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Do Markets Cointegrate after Financial Crises? Evidence from G-20 Stock Markets

Author

Listed:
  • Mahfuzul Haque

    (Department of Accounting, Finance, Insurance and Risk Management, Scott College of Business, Indiana State University, Terre Haute, IN 47809, USA)

  • Hannarong Shamsub

    (Thailand Institute of Nuclear Technology (Public Organization), Ministry of Science and Technology, 16 Vibhavadi Rangsit Rd, Ladyao, Chatuchak, Bangkok 10900, Thailand)

Abstract
The results of the single-equation cointegration tests indicate that patterns of cointegration in the two main and four sub-periods are not homogeneous. Two key findings emerge from the study. First, fewer stock markets cointegrated with S&P 500 during the crisis period than they did during the pre-crisis. In other words, as the 2008 financial crisis deepened, S&P 500 and G-20 stock indices moved towards less cointegration. The decreasing number of cointegrating relationships implies that the U.S. stock markets and other G-20 markets have experienced different driving forces since the start of the U.S. crisis. Second, among those markets that are cointegrated with S&P 500, they happened to be deeply affected by S&P and the shocks emerging from it. The 2007–2009 financial crises can be considered a structural break in the long-run relationship and may have resulted from effective joint intervention/responses taken by members of G-20 nations.

Suggested Citation

  • Mahfuzul Haque & Hannarong Shamsub, 2015. "Do Markets Cointegrate after Financial Crises? Evidence from G-20 Stock Markets," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 3(4), pages 1-30, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jijfss:v:3:y:2015:i:4:p:557-586:d:60348
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    References listed on IDEAS

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