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Transitions in Labour Market Status in the EU

Author

Listed:
  • Ward-Warmedinger, Melanie E.

    (European Central Bank)

  • Macchiarelli, Corrado

    (London School of Economics)

Abstract
This paper presents information on labour market mobility in 23 EU countries, using Eurostat's Labour Force Survey (LFS) data over the period 1998-2008. More specifically, it discusses alternative measures of labour market churning; including the ease with which individuals can move between employment, unemployment and inactivity over time. The results suggest that the probability of remaining in the same labour market status between two consecutive periods is high for all countries. Nonetheless, transitions from unemployment and inactivity back into the labour market are relatively weak in the euro area and central eastern European EU (CEE EU) countries compared to Denmark and, particularly, Sweden. Moreover, comparisons of transition probabilities over time suggest that – until the onset of the financial crisis – the probability of remaining in unemployment over two consecutive periods decreased in Sweden, the euro area, and, to a lesser extent, Denmark, while it increased in the average CEE EU countries. At the same time, however, successful labour market entries (from outside the labour market) increased in the average CEE EU countries, Denmark and Sweden. On the basis of an index for labour markets turnover used in the paper (Shorrocks, 1987), labour markets in Spain, Luxemburg, the Netherlands, Denmark and Sweden are the most mobile on average, with these results mainly reflecting higher mobility of people below the age of 29, highly educated and female workers. We also find that mobility of all worker groups has generally increased over time in the euro area, Denmark and Sweden. Finally, we ask whether some of the observed changes in mobility can be broadly restraint to some "macro" explanatory factors, including part time and temporary employment, unemployment and structure indicators. The results provide a mixed picture, suggesting that the sense of mobility strongly varies across countries.

