Details about Jonas Dovern

Access statistics for papers by Jonas Dovern.

Last updated 2024-03-07. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: pdo155

Working Papers

2023

1. Eliciting expectation uncertainty from private households
   Working Papers, German Research Foundation's Priority Programme 1859 "Experience and Expectation. Historical Foundations of Economic Behaviour", Humboldt University Berlin View citations (1)
   See also Journal Article Eliciting expectation uncertainty from private households, International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier (2024) (2024)
2. Testing for Differences in Survey-Based Density Expectations: A Compositional Data Approach
   CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo
   Also in Working Papers, German Research Foundation's Priority Programme 1859 "Experience and Expectation. Historical Foundations of Economic Behaviour", Humboldt University Berlin (2023)
   Working Paper Series, European Central Bank (2023)

2022

3. Estimating Pass-Through Rates for the 2022 Tax Reduction on Fuel Prices in Germany
   CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo
   See also Journal Article Estimating pass-through rates for the 2022 tax reduction on fuel prices in Germany, Energy Economics, Elsevier (2023) View citations (8) (2023)
4. Expectation dispersion, uncertainty, and the reaction to news
   CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations (2)
   Also in Working Papers, German Research Foundation's Priority Programme 1859 "Experience and Expectation. Historical Foundations of Economic Behaviour", Humboldt University Berlin (2020) View citations (2)
   CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo (2020) View citations (2)
   See also Journal Article Expectation dispersion, uncertainty, and the reaction to news, European Economic Review, Elsevier (2023) View citations (5) (2023)
5. Local Information and Firm Expectations about Aggregates
   CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo View citations (1)
   See also Journal Article Local information and firm expectations about aggregates, Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier (2023) View citations (3) (2023)

2020

6. Firm-Level Expectations and Behavior in Response to the Covid-19 Crisis
   CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo View citations (31)
   Also in IZA Discussion Papers, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) (2020) View citations (39)
7. How Do Firms Form Expectations of Aggregate Growth? New Evidence from a Large-Scale Business Survey
   CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo View citations (13)
   Also in Working Papers, German Research Foundation's Priority Programme 1859 "Experience and Expectation. Historical Foundations of Economic Behaviour", Humboldt University Berlin (2020) View citations (14)

2019

8. Revisions of potential output estimates in the EU after the Great Recession
   CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo View citations (1)

2018

9. Order Invariant Tests for Proper Calibration of Multivariate Density Forecasts
   CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo
   Also in Graz Economics Papers, University of Graz, Department of Economics (2018)
   See also Journal Article Order‐invariant tests for proper calibration of multivariate density forecasts, Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. (2020) View citations (5) (2020)

2017

10. Recessions and Instable Estimates of Potential Output
    Working Papers, University of Heidelberg, Department of Economics View citations (5)
11. Systematische Prognosefehler in unterschiedlichen Konjunkturphasen
    Kiel Insight, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel) View citations (5)
12. The Effect of Recessions on Potential Output Estimates: Size, Timing, and Determinants
    VfS Annual Conference 2017 (Vienna): Alternative Structures for Money and Banking, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association View citations (1)
13. The long-term distribution of expected inflation in the euro area: what has changed since the great recession?
    Working Paper Series, European Central Bank View citations (19)

2016

14. Forecast Performance, Disagreement, and Heterogeneous Signal-to-Noise Ratios
    VfS Annual Conference 2016 (Augsburg): Demographic Change, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association View citations (1)
    Also in Working Papers, University of Heidelberg, Department of Economics (2016) View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article Forecast performance, disagreement, and heterogeneous signal-to-noise ratios, Empirical Economics, Springer (2017) View citations (5) (2017)
15. Herausforderung Climate Engineering: Bewertung neuer Optionen für den Klimaschutz
    Kieler Beiträge zur Wirtschaftspolitik, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel)
16. Indicators for monitoring sustainable development goals: An application to oceanic development in the European Union
    Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel) View citations (23)
17. Order Invariant Evaluation of Multivariate Density Forecasts
    Working Papers, University of Heidelberg, Department of Economics
18. Robust Evaluation of Multivariate Density Forecasts
    VfS Annual Conference 2016 (Augsburg): Demographic Change, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association

