[go: up one dir, main page]

IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/sek/iefpro/3205769.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Idiosyncratic risk and stock returns: a quantile regression approach

Author

Listed:
  • Tariq Aziz

    (Department of Business Administration, Aligarh Muslim University)

  • Valeed Ahmad Ansari

    (Department of Business Administration, Aligarh Muslim University)

Abstract
The relation between idiosyncratic risk and stock returns is currently a topic of debate in the academic literature. So far the evidence regarding the relation is mixed. This study aims to investigate the cross-sectional relation between idiosyncratic risk and stock returns in the Indian stock market employing quantile regressions. Using quantile regressions, this study demonstrates that idiosyncratic volatility and stock returns relation is quantile dependent. The relation between idiosyncratic volatility and stock returns is parabolic. The high idiosyncratic risk is associated with high (low) excess returns at the upper (lower) quantile of the conditional distribution. This partially explains the inconclusive evidence on the idiosyncratic volatility and the stock returns relation in the literature.

Suggested Citation

  • Tariq Aziz & Valeed Ahmad Ansari, 2016. "Idiosyncratic risk and stock returns: a quantile regression approach," Proceedings of Economics and Finance Conferences 3205769, International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences.
  • Handle: RePEc:sek:iefpro:3205769
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://iises.net/proceedings/5th-economics-finance-conference-miami/table-of-content/detail?cid=32&iid=002&rid=5769
    File Function: First version, 2016
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Merton, Robert C, 1987. "A Simple Model of Capital Market Equilibrium with Incomplete Information," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 42(3), pages 483-510, July.
    2. Ang, Andrew & Hodrick, Robert J. & Xing, Yuhang & Zhang, Xiaoyan, 2009. "High idiosyncratic volatility and low returns: International and further U.S. evidence," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 91(1), pages 1-23, January.
    3. Andrew Ang & Robert J. Hodrick & Yuhang Xing & Xiaoyan Zhang, 2006. "The Cross‐Section of Volatility and Expected Returns," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 61(1), pages 259-299, February.
    4. Fu, Fangjian, 2009. "Idiosyncratic risk and the cross-section of expected stock returns," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 91(1), pages 24-37, January.
    5. Aziz, Tariq & Ansari, Valeed Ahmad, 2014. "Size and value premiums in the Indian stock market," MPRA Paper 60451, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Koenker, Roger W & Bassett, Gilbert, Jr, 1978. "Regression Quantiles," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 46(1), pages 33-50, January.
    7. Levy, Haim, 1978. "Equilibrium in an Imperfect Market: A Constraint on the Number of Securities in the Portfolio," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 68(4), pages 643-658, September.
    8. Nath, Harmindar B. & Brooks, Robert D., 2015. "Assessing the idiosyncratic risk and stock returns relation in heteroskedasticity corrected predictive models using quantile regression," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 94-111.
    9. Das, Sudipta, 2015. "Empirical evidence of conditional asset pricing in the Indian stock market," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 39(2), pages 225-239.
    10. Michael E. Drew & Mirela Malin & Tony Naughton & Madhu Veeraraghavan, 2006. "Idiosyncratic volatility and security returns: evidence from Germany and United Kingdom," Studies in Economics and Finance, Emerald Group Publishing, vol. 23(2), pages 80-93, June.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Tariq Aziz & Valeed Ahmad Ansari, 2017. "Idiosyncratic volatility and stock returns: Indian evidence," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 5(1), pages 1420998-142, January.
    2. Harmindar B. Nath & Vasilis Sarafidis, 2017. "Does persistence in idiosyncratic risk proxy return-reversals?," Journal of Banking and Financial Economics, University of Warsaw, Faculty of Management, vol. 2(8), pages 27-53, October.
    3. Abugri, Benjamin A. & Dutta, Sandip, 2014. "Are we overestimating REIT idiosyncratic risk? Analysis of pricing effects and persistence," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 249-259.
    4. Zhu, Zhaobo & Ding, Wenjie & Jin, Yi & Shen, Dehua, 2023. "Dissecting the idiosyncratic volatility puzzle: A fundamental analysis approach," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    5. Hassen Raîs, 2016. "Idiosyncratic Risk and the Cross-Section of European Insurance Equity Returns," Post-Print hal-01764088, HAL.
    6. Ayadi, Mohamed A. & Cao, Xu & Lazrak, Skander & Wang, Yan, 2019. "Do idiosyncratic skewness and kurtosis really matter?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    7. Guo, Hui & Qiu, Buhui, 2014. "Options-implied variance and future stock returns," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 93-113.
    8. Amit Goyal, 2012. "Empirical cross-sectional asset pricing: a survey," Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Springer;Swiss Society for Financial Market Research, vol. 26(1), pages 3-38, March.
    9. Nath, Harmindar B. & Brooks, Robert D., 2015. "Assessing the idiosyncratic risk and stock returns relation in heteroskedasticity corrected predictive models using quantile regression," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 94-111.
    10. Chung, Kee H. & Wang, Junbo & Wu, Chunchi, 2019. "Volatility and the cross-section of corporate bond returns," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 133(2), pages 397-417.
    11. Bo Li & Sabri Boubaker & Zhenya Liu & Waël Louhichi & Yao Yao, 2023. "Exploring the Nonlinear Idiosyncratic Volatility Puzzle: Evidence from China," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 62(2), pages 527-559, August.
    12. Rajnish Mehra & Sunil Wahal & Daruo Xie, 2021. "Is idiosyncratic risk conditionally priced?," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 12(2), pages 625-646, May.
    13. Nusret Cakici & Isil Erol & Dogan Tirtiroglu, 2014. "Tracking the Evolution of Idiosyncratic Risk and Cross-Sectional Expected Returns for US REITs," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 48(3), pages 415-440, April.
    14. Switzer, Lorne N. & Tahaoglu, Cagdas & Zhao, Yun, 2017. "Volatility measures as predictors of extreme returns," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 1-10.
    15. Qadan, Mahmoud, 2019. "Risk appetite, idiosyncratic volatility and expected returns," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    16. Amihud, Yakov & Noh, Joonki, 2021. "The pricing of the illiquidity factor’s conditional risk with time-varying premium," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    17. Liu, Shengnan & Kong, Ao & Gu, Rongbao & Guo, Wenjing, 2019. "Does idiosyncratic volatility matter? — Evidence from Chinese stock market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 516(C), pages 393-401.
    18. Jyri Kinnunen & Minna Martikainen, 2017. "Expected Returns and Idiosyncratic Risk: Industry-Level Evidence from Russia," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 53(11), pages 2528-2544, November.
    19. Bergbrant, Mikael & Kassa, Haimanot, 2021. "Is idiosyncratic volatility related to returns? Evidence from a subset of firms with quality idiosyncratic volatility estimates," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 127(C).
    20. repec:bof:bofitp:urn:nbn:fi:bof-201511231444 is not listed on IDEAS
    21. Serguey Khovansky & Zhylyevskyy, Oleksandr, 2012. "Estimating Idiosyncratic Volatility and Its Effects on a Cross-Section of Returns," Staff General Research Papers Archive 34990, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    idiosyncratic volatility; quantile regression; asset pricing; emerging markets; India;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General
    • C21 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Cross-Sectional Models; Spatial Models; Treatment Effect Models

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:sek:iefpro:3205769. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Klara Cermakova (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://iises.net/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.