regression is developed for modeling data in which the effect of a covariate on the response variable is linear but varies below and above an unknown threshold in a continuous way. The estimators for the threshold and the regression coefficients are obtained using a grid search approach. The asymptotic properties for all the estimators are derived, and the estimator for the threshold is shown to achieve root-n consistency. A weighted CUSUM type test statistic is proposed for the existence of a threshold at a given expectile, and its asymptotic properties are derived under both the null and the local alternative models. This test only requires fitting the model under the null hypothesis in the absence of a threshold, thus it is computationally more efficient than the likelihood-ratio type tests. Simulation studies show that the proposed estimators and test have desirable finite sample performance in both homoscedastic and heteroscedastic cases. The application of the proposed method on a Dutch growth data and a baseball pitcher salary data reveals interesting insights. The proposed method is implemented in the R package cthreshER.

Suggested Citation

  • Zhang, Feipeng & Li, Qunhua, 2017. "A continuous threshold expectile model," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 116(C), pages 49-66.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:csdana:v:116:y:2017:i:c:p:49-66
    DOI: 10.1016/j.csda.2017.07.005
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0167947317301536
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.csda.2017.07.005?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Kuan, Chung-Ming & Yeh, Jin-Huei & Hsu, Yu-Chin, 2009. "Assessing value at risk with CARE, the Conditional Autoregressive Expectile models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 150(2), pages 261-270, June.
    2. De Rossi, Giuliano & Harvey, Andrew, 2009. "Quantiles, expectiles and splines," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 152(2), pages 179-185, October.
    3. Kim, Minjo & Lee, Sangyeol, 2016. "Nonlinear expectile regression with application to Value-at-Risk and expected shortfall estimation," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 1-19.
    4. Qu, Zhongjun, 2008. "Testing for structural change in regression quantiles," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 146(1), pages 170-184, September.
    5. Andrews, Donald W K, 1993. "Tests for Parameter Instability and Structural Change with Unknown Change Point," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 61(4), pages 821-856, July.
    6. Chenxi Li & Ying Wei & Rick Chappell & Xuming He, 2011. "Bent Line Quantile Regression with Application to an Allometric Study of Land Mammals' Speed and Mass," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 67(1), pages 242-249, March.
    7. Vaart,A. W. van der, 2000. "Asymptotic Statistics," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521784504, September.
    8. Hansen, Bruce E, 1996. "Inference When a Nuisance Parameter Is Not Identified under the Null Hypothesis," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 64(2), pages 413-430, March.
    9. Bai, Jushan, 1996. "Testing for Parameter Constancy in Linear Regressions: An Empirical Distribution Function Approach," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 64(3), pages 597-622, May.
    10. Yao, Qiwei & Tong, Howell, 1996. "Asymmetric least squares regression estimation: a nonparametric approach," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 19423, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    11. Jin Seo Cho & Halbert White, 2007. "Testing for Regime Switching," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 75(6), pages 1671-1720, November.
    12. Koenker, Roger W & Bassett, Gilbert, Jr, 1978. "Regression Quantiles," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 46(1), pages 33-50, January.
    13. Schnabel, Sabine K. & Eilers, Paul H.C., 2009. "Optimal expectile smoothing," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 53(12), pages 4168-4177, October.
    14. Aigner, D J & Amemiya, Takeshi & Poirier, Dale J, 1976. "On the Estimation of Production Frontiers: Maximum Likelihood Estimation of the Parameters of a Discontinuous Density Function," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 17(2), pages 377-396, June.
    15. Chiu, Grace & Lockhart, Richard & Routledge, Richard, 2006. "Bent-Cable Regression Theory and Applications," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 101, pages 542-553, June.
    16. Bruce E. Hansen, 2017. "Regression Kink With an Unknown Threshold," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(2), pages 228-240, April.
    17. Lee, Sokbae & Seo, Myung Hwan & Shin, Youngki, 2011. "Testing for Threshold Effects in Regression Models," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 106(493), pages 220-231.
    18. Michael Haupert & James Murray, 2012. "Regime switching and wages in major league baseball under the reserve clause," Cliometrica, Journal of Historical Economics and Econometric History, Association Française de Cliométrie (AFC), vol. 6(2), pages 143-162, May.
    19. Newey, Whitney K & Powell, James L, 1987. "Asymmetric Least Squares Estimation and Testing," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 55(4), pages 819-847, July.
    20. Shangyu Xie & Yong Zhou & Alan T. K. Wan, 2014. "A Varying-Coefficient Expectile Model for Estimating Value at Risk," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(4), pages 576-592, October.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Feipeng Zhang & Qunhua Li, 2023. "Segmented correspondence curve regression for quantifying covariate effects on the reproducibility of high‐throughput experiments," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 79(3), pages 2272-2285, September.
