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The End of the American Dream? Inequality and Segregation in US Cities

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  • Alessandra Fogli
  • Veronica Guerrieri
Abstract
Since the '80s the US has experienced not only a steady increase in income inequality, but also a contemporaneous increase in residential segregation by income. Using US Census data, we first document a positive correlation between inequality and segregation at the MSA level between 1980 and 2010. We then develop a general equilibrium overlapping generations model where parents choose the neighborhood where to raise their children and invest in their children's education. In the model, segregation and inequality amplify each other because of a local spillover that affects the returns to education. We calibrate the model using 1980 US data and the micro estimates of the effect of neighborhood exposure in Chetty and Hendren (2018). We then assume that in 1980 an unexpected permanent skill premium shock hits the economy and show that segregation contributes to 28% of the subsequent increase in inequality.

Suggested Citation

  • Alessandra Fogli & Veronica Guerrieri, 2019. "The End of the American Dream? Inequality and Segregation in US Cities," NBER Working Papers 26143, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  • Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:26143
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Brueckner, Jan K. & Thisse, Jacques-Francois & Zenou, Yves, 1999. "Why is central Paris rich and downtown Detroit poor?: An amenity-based theory," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 43(1), pages 91-107, January.
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    5. Fabian Eckert & Tatjana Kleineberg, 2019. "Can We Save the American Dream? A Dynamic General Equilibrium Analysis of the Effects of School Financing on Local Opportunities," 2019 Meeting Papers 1197, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    6. Moretti, Enrico & Hsieh, Chang-Tai, 2015. "Why Do Cities Matter? Local Growth and Aggregate Growth," CEPR Discussion Papers 10604, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
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    Cited by:

    1. Suzane Bellue, 2023. "Why Don’t Poor Families Move? A Spatial Equilibirum Analysis of Parental Decisions with Social Learning," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series crctr224_2023_472, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany.
    2. Jo Blanden & Matthias Doepke & Jan Stuhler, 2022. "Education inequality," CEP Discussion Papers dp1849, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
    3. Kulkarni, Nirupama & Malmendier, Ulrike, 2022. "Homeownership segregation," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 129(C), pages 123-149.
    4. Christian Schluter & Mark Trede, 2024. "Spatial earnings inequality," The Journal of Economic Inequality, Springer;Society for the Study of Economic Inequality, vol. 22(3), pages 531-550, September.
    5. Stephen J. Redding, 2022. "Suburbanization in the USA, 1970–2010," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 89(S1), pages 110-136, June.
    6. Stephen J. Redding & Daniel M. Sturm, 2024. "Neighborhood Effects: Evidence from Wartime Destruction in London," NBER Working Papers 32333, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    7. Redding, Stephen, 2021. "Suburbanization in the United States 1970-2010," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 114437, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    8. Takeda, Kohei, 2022. "The geography of structural transformation: effects on inequality and mobility," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 118050, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    9. Victor Couture & Cecile Gaubert & Jessie Handbury & Erik Hurst, 2019. "Income Growth and the Distributional Effects of Urban Spatial Sorting," NBER Working Papers 26142, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    10. Hennig, Jan-Luca, 2021. "Labor Market Polarization and Intergenerational Mobility: Theory and Evidence," VfS Annual Conference 2021 (Virtual Conference): Climate Economics 242353, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    11. Andrew W. Nutting, 2023. "Geographic earnings inequality by race, 1960–2016," Journal of Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 63(2), pages 290-339, March.
    12. Wright, Jacob & Zheng, Angela, 2024. "From Preschool to College: The Impact of Education Policies over the Lifecycle," IZA Discussion Papers 17301, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    13. Jacob Wright & Angela Zheng, 2024. "From Preschool to College: The Impact of Education Policies over the Lifecycle," Department of Economics Working Papers 2024-07, McMaster University.
    14. Roland Bénabou, 2017. "Comment on "Understanding the Great Gatsby Curve"," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2017, volume 32, pages 394-406, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    15. Oskari Harjunen & Tuukka Saarimaa & Janne Tukiainen, 2021. "Love Thy (Elected) Neighbor? Residential Segregation, Political Representation and Local Public Goods," Discussion Papers 138, Aboa Centre for Economics.
    16. Wangbao Liu, 2022. "Tenure-Based Housing Spatial Patterns and Residential Segregation in Guangzhou under the Background of Housing Market Reform," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(8), pages 1-19, April.
    17. Jean-Felix Brouillette & Charles I. Jones & Peter J. Klenow, 2021. "Race and Economic Well-Being in the United States," NBER Working Papers 29539, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    18. Gerard Domènech-Arumí, 2022. "Neighborhoods, Perceived Inequality, and Preferences for Redistribution :Evidence from Barcelona," Working Papers ECARES 2022-09, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    19. Victoria Gregory & Julian Kozlowski & Hannah Rubinton, 2022. "The Impact of Racial Segregation on College Attainment in Spatial Equilibrium," Working Papers 2022-036, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, revised 27 Nov 2024.
    20. Alessandra Fogli, 2019. "The Research Agenda: Alessandra Fogli on Social Context and Macroeconomic Outcomes," EconomicDynamics Newsletter, Review of Economic Dynamics, vol. 20(2), November.
    21. Gallipoli, Giovanni, 2023. "Comments on unequal growth," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 133(C), pages 19-24.
    22. Eckert,Fabian & Kleineberg,Tatjana Karina, 2021. "Saving the American Dream ? Education Policies in Spatial General Equilibrium," Policy Research Working Paper Series 9574, The World Bank.
    23. Choi, Jaerim & Lim, Sunghun, 2023. "Ostrom Meets the Pandemic: Lessons from Asian Rice Farming Traditions," 97th Annual Conference, March 27-29, 2023, Warwick University, Coventry, UK 334543, Agricultural Economics Society - AES.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • D5 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium
    • D63 - Microeconomics - - Welfare Economics - - - Equity, Justice, Inequality, and Other Normative Criteria and Measurement
    • E0 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General
    • E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity

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