Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://bura.brunel.ac.uk/handle/2438/30144
Title: Using natural driving experiments and Markov chains to develop realistic driving cycles
Authors: Bishop, JDK
Axon, CJ
Keywords: driver characteristics;driving behaviour;drive cycle;driving metrics;fuel economy;Markov chain
Issue Date: 9-Nov-2024
Publisher: Elsevier
Citation: Bishop, J.D.K. and Axon, C.J. (2024) 'Using natural driving experiments and Markov chains to develop realistic driving cycles', Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment, 137, 104507, pp. 1 - 17. doi: 10.1016/j.trd.2024.104507.
Abstract: The main purpose of driving cycles is to estimate accurately on-road fuel use and the associated emissions of greenhouse gases and other air pollutants by vehicles. Conventionally, driving cycles are developed using micro-trips, Markov chains, or hybrid approaches, with accuracy determined by comparing metrics of the candidate cycles with the observed data. Through a natural driving experiment, we suggest traffic and road topology have a dominant role in influencing individual driving styles, more so than driver age or gender, or vehicle characteristics. Using experimental data and a Markov chain approach, we make three contributions to driving cycle development. First, we identify a reduced set of 26 metrics which materially influence fuel economy. Second, we assess the trade-offs in accuracy between reproducing vehicle dynamics and fuel economy. Finally, we identify the impact of natural driving variability on the accuracy of candidate cycles.
Description: Data availability: The data that has been used is confidential.
URI: https://bura.brunel.ac.uk/handle/2438/30144
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trd.2024.104507
ISSN: 1361-9209
Other Identifiers: ORCiD: Justin D.K. Bishop https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8939-5261
ORCiD: Colin Axon https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9429-8316
104507
Appears in Collections:Dept of Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering Research Papers
Institute of Energy Futures

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