Suggested Citation

  • Ward-Warmedinger, Melanie E. & Macchiarelli, Corrado, 2013. "Transitions in Labour Market Status in the EU," IZA Discussion Papers 7814, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    • Handle: RePEc:iza:izadps:dp7814
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Ronald Bachmann & Peggy Bechara & Anica Kramer & Sylvi Rzepka, 2015. "Labour market dynamics and worker heterogeneity during the Great Recession – Evidence from Europe," IZA Journal of European Labor Studies, Springer;Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit GmbH (IZA), vol. 4(1), pages 1-29, December.
    2. Vassilis Monastiriotis & Corrado Macchiarelli & Nikolitsa Lampropoulou, 2019. "Transition Dynamics in European Labour Markets During Crisis and Recovery," Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Association for Comparative Economic Studies, vol. 61(2), pages 213-234, June.
    3. Richard Duhautois & Christine Erhel & Mathilde Guergoat-Larivière, 2018. "State Dependence and Labor Market Transitions in the European Union," Annals of Economics and Statistics, GENES, issue 131, pages 59-82.
    4. Y. Saks, 2016. "Socio-economic transitions on the labour market : a European benchmarking exercise," Economic Review, National Bank of Belgium, issue iii, pages 41-58, December.
    5. Fugazza Carolina, 2019. "Anatomy of Non-Employment Risk," The B.E. Journal of Economic Analysis & Policy, De Gruyter, vol. 19(3), pages 1-19, July.
    6. Daouli, Joan & Demoussis, Michael & Giannakopoulos, Nicholas & Lambropoulou, Nikolitsa, 2015. "The ins and outs of Greek unemployment in the Great Depression," MPRA Paper 66299, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Luca Zanin & Raffaella Calabrese, 2017. "Interaction effects of region-level GDP per capita and age on labour market transition rates in Italy," IZA Journal of Labor Economics, Springer;Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit GmbH (IZA), vol. 6(1), pages 1-29, December.
    8. Değer Eryar & Hasan Tekgüç, 2014. "Gender Effect in Explaining Mobility Patterns in the Labor Market: A Case Study of Turkey," The Developing Economies, Institute of Developing Economies, vol. 52(4), pages 322-350, December.
    9. Sergei SOARES & Janine BERG, 2022. "The labour market fallout of COVID‐19: Who endures, who doesn't and what are the implications for inequality," International Labour Review, International Labour Organization, vol. 161(1), pages 5-28, March.
    10. Nicola Cassandro & Marco Centra & Dario Guarascio & Piero Esposito, 2021. "What drives employment–unemployment transitions? Evidence from Italian task-based data," Economia Politica: Journal of Analytical and Institutional Economics, Springer;Fondazione Edison, vol. 38(3), pages 1109-1147, October.
    11. Esposito, Piero & Scicchitano, Sergio, 2022. "Educational mismatch and labour market transitions in Italy: Is there an unemployment trap?," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 138-155.
    12. Jonathan Créchet & Étienne Lalé & Linas Tarasonis, 2023. "Life-Cycle Worker Flows and Cross-country Differences in Aggregate Employment," Working Papers 2306E, University of Ottawa, Department of Economics.
    13. Joan Daouli & Michael Demoussis & Nicholas Giannakopoulos & Nikolitsa Lampropoulou, 2015. "The Ins and Outs of Unemployment in the Current Greek Economic Crisis," South-Eastern Europe Journal of Economics, Association of Economic Universities of South and Eastern Europe and the Black Sea Region, vol. 13(2), pages 177-196.
    14. Adele Bergin & Elish Kelly & Seamus McGuinness, 2015. "Changes in labour market transitions in Ireland over the Great Recession: what role for policy?," IZA Journal of European Labor Studies, Springer;Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit GmbH (IZA), vol. 4(1), pages 1-18, December.
    15. Ferretti Camilla, 2021. "Measurement of enterprise mobility among size classes, taking into account business demography," Statistics in Transition New Series, Statistics Poland, vol. 22(1), pages 55-73, March.
    16. Melanie Ward-Warmedinger & Corrado Macchiarelli, 2014. "Transitions in labour market status in EU labour markets," IZA Journal of European Labor Studies, Springer;Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit GmbH (IZA), vol. 3(1), pages 1-25, December.
    17. Benz, Sebastian & Johannesson, Louise, 2019. "Job characteristics, job transitions and services trade: Evidence from the EU Labour Force Survey," Conference papers 333093, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    18. Theranda Beqiri, 2016. "Labour Market Trends in Transition Economies with Emphasis on Gender Inequalities," Acta Universitatis Danubius. OEconomica, Danubius University of Galati, issue 12(4), pages 72-85, August.
    19. Maria Symeonaki & Dimitrios Parsanoglou & Glykeria Stamatopoulou, 2019. "The Evolution of Early Job Insecurity in Europe," SAGE Open, , vol. 9(2), pages 21582440198, May.
    20. Bettina Becker & Nigel Driffield & Sandra Lancheros & James H. Love, 2020. "FDI in hot labour markets: The implications of the war for talent," Journal of International Business Policy, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 3(2), pages 107-133, June.
    21. Etienne Lalé & Linas Tarasonis, 2019. "The Life-cycle Profile of Worker Flows in Europe: an Empirical Investigation," Bank of Lithuania Discussion Paper Series 16, Bank of Lithuania.
    22. Camilla Ferretti, 2021. "Measurement of enterprise mobility among size classes, taking into account business demography," Statistics in Transition New Series, Polish Statistical Association, vol. 22(1), pages 55-73, March.
    23. Maria Symeonaki & Glykeria Stamatopoulou, 2020. "On the Measurement of Positive Labor Market Mobility," SAGE Open, , vol. 10(3), pages 21582440209, July.
    24. Ludmila Fadejeva & Ieva Opmane, 2016. "Internal labour market mobility in 2005–2014 in Latvia: the micro data approach," Baltic Journal of Economics, Baltic International Centre for Economic Policy Studies, vol. 16(2), pages 152-174.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    LFS micro data; labour market mobility; transition probabilities; EU countries;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J21 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Labor Force and Employment, Size, and Structure
    • J60 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - General
    • J82 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Labor Standards - - - Labor Force Composition
    • E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity

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