2015

19. Does Joint Modelling of the World Economy Pay Off? Evaluating Global Forecasts from a Bayesian GVAR
    Working Papers, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank) View citations (10)
    Also in Working Papers, University of Heidelberg, Department of Economics (2015) View citations (10)
    See also Journal Article Does joint modelling of the world economy pay off? Evaluating global forecasts from a Bayesian GVAR, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier (2016) View citations (23) (2016)
20. Does Joint Modelling of the World Economy Pay Off? Evaluating Multivariate Forecasts from a Bayesian GVAR
    VfS Annual Conference 2015 (Muenster): Economic Development - Theory and Policy, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association View citations (9)
21. Global Prediction of Recessions
    Working Papers, University of Heidelberg, Department of Economics View citations (5)
    See also Journal Article Global prediction of recessions, Economics Letters, Elsevier (2015) View citations (5) (2015)
22. Indicators for monitoring sustainable development goals: An application to oceanic development in the EU
    Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel)
23. Radiation Management: Gezielte Beeinflussung des globalen Strahlungshaushalts zur Kontrolle des anthropogenen Klimawandels
    Kiel Discussion Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel)
24. Systematic errors in growth expectations over the business cycle
    Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel) View citations (6)
    See also Journal Article Systematic errors in growth expectations over the business cycle, International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier (2017) View citations (45) (2017)

2014

25. A Multivariate Analysis of Forecast Disagreement: Confronting Models of Disagreement with SPF Data
    Working Papers, University of Heidelberg, Department of Economics View citations (4)
26. INFORMATION RIGIDITIES: COMPARING AVERAGE AND INDIVIDUAL FORECASTS FOR A LARGE INTERNATIONAL PANEL
    Working Papers, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting View citations (10)
    Also in IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund (2014) View citations (10)
    See also Journal Article Information rigidities: Comparing average and individual forecasts for a large international panel, International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier (2015) View citations (59) (2015)

2013

27. Information Rigidities in Economic Growth Forecasts: Evidence from a Large International Panel
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (5)
    Also in VfS Annual Conference 2013 (Duesseldorf): Competition Policy and Regulation in a Global Economic Order, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association (2013) View citations (3)
28. International transmission of financial stress: Evidence from a GVAR
    Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel) View citations (13)
29. The rich, the clean, and the kind - a comprehensive wealth index for cities applied to the case of Germany
    Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel) View citations (1)

2012

30. Nachhaltigkeitspotenzial deutscher Städte
    Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel)
    Also in Kiel Policy Brief, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel) (2012)

2010

31. Aufschwung lässt auf sich warten
    Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel)
32. Deutsche Konjunktur im Frühjahr 2010
    Kiel Discussion Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel) View citations (2)
33. Deutschland: Konjunkturelle Erholung setzt sich in verlangsamtem Tempo fort - Gefahr eines Rückschlags durch die Schuldenkrise
    Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel) View citations (2)
34. Droht in Deutschland eine Kreditklemme?
    Kiel Discussion Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel) View citations (11)
35. Erholung der Weltkonjunktur ohne große Dynamik
    Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel) View citations (2)
36. Moderate Erholung in Deutschland - Arbeitsmarkt in erstaunlich guter Verfassung
    Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel) View citations (4)
37. Schwache Konjunktur im Euroraum: Nur langsamer Abbau der Ungleichgewichte
    Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel) View citations (5)
38. Schwellenländer tragen die Expansion der Weltwirtschaft
    Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel) View citations (1)
39. Weltkonjunktur im Frühjahr 2010
    Kiel Discussion Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel) View citations (7)
40. Weltkonjunktur kommt nach kräftiger Erholung in schwierigeres Fahrwasser
    Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel) View citations (1)
41. Weltkonjunktur und deutsche Konjunktur im Sommer 2010
    Kiel Discussion Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel) View citations (3)
42. Weltkonjunktur und deutsche Konjunktur im Winter 2009
    Kiel Discussion Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel) View citations (1)

