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The Curse of Long Horizons

Author

Listed:
  • V. Bhaskar

    (Department of Economics, University of Texas at Austin)

  • George J. Mailath

    (Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania)

Abstract
We study dynamic moral hazard when the principal can only commit to spot contracts. Principal and agent are ex ante symmetrically uncertain about the difficulty of the job, and update their beliefs on observing output. Since the agent’s effort is private, he has an additional incentive to shirk when the principal induces effort: shirking results in the principal having incorrect beliefs, giving rise to future informational rents. We show that the effort inducing contract must provide increasingly high powered incentives as the length of the relationship increases. Thus it is never optimal to always induce effort in very long relationships.

Suggested Citation

  • V. Bhaskar & George J. Mailath, 2016. "The Curse of Long Horizons," PIER Working Paper Archive 18-029, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania, revised 03 Dec 2018.
    • Handle: RePEc:pen:papers:18-029
    as

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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Gustavo Manso, 2011. "Motivating Innovation," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 66(5), pages 1823-1860, October.
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    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Cetemen, Doruk & Hwang, Ilwoo & Kaya, Ayça, 2020. "Uncertainty-driven cooperation," Theoretical Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 15(3), July.
    2. Bhaskar, V. & Mailath, George J., 2019. "The curse of long horizons," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 74-89.
    3. Bhaskar, V & Roketskiy, Nikita, 2023. "The ratchet effect: A learning perspective," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 214(C).
    4. Ekmekci, Mehmet & Maestri, Lucas, 2019. "Reputation and screening in a noisy environment with irreversible actions," MPRA Paper 100885, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Johannes Abeler & David Huffman & Collin Raymond & David B. Huffman, 2023. "Incentive Complexity, Bounded Rationality and Effort Provision," CESifo Working Paper Series 10541, CESifo.
    6. Gao, Hong & Xu, Haibo, 2020. "Learning, belief manipulation and optimal relationship termination," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 190(C).
    7. Abeler, Johannes & Huffman, David B. & Raymond, Collin, 2023. "Incentive Complexity, Bounded Rationality and Effort Provision," IZA Discussion Papers 16284, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    principal-agency; moral hazard; differences in beliefs; high-powered incentives;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D01 - Microeconomics - - General - - - Microeconomic Behavior: Underlying Principles
    • D23 - Microeconomics - - Production and Organizations - - - Organizational Behavior; Transaction Costs; Property Rights
    • D86 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Economics of Contract Law
    • J30 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs - - - General

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