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Do changes in material circumstances drive support for populist radical parties? Panel data evidence from The Netherlands during the Great Recession, 2007–2015

Author

Listed:
  • Gidron, Noam
  • Mijs, Jonathan Jan Benjamin

    (London School of Economics and Political Science)

Abstract
Political developments since the 2008 financial crisis have sparked renewed interest in the electoral implications of economic downturns. Research describes a correlation between adverse economic conditions and support for radical parties campaigning on the populist promise to retake the country from a corrupt elite. But does the success of radical parties following economic crises rely on people who are directly affected? To answer this question, we examine whether individual-level changes in economic circumstances drive support for radical parties across the ideological divide. Analyzing eight waves of panel data collected in The Netherlands, before, during, and after the Great Recession (2007–2015), we demonstrate that people who experienced an income loss became more supportive of the radical left but not of the radical right. Looking at these parties’ core concerns, we find that income loss increased support for income redistribution championed by the radical left, but less so for the anti-immigration policies championed by the radical right. Our study establishes more directly than extant research the micro-foundations of support for radical parties across the ideological divide.

Suggested Citation

  • Gidron, Noam & Mijs, Jonathan Jan Benjamin, 2019. "Do changes in material circumstances drive support for populist radical parties? Panel data evidence from The Netherlands during the Great Recession, 2007–2015," SocArXiv w4e6s, Center for Open Science.
    • Handle: RePEc:osf:socarx:w4e6s
    DOI: 10.31219/osf.io/w4e6s
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    Blog mentions

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    1. Leder sämre ekonomi till politisk radikalisering?
      by Niclas Berggren in Nonicoclolasos on 2020-01-30 05:06:31

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    3. Gianmarco Daniele & Andrea F. M. Martinangeli & Francesco Passarelli & Willem Sas & Lisa Windsteiger, 2024. "Pandemic distress and anti‐immigration sentiments," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 91(363), pages 1124-1155, July.
    4. Ferrara, Federico, 2023. "Why does import competition favor republicans? Localized trade shocks and cultural backlash in the US," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 111961, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    5. Gianmarco Daniele & Andrea F.M. Martinangeli & Francesco Passarelli & Willem Sas & Lisa Windsteiger, 2020. "Fear and Loathing in Times of Distress Causal Impact of Social and Economic Insecurity on Anti-Immigration Sentiment," Working Papers tax-mpg-rps-2020-17, Max Planck Institute for Tax Law and Public Finance.
    6. Giacomo Melli & Stefani Scherer, 2024. "Populist Attitudes, Subjective Social Status, and Resentment in Italy," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 173(3), pages 589-606, July.

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