2009

43. Accuracy, Unbiasedness and Efficiency of Professional Macroeconomic Forecasts: An empirical Comparison for the G7
    Jena Economics Research Papers, Friedrich-Schiller-University Jena View citations (9)
    See also Journal Article Accuracy, unbiasedness and efficiency of professional macroeconomic forecasts: An empirical comparison for the G7, International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier (2011) View citations (103) (2011)
44. Deutsche Konjunktur im Frühjahr 2009
    Kiel Discussion Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel)
45. Deutschland: Stabilisierung der Produktion auf niedrigen Niveau
    Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel)
46. Die Bedeutung monetärer Größen für die deutsche Wachstumsschwäche 1995 -2005
    Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel) View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article Die Bedeutung monetärer Größen für die deutsche Wachstumsschwäche 1995–2005, Review of Economics, De Gruyter (2009) View citations (2) (2009)
47. Die deutsche Wirtschaft im Sog der Weltrezession
    Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel) View citations (10)
48. Disagreement among Forecasters in G7 Countries
    Macroeconomics and Finance Series, University of Hamburg, Department of Socioeconomics View citations (30)
    Also in Working Paper Series, European Central Bank (2009) View citations (38)
    See also Journal Article Disagreement Among Forecasters in G7 Countries, The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press (2012) View citations (329) (2012)
49. Estimating the shape of economic crises under heterogeneity
    Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel)
50. Konjunktureinbruch im Euroraum
    Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel) View citations (5)
51. Schleppende Erholung der Konjunktur in Deutschland, kein Einbruch auf dem Arbeitsmarkt
    Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel)
52. Ursachen der Wachstumsschwäche in Deutschland 1995-2005
    Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel) View citations (2)
    Also in Kieler Beiträge zur Wirtschaftspolitik, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel) (2009) View citations (1)
53. Weltkonjunktur und deutsche Konjunktur im Frühjahr 2009
    Kiel Discussion Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel) View citations (5)
54. Weltkonjunktur und deutsche Konjunktur im Herbst 2009
    Kiel Discussion Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel) View citations (4)
55. Weltkonjunktur und deutsche Konjunktur im Sommer 2009
    Kiel Discussion Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel) View citations (4)
56. What macroeconomic shocks affect the German banking system? Analysis in an integrated micro-macro model
    Discussion Paper Series 2: Banking and Financial Studies, Deutsche Bundesbank View citations (3)

2008

57. Are they really rational? Assessing professional macro-economic forecasts from the G7-countries
    Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel) View citations (9)
58. Deutlich verlangsamte Expansion der Weltwirtschaft
    Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel) View citations (3)
59. Deutsche Konjunktur: leichte Rezession absehbar
    Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel) View citations (7)
60. Deutschland: Robuste Binnenkonjunktur - Dämpfer aus dem Ausland
    Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel) View citations (1)
61. Estimating Fundamental Cross-Section Dispersion from Fixed Event Forecasts
    Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research View citations (7)
    Also in Macroeconomics and Finance Series, University of Hamburg, Department of Socioeconomics (2008) View citations (7)
62. Euroraum in der Rezession
    Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel) View citations (5)
63. How resilient is the German banking system to macroeconomic shocks?
    Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel) View citations (9)
    See also Journal Article How resilient is the German banking system to macroeconomic shocks?, Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier (2010) View citations (18) (2010)
64. Immobilienkrise in den Vereinigten Staaten: Historischer Vergleich und Implikationen für den Konjunkturverlauf
    Kiel Discussion Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel) View citations (9)
65. Konjunktur in Deutschland schwächt sich deutlich ab
    Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel) View citations (1)
66. Predicting growth rates and recessions: assessing US leading indicators under real-time conditions
    Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel) View citations (4)
    See also Journal Article Predicting Growth Rates and Recessions. Assessing U.S. Leading Indicators under Real-Time Condition, Applied Economics Quarterly (formerly: Konjunkturpolitik), Duncker & Humblot, Berlin (2008) (2008)
67. Sticky information Phillips curves: European evidence
    Working Paper Series, European Central Bank View citations (37)
    Also in Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research (2006) View citations (3)
    Macroeconomics and Finance Series, University of Hamburg, Department of Socioeconomics (2006) View citations (12)
    See also Journal Article Sticky Information Phillips Curves: European Evidence, Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing (2008) View citations (12) (2008)
68. Weltkonjunktur und deutsche Konjunktur im Frühjahr 2008
    Kiel Discussion Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel) View citations (1)
69. Weltkonjunktur und deutsche Konjunktur im Herbst 2008
    Kiel Discussion Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel) View citations (7)
70. Weltkonjunktur und deutsche Konjunktur im Sommer 2008
    Kiel Discussion Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel) View citations (2)
71. Weltkonjunktur und deutsche Konjunktur im Winter 2008
    Kiel Discussion Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel) View citations (3)
72. Weltwirtschaft im Abschwung
    Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel) View citations (6)