    2. Ciuperca, Gabriela, 2021. "Variable selection in high-dimensional linear model with possibly asymmetric errors," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 155(C).
    3. Gabriela Ciuperca, 2022. "Real-time detection of a change-point in a linear expectile model," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 63(4), pages 1323-1367, August.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Zhang, Feipeng & Xu, Yixiong & Fan, Caiyun, 2023. "Nonparametric inference of expectile-based value-at-risk for financial time series with application to risk assessment," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    2. Feipeng Zhang & Qunhua Li, 2023. "Segmented correspondence curve regression for quantifying covariate effects on the reproducibility of high‐throughput experiments," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 79(3), pages 2272-2285, September.
    3. Chung-Ming Kuan & Christos Michalopoulos & Zhijie Xiao, 2017. "Quantile Regression on Quantile Ranges – A Threshold Approach," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 38(1), pages 99-119, January.
    4. Xu, Xiu & Mihoci, Andrija & Härdle, Wolfgang Karl, 2018. "lCARE - localizing conditional autoregressive expectiles," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 198-220.
    5. Man, Rebeka & Tan, Kean Ming & Wang, Zian & Zhou, Wen-Xin, 2024. "Retire: Robust expectile regression in high dimensions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 239(2).
    6. Yundong Tu & Siwei Wang, 2023. "Variable Screening and Model Averaging for Expectile Regressions," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 85(3), pages 574-598, June.
    7. Tae-Hwy Lee & Aman Ullah & He Wang, 2019. "The Second-Order Asymptotic Properties of Asymmetric Least Squares Estimation," Sankhya B: The Indian Journal of Statistics, Springer;Indian Statistical Institute, vol. 81(1), pages 201-233, September.
    8. C. Adam & I. Gijbels, 2022. "Local polynomial expectile regression," Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Springer;The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, vol. 74(2), pages 341-378, April.
    9. Garcia-Jorcano, Laura & Sanchis-Marco, Lidia, 2022. "Spillover effects between commodity and stock markets: A SDSES approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    10. Mohammedi, Mustapha & Bouzebda, Salim & Laksaci, Ali, 2021. "The consistency and asymptotic normality of the kernel type expectile regression estimator for functional data," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 181(C).
    11. repec:hum:wpaper:sfb649dp2015-052 is not listed on IDEAS
    12. Antonio Rubia Serrano & Lidia Sanchis-Marco, 2015. "Measuring Tail-Risk Cross-Country Exposures in the Banking Industry," Working Papers. Serie AD 2015-01, Instituto Valenciano de Investigaciones Económicas, S.A. (Ivie).
    13. Daouia, Abdelaati & Paindaveine, Davy, 2019. "Multivariate Expectiles, Expectile Depth and Multiple-Output Expectile Regression," TSE Working Papers 19-1022, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE), revised Feb 2023.
    14. Tang, Yanlin & Song, Xinyuan & Zhu, Zhongyi, 2015. "Threshold effect test in censored quantile regression," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 149-156.
    15. Lina Liao & Cheolwoo Park & Hosik Choi, 2019. "Penalized expectile regression: an alternative to penalized quantile regression," Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Springer;The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, vol. 71(2), pages 409-438, April.
    16. Kneib, Thomas & Silbersdorff, Alexander & Säfken, Benjamin, 2023. "Rage Against the Mean – A Review of Distributional Regression Approaches," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 99-123.
    17. Xiu Xu & Andrija Mihoci & Wolfgang Karl Hardle, 2020. "lCARE -- localizing Conditional AutoRegressive Expectiles," Papers 2009.13215, arXiv.org.
    18. Gao, Suhao & Yu, Zhen, 2023. "Parametric expectile regression and its application for premium calculation," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 242-256.
    19. Shangyu Xie & Yong Zhou & Alan T. K. Wan, 2014. "A Varying-Coefficient Expectile Model for Estimating Value at Risk," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(4), pages 576-592, October.
    20. Zongwu Cai & Ying Fang & Dingshi Tian, 2018. "Assessing Tail Risk Using Expectile Regressions with Partially Varying Coefficients," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 201804, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, revised Oct 2018.
    21. Fabio Busetti & Michele Caivano & Davide Delle Monache, 2021. "Domestic and Global Determinants of Inflation: Evidence from Expectile Regression," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 83(4), pages 982-1001, August.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:csdana:v:116:y:2017:i:c:p:49-66. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/csda .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.