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Specification Testing for Nonlinear Multivariate Cointegrating Regressions

Author

Listed:
  • Chaohua Dong
  • Jiti Gao
  • Dag Tjostheim
  • Jiying Yin
Abstract
This paper considers a general model specification test for nonlinear multivariate cointegrating regressions where the regressor consists of a univariate integrated time series and a vector of stationary time series. The regressors and the errors are generated from the same innovations, so that the model accommodates endogeneity. A new and simple test is proposed and the resulting asymptotic theory is established. The test statistic is constructed based on a natural distance function between a nonparametric estimate and a smoothed parametric counterpart. The asymptotic distribution of the test statistic under the parametric specification is proportional to that of a local-time random variable with a known distribution. In addition, the finite sample performance of the proposed test is evaluated through using both simulated and real data examples.

Suggested Citation

  • Chaohua Dong & Jiti Gao & Dag Tjostheim & Jiying Yin, 2016. "Specification Testing for Nonlinear Multivariate Cointegrating Regressions," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 14/16, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
    • Handle: RePEc:msh:ebswps:2016-14
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    File URL: http://business.monash.edu/econometrics-and-business-statistics/research/publications/ebs/wp14-16.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Chaohua Dong & Jiti Gao & Yundong Tu & Bin Peng, 2023. "Robust M-Estimation for Additive Single-Index Cointegrating Time Series Models," Papers 2301.06631, arXiv.org.
    2. Escribano, Alvaro & Peña, Daniel & Ruiz, Esther, 2021. "30 years of cointegration and dynamic factor models forecasting and its future with big data: Editorial," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(4), pages 1333-1337.
    3. James A. Duffy & Sophocles Mavroeidis & Sam Wycherley, 2022. "Cointegration with Occasionally Binding Constraints," Papers 2211.09604, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2023.
    4. Chaohua Dong & Jiti Gao & Bin Peng & Yundong Tu, 2021. "Multiple-index Nonstationary Time Series Models: Robust Estimation Theory and Practice," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 18/21, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
    5. Jun Wang & Dianpeng Wang & Yubin Tian, 2022. "Multidimensional specification test based on non-stationary time series," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 31(2), pages 348-372, June.
    6. Peng, Zhen & Dong, Chaohua, 2022. "Augmented cointegrating linear models with possibly strongly correlated stationary and nonstationary regressors," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PB).
    7. Weilun Zhou & Jiti Gao & David Harris & Hsein Kew, 2019. "Semiparametric Single-index Predictive Regression," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 25/19, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
    8. Chaohua Dong & Jiti Gao & Bin Peng & Yundong Tu, 2021. "Multiple-index Nonstationary Time Series Models: Robust Estimation Theory and Practice," Papers 2111.02023, arXiv.org.
    9. Biqing Cai & Dag Tjøstheim, 2015. "Nonparametric Regression Estimation for Multivariate Null Recurrent Processes," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 3(2), pages 1-24, April.
    10. Tu, Yundong & Liang, Han-Ying & Wang, Qiying, 2022. "Nonparametric inference for quantile cointegrations with stationary covariates," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 230(2), pages 453-482.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    cointegration; endogeneity; nonparametric kernel estimation; parametric model specification; time series;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Hypothesis Testing: General
    • C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes

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