2007

73. Aufschwung in Deutschland bleibt kräftig
    Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel) View citations (4)
74. Aufschwung in Deutschland setzt sich nur wenig verlangsamt fort
    Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel) View citations (3)
75. Deutsche Konjunktur: Aufschwungskräfte behalten die Oberhand
    Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel) View citations (4)
76. Deutschland: Gegenwind für Konjunktur und Potentialwachstum
    Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel) View citations (1)
77. Lohnanstieg und Konjunktur in Deutschland 2004 - 2008
    Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel) View citations (4)
78. Nachlassende konjunkturelle Dynamik im Euroraum ohne Deutschland
    Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel) View citations (5)
79. Verbessertes Arbeitsmarktumfeld stärkt Wachstum des Produktionspotentials in Deutschland
    Kiel Discussion Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel) View citations (17)
80. Weltkonjunktur und deutsche Konjunktur im Frühjahr 2007
    Kiel Discussion Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel) View citations (2)
81. Weltkonjunktur und deutsche Konjunktur im Herbst 2007
    Kiel Discussion Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel) View citations (13)
82. Weltkonjunktur und deutsche Konjunktur im Sommer 2007
    Kiel Discussion Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel) View citations (3)
83. Weltkonjunktur und deutsche Konjunktur im Winter 2007
    Kiel Discussion Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel) View citations (3)
84. Weltkonjunktur verliert an Fahrt
    Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel) View citations (5)
85. Weltwirtschaftliche Dynamik flaut ab
    Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel) View citations (2)

2006

86. Aid and growth accelerations: An alternative approach to assess the effectiveness of aid
    Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel) View citations (2)
87. Das hohe Leistungsbilanzdefizit der Vereinigten Staaten: Ein Risiko für die Weltwirtschaft und für die wirtschaftliche Entwicklung in Deutschland?
    Kiel Discussion Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel) View citations (5)
88. Gute Chancen auf einen langanhaltenden Aufschwung in Deutschland
    Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel) View citations (3)
89. Konjunktur in den Industrieländern bleibt vorerst kräftig
    Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel) View citations (2)
90. Konjunktureller Höhepunkt in Deutschland wird überschritten
    Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel)
91. Kräftiger, aber nur kurzer Aufschwung in Deutschland
    Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel) View citations (2)
92. Macroeconomic aspects of structural labor market reforms in Germany
    Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel) View citations (4)
93. The Dynamics of European Inflation Expectations
    Macroeconomics and Finance Series, University of Hamburg, Department of Socioeconomics View citations (5)
    Also in Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research (2006) View citations (22)
    See also Journal Article The Dynamics of European Inflation Expectations, The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter (2008) View citations (39) (2008)
94. Weltkonjunktur und deutsche Konjunktur im Frühjahr 2006
    Kiel Discussion Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel) View citations (3)
95. Weltkonjunktur und deutsche Konjunktur im Herbst 2006
    Kiel Discussion Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel) View citations (14)
96. Weltkonjunktur und deutsche Konjunktur im Sommer 2006
    Kiel Discussion Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel) View citations (4)
97. Weltkonjunktur und deutsche Konjunktur im Winter 2006
    Kiel Discussion Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel) View citations (5)

2005

98. European inflation expectations dynamics
    Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies, Deutsche Bundesbank View citations (31)

