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Règle du taux d'intérêt optimale, prix des actions et taux d'inflation anticipé : une étude de la stabilité macroéconomique
[Optimal interest rate rule, asset prices and expected inflation rate : a study of the macroeconomic stability]

Author

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  • Dai, Meixing
  • Sidiropoulos, Moïse
Abstract
Cet article étudie la stabilité macroéconomique lorsque la Banque Centrale intègre dans sa règle du taux d'intérêt optimale les cours boursiers. Nous montrons que lorsque la Banque Centrale a une forte aversion pour l'inflation en attribuant un poids important à l'objectif de l'inflation par rapport à celui de l'output (le cas d'un banquier « conservateur » au sens de Rogoff), le système économique risque d'être instable. La présence du prix des actions dans la règle du taux d'intérêt optimale de la Banque Centrale n'est pas à l'origine de l'instabilité. (English)This paper examines the macroeconomic stability when monetary authorities include asset prices in their optimal interest rate rule. We show that when the Central Bank has a strong inflationary aversion by giving more important weight to inflation target relative to output target (the case of a "conservative" central banker according to Rogoff), the economy is likely to be unstable. The presence of the asset prices in Central Bank's optimal interest rate rule is not a reason of instability.

Suggested Citation

  • Dai, Meixing & Sidiropoulos, Moïse, 2002. "Règle du taux d'intérêt optimale, prix des actions et taux d'inflation anticipé : une étude de la stabilité macroéconomique [Optimal interest rate rule, asset prices and expected inflation rate : a," MPRA Paper 14401, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Jun 2003.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:14401
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    Cited by:

    1. Dai, Meixing & Sidiropoulos, Moïse, 2005. "Flexibility in inflation targeting, financial markets and macroeconomic stability," MPRA Paper 13864, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Meixing Dai, 2011. "Règle de taux d’intérêt et politique d’assouplissement quantitatif avec un rôle pour la monnaie," Bulletin de l'Observatoire des politiques économiques en Europe, Observatoire des Politiques Économiques en Europe (OPEE), vol. 0(1), pages 119-148, March.
    3. Meixing Dai & Moïse Sidiropoulos & Eleftherios Spyromitros, 2007. "La transparence de la politique monétaire et la dynamique des marchés financiers," Bulletin de l'Observatoire des politiques économiques en Europe, Observatoire des Politiques Économiques en Europe (OPEE), vol. 0(4), pages 141-162, December.
    4. Meixing DAI, 2009. "On the role of money growth targeting under inflation targeting regime," Working Papers of BETA 2009-11, Bureau d'Economie Théorique et Appliquée, UDS, Strasbourg.
    5. Dai, Meixing, 2003. "Une note sur la règle du taux d’intérêt et le rôle de la courbe LM [A note on the interest rate rule and the role of LM curve]," MPRA Paper 13779, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Mar 2009.
    6. Dai, Meixing, 2006. "Independent inflation-targeting regime versus monetary union: An analysis of dynamic stability under endogenous inflation expectations," MPRA Paper 15142, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Dai, Meixing, 2007. "The design of a ‘two-pillar’ monetary policy strategy," MPRA Paper 14403, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Mar 2009.
    8. Meixing Dai, 2006. "Inflation-targeting under a Managed Exchange Rate: the Case of the Chinese Central Bank," Journal of Chinese Economic and Business Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 4(3), pages 199-219.
    9. Meixing DAI, 2007. "A two-pillar strategy to keep inflation expectations at bay: A basic theoretical framework," Working Papers of BETA 2007-20, Bureau d'Economie Théorique et Appliquée, UDS, Strasbourg.
    10. Dai, Meixing, 2011. "Financial market imperfections and monetary policy strategy," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 28(6), pages 2609-2621.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Politique monétaire optimale; règle optimale du taux d'intérêt; prox d'actifs; stabilité macroéconomique. (English)Optimal monetary policy; optimal interest rate rule; asset prices; macroeconomic stability;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy

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