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The Impact of the 2009 Federal Tobacco Excise Tax Increase on Youth Tobacco Use

Author

Listed:
  • Jidong Huang
  • Frank J. Chaloupka, IV
Abstract
This study examined the impact of the 2009 federal tobacco excise tax increase on the use of cigarettes and smokeless tobacco products among youth using the Monitoring the Future survey, a nationally representative survey of 8th, 10th, and 12th grade students. The results of this analysis showed that this tax increase had a substantial short-term impact. The percentage of students who reported smoking in the past 30 days dropped between 9.7% and 13.3% immediately following the tax increase, depending on model specifications, and the percentage of students who reported using smokeless tobacco products dropped between 16% and 24%. It is estimated that there would have been approximately 220,000 - 287,000 more current smokers and 135,000 - 203,000 more smokeless tobacco users among middle school and high school students (age 14 - 18) in the United States in May 2009 had the federal tax not increased in April 2009. The long-term projected number of youth prevented from smoking or using smokeless tobacco that resulted from the 2009 federal tax increase could be much larger given the resulting higher tobacco prices would deter more and more children from initiating smoking and smokeless tobacco use over time.

Suggested Citation

  • Jidong Huang & Frank J. Chaloupka, IV, 2012. "The Impact of the 2009 Federal Tobacco Excise Tax Increase on Youth Tobacco Use," NBER Working Papers 18026, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  • Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:18026
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    File URL: http://www.nber.org/papers/w18026.pdf
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    Cited by:

    1. Rahi Abouk & Scott Adams, 2017. "Compliance Inspections of Tobacco Retailers and Youth Smoking," American Journal of Health Economics, MIT Press, vol. 3(1), pages 10-32, Winter.
    2. Liberati, Paolo & Paradiso, Massimo, 2014. "Sulla composizione dell'accisa sui tabacchi: un'ipotesi di modifica del sistema di tassazione in Italia [On the structure of the excise taxes on tobacco: A reform proposal for Italy]," MPRA Paper 55906, University Library of Munich, Germany.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • I10 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - General
    • I18 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - Government Policy; Regulation; Public Health

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