Journal Articles

2024

1. Eliciting expectation uncertainty from private households
   International Journal of Forecasting, 2024, 40, (1), 113-123
   See also Working Paper Eliciting expectation uncertainty from private households, Working Papers (2023) View citations (1) (2023)

2023

2. Estimating pass-through rates for the 2022 tax reduction on fuel prices in Germany
   Energy Economics, 2023, 126, (C) View citations (8)
   See also Working Paper Estimating Pass-Through Rates for the 2022 Tax Reduction on Fuel Prices in Germany, CESifo Working Paper Series (2022) (2022)
3. Expectation dispersion, uncertainty, and the reaction to news
   European Economic Review, 2023, 154, (C) View citations (5)
   See also Working Paper Expectation dispersion, uncertainty, and the reaction to news, CEPR Discussion Papers (2022) View citations (2) (2022)
4. Local information and firm expectations about aggregates
   Journal of Monetary Economics, 2023, 138, (C), 1-13 View citations (3)
   See also Working Paper Local Information and Firm Expectations about Aggregates, CESifo Working Paper Series (2022) View citations (1) (2022)

2022

5. Sentiment and firm behavior during the COVID-19 pandemic
   Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 2022, 195, (C), 186-198 View citations (18)

2020

6. Anchoring Inflation Expectations in Unconventional Times: Micro Evidence for the Euro Area
   International Journal of Central Banking, 2020, 16, (5), 309-347 View citations (22)
7. How economic crises damage potential output – Evidence from the Great Recession
   Journal of Macroeconomics, 2020, 65, (C) View citations (3)
8. Order‐invariant tests for proper calibration of multivariate density forecasts
   Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2020, 35, (4), 440-456 View citations (5)
   See also Working Paper Order Invariant Tests for Proper Calibration of Multivariate Density Forecasts, CESifo Working Paper Series (2018) (2018)
9. Recessions and Potential Output: Disentangling Measurement Errors, Supply Shocks, and Hysteresis Effects
   Scandinavian Journal of Economics, 2020, 122, (4), 1431-1466 View citations (2)
10. Zur Reaktion von Unternehmen auf die Coronakrise: Welche Rolle spielen die erwartete Krisendauer und die Geschäftslage vor der Krise?
    ifo Schnelldienst Digital, 2020, 1, (08), 01-04 View citations (1)

2017

11. Forecast performance, disagreement, and heterogeneous signal-to-noise ratios
    Empirical Economics, 2017, 53, (1), 63-77 View citations (5)
    See also Working Paper Forecast Performance, Disagreement, and Heterogeneous Signal-to-Noise Ratios, VfS Annual Conference 2016 (Augsburg): Demographic Change (2016) View citations (1) (2016)
12. Prognosen in verschiedenen Konjunkturphasen
    (Forecasts in Different Business Cycle States)
    Wirtschaftsdienst, 2017, 97, (7), 527-528 View citations (4)
13. Systematic errors in growth expectations over the business cycle
    International Journal of Forecasting, 2017, 33, (4), 760-769 View citations (45)
    See also Working Paper Systematic errors in growth expectations over the business cycle, Kiel Working Papers (2015) View citations (6) (2015)

2016

14. Does joint modelling of the world economy pay off? Evaluating global forecasts from a Bayesian GVAR
    Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2016, 70, (C), 86-100 View citations (23)
    See also Working Paper Does Joint Modelling of the World Economy Pay Off? Evaluating Global Forecasts from a Bayesian GVAR, Working Papers (2015) View citations (10) (2015)

2015

15. A multivariate analysis of forecast disagreement: Confronting models of disagreement with survey data
    European Economic Review, 2015, 80, (C), 16-35 View citations (57)
16. Global prediction of recessions
    Economics Letters, 2015, 133, (C), 81-84 View citations (5)
    See also Working Paper Global Prediction of Recessions, Working Papers (2015) View citations (5) (2015)
17. Information rigidities: Comparing average and individual forecasts for a large international panel
    International Journal of Forecasting, 2015, 31, (1), 144-154 View citations (59)
    See also Working Paper INFORMATION RIGIDITIES: COMPARING AVERAGE AND INDIVIDUAL FORECASTS FOR A LARGE INTERNATIONAL PANEL, Working Papers (2014) View citations (10) (2014)

