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Price and Income Elasticities of Gasoline Demand in Iran: Using Static, ECM, and Dynamic Models in Short, Intermediate, and Long Run

Author

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  • Mohamad Taghvaee, Vahid
  • Hajiani, Parviz
Abstract
Price and income elasticities of gasoline demand show whether the price policy, pursued by the Iranian government, can decrease the high gasoline consumption sufficiently or not. Since the two oil price shocks in 1970 and 1973, interest in the study of oil products demand has increased considerably, especially on gasoline. High gasoline consumption is a serious crisis in Iran, posing economically, politically, and environmentally threats. In this study, the elasticities are estimated over three intervals, short run, intermediate run, and long run in Iran during 1976-2010, by putting the estimates of Error Correction Model (ECM), static model, and dynamic model in an increasing order, respectively. The short run, intermediate run, and long run price elasticities are −0.1538, −0.1618, and −0.3612 and the corresponding income elasticities are 0.2273 - 0.3581, 0.4636, and 0.7284, respectively. Not only do these elasticities imply that the gasoline demand is price and income inelastic but also the adjustment velocity, estimated by ECM, is a low point at −0.1942. Based on the estimations, the gasoline demand responds to the changes of price and income slightly and slowly. Therefore, policy makers should develop more strategies to reduce gasoline consumption, for example, substitute goods, public transportation systems, and environmental standards settings

Suggested Citation

  • Mohamad Taghvaee, Vahid & Hajiani, Parviz, 2014. "Price and Income Elasticities of Gasoline Demand in Iran: Using Static, ECM, and Dynamic Models in Short, Intermediate, and Long Run," MPRA Paper 70054, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:70054
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Mohamad Taghvaee, Vahid & Parsa, Hojat, 2015. "Economic growth and environmental pollution in Iran: evidence from manufacturing and services sectors," MPRA Paper 67885, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Vahid Mohamad Taghvaee & Clever Mavuka & Jalil Khodaparast Shirazi, 2017. "Economic growth and energy consumption in Iran: an ARDL approach including renewable and non-renewable energies," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 19(6), pages 2405-2420, December.
    3. Atamanov,Aziz & Mostafavi Dehzooei,Mohammadhadi & Wai-Poi,Matthew Grant, 2020. "Welfare and Fiscal Implications from Increased Gasoline Prices in the Islamic Republic of Iran," Policy Research Working Paper Series 9235, The World Bank.
    4. Mohamad Taghvaee, Vahid & Hajiani, Parviz, 2015. "Environment, Energy, and Environmental Productivity of Energy: A Decomposition Analysis in China and the US," MPRA Paper 70057, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Mohamad Taghvaee, Vahid & Agheli, Lotfali & Assari Arani, Abbas & Nodehi, Mehrab & Khodaparast Shirazi, Jalil, 2019. "Environmental pollution and economic growth elasticities of maritime and air transportations in Iran," MPRA Paper 100101, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Malik, Afia, 2018. "Fuel Demand in Pakistan's TRansport Sector," MPRA Paper 103455, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Mundaca, Gabriela, 2017. "How much can CO2 emissions be reduced if fossil fuel subsidies are removed?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 91-104.
    8. Vahid Mohamad Taghvaee & Jalil Khodaparast Shirazi & Mohamed Amine Boutabba & Alireza Seifi Aloo, 2017. "Economic Growth and Renewable Energy in Iran," Iranian Economic Review (IER), Faculty of Economics,University of Tehran.Tehran,Iran, vol. 21(4), pages 789-808, Autumn.
    9. Mohamad Taghvaee, Vahid & Seifi Aloo, Alireza & Khodaparast Shirazi, Jalil, 2016. "Energy, Environment, and Economy Interactions in Iran with Cointegrated and ECM Simultaneous Model," MPRA Paper 70508, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Vahid Mohamad Taghvaee & Mehrab Nodehi & Abbas Assari Arani & Yaghoob Jafari & Jalil Khodaparast Shirazi, 2023. "Sustainability spillover effects of social, environment and economy: mapping global sustainable development in a systematic analysis," Asia-Pacific Journal of Regional Science, Springer, vol. 7(2), pages 329-353, June.
    11. Bigerna, S. & Bollino, C.A. & Micheli, S. & Polinori, P., 2017. "Revealed and stated preferences for CO2 emissions reduction: The missing link," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 68(P2), pages 1213-1221.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Gasoline Demand; Price Elasticity; Income Elasticity; Static Model; ECM; Dynamic Model;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O13 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Agriculture; Natural Resources; Environment; Other Primary Products
    • Q3 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Nonrenewable Resources and Conservation
    • Q31 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Nonrenewable Resources and Conservation - - - Demand and Supply; Prices
    • Q41 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Demand and Supply; Prices

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