2014

18. International transmission and business-cycle effects of financial stress
    Journal of Financial Stability, 2014, 13, (C), 1-17 View citations (52)

2013

19. Konjunktur aktuell: Deutsche Wirtschaft im Aufschwung
    Konjunktur aktuell, 2013, 1, (4), 144-177 View citations (1)
20. Rückkehr des Vertrauens beflügelt Konjunktur in Deutschland
    Konjunktur aktuell, 2013, 1, (2), 55-94
21. When are GDP forecasts updated? Evidence from a large international panel
    Economics Letters, 2013, 120, (3), 521-524 View citations (29)

2012

22. Disagreement Among Forecasters in G7 Countries
    The Review of Economics and Statistics, 2012, 94, (4), 1081-1096 View citations (329)
    See also Working Paper Disagreement among Forecasters in G7 Countries, Macroeconomics and Finance Series (2009) View citations (30) (2009)
23. Konjunktur aktuell: Deutsche Wirtschaft überwindet die kurze Schwächephase
    Wirtschaft im Wandel, 2012, 18, (3), 80-113
24. Konjunktur aktuell: Eurokrise nimmt deutscher Konjunktur den Wind aus den Segeln
    Wirtschaft im Wandel, 2012, 18, (8-9), 228-258

2011

25. Accuracy, unbiasedness and efficiency of professional macroeconomic forecasts: An empirical comparison for the G7
    International Journal of Forecasting, 2011, 27, (2), 452-465 View citations (103)
    Also in International Journal of Forecasting, 2011, 27, (2), 452-465 (2011) View citations (101)
    See also Working Paper Accuracy, Unbiasedness and Efficiency of Professional Macroeconomic Forecasts: An empirical Comparison for the G7, Jena Economics Research Papers (2009) View citations (9) (2009)

2010

26. How resilient is the German banking system to macroeconomic shocks?
    Journal of Banking & Finance, 2010, 34, (8), 1839-1848 View citations (18)
    See also Working Paper How resilient is the German banking system to macroeconomic shocks?, Kiel Working Papers (2008) View citations (9) (2008)
27. What macroeconomic shocks affect the German banking system?
    Journal of Financial Economic Policy, 2010, 2, (2), 126-148 View citations (4)

2009

28. Die Bedeutung monetärer Größen für die deutsche Wachstumsschwäche 1995–2005
    Review of Economics, 2009, 60, (1), 17-36 View citations (2)
    See also Working Paper Die Bedeutung monetärer Größen für die deutsche Wachstumsschwäche 1995 -2005, Kiel Working Papers (2009) View citations (1) (2009)

2008

29. Predicting Growth Rates and Recessions. Assessing U.S. Leading Indicators under Real-Time Condition
    Applied Economics Quarterly (formerly: Konjunkturpolitik), 2008, 54, (4), 293-318
    See also Working Paper Predicting growth rates and recessions: assessing US leading indicators under real-time conditions, Kiel Working Papers (2008) View citations (4) (2008)
30. Sticky Information Phillips Curves: European Evidence
    Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 2008, 40, (7), 1513-1520 View citations (12)
    Also in Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 2008, 40, (7), 1513-1520 (2008) View citations (36)
    See also Working Paper Sticky information Phillips curves: European evidence, Working Paper Series (2008) View citations (37) (2008)
31. The Dynamics of European Inflation Expectations
    The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, 2008, 8, (1), 23 View citations (39)
    See also Working Paper The Dynamics of European Inflation Expectations, Macroeconomics and Finance Series (2006) View citations (5) (2006)

2007

32. Aid and Growth Accelerations: An Alternative Approach to Assessing the Effectiveness of Aid
    Kyklos, 2007, 60, (3), 359-383 View citations (33)
33. Muss das hohe US-Leistungsbilanzdefizit zu einer massiven Aufwertung der europäischen Währungen führen? Eine andere Sicht
    Aussenwirtschaft, 2007, 62, (02), 233-254 View citations (1)