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Reconciling Chinese Meat Production and Consumption Data

Author

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  • Fuller, Frank H.
  • Hayes, Dermot J.
  • Smith, Darnell
Abstract
With more than one-fifth of the world’s population and only 7% of the world’s arable land, China has the potential to become a major importer of land-intensive products such as feed grains. This development would be of particular interest to the United States and Canada, which together, have more than 17% of the world’s arable land but only 5% of the world’s population. Per capita private consumption in China has been increasing at an average annual rate of 6.8% over the past decade. Given the low average income level in China, consumption of feedgrain-intensive products, such as meat, dairy products, and alcohol, can be expected to increase with continued income growth. These factors take on greater significance given the fact that China has applied to join the World Trade Organization and trade liberalization may soon occur. Use of grain-intensive products should increase if China liberalizes its agricultural markets, and China should eventually reverse the current trade situation and begin to import large quantities of feed grains and meats. The combination of these observations has stimulated interest in China’s agricultural data, and the research and policy prescriptions based on these data are greatly affected by the data’s quality.

Suggested Citation

  • Fuller, Frank H. & Hayes, Dermot J. & Smith, Darnell, 2000. "Reconciling Chinese Meat Production and Consumption Data," ISU General Staff Papers 200010010700001004, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:isu:genstf:200010010700001004
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    Cited by:

    1. Nin, Alejandro & Hertel, Thomas W. & Foster, Kenneth & Rae, Allan, 2004. "Productivity growth, catching-up and uncertainty in China's meat trade," Agricultural Economics, Blackwell, vol. 31(1), pages 1-16, July.
    2. Keyzer, M.A. & Merbis, M.D. & Pavel, I.F.P.W. & van Wesenbeeck, C.F.A., 2005. "Diet shifts towards meat and the effects on cereal use: can we feed the animals in 2030?," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 55(2), pages 187-202, November.
    3. Allan N. Rae & Hengyun Ma & Jikun Huang & Scott Rozelle, 2006. "Livestock in China: Commodity-Specific Total Factor Productivity Decomposition Using New Panel Data," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 88(3), pages 680-695.
    4. Hongyun Han & Hanning Li & Liange Zhao, 2018. "Determinants of Factor Misallocation in Agricultural Production and Implications for Agricultural Supply†side Reform in China," China & World Economy, Institute of World Economics and Politics, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, vol. 26(3), pages 22-42, May.
    5. Hengyun Ma & Allan Rae & Jikun Huang & Scott Rozelle, 2004. "Chinese animal product consumption in the 1990s," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 48(4), pages 569-590, December.
    6. Masuda, Tadayoshi & Goldsmith, Peter D., 2012. "China's Meat and Egg Production and Soybean Meal Demand for Feed: An Elasticity Analysis and Long-Term Projections," International Food and Agribusiness Management Review, International Food and Agribusiness Management Association, vol. 15(3), pages 1-20, September.
    7. Wang, Ji-Min & Zhou, Zhang-Yue & Cox, Rodney J., 2005. "Animal Product Consumption Trends in China," Australasian Agribusiness Review, University of Melbourne, Department of Agriculture and Food Systems, vol. 13.
    8. Gould, Brian W. & Sabates, Ricardo, 2001. "The Structure Of Food Demand In Urban China: A Demand System Approach," 2001 Annual meeting, August 5-8, Chicago, IL 20778, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    9. Chen, Jing & Rozelle, Scott, 2003. "Market Emergence And The Rise And Fall Of Backyard Hog Production In China," 2003 Annual meeting, July 27-30, Montreal, Canada 21969, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    10. Yu, Xiaohua & Abler, David, 2014. "Where have all the pigs gone? Inconsistencies in pork statistics in China," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 469-484.
    11. Yu, X. & Zhang, X. & You, L., 2018. "Does The Granary County Subsidy Policy Lead to Manipulation of Grain Production Data in China? Evidence from a Natural Experiment," 2018 Conference, July 28-August 2, 2018, Vancouver, British Columbia 277298, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    12. Martin, William J. & Fukase, Emiko, 2014. "Who Will Feed China in the 21st Century? Income," 2014: Food, Resources and Conflict, December 7-9, 2014. San Diego, California 197164, International Agricultural Trade Research Consortium.
    13. Ma, Hengyun & Huang, Jikun & Rozelle, Scott & Rae, Allan N., 2003. "Livestock Product Consumption Patterns In Urban And Rural China," China Agriculture Project Working Papers 23689, Massey University, Centre for Applied Economics and Policy Studies.
    14. Carter, Colin A. & Chen, Jing & Chu, Baojin, 2003. "Agricultural productivity growth in China: farm level versus aggregate measurement," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 14(1), pages 53-71.
    15. Emiko Fukase & Will Martin, 2016. "Who Will Feed China in the 21st Century? Income Growth and Food Demand and Supply in China," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 67(1), pages 3-23, February.
    16. Ma, Hengyun & Rae, Allan N. & Huang, Jikun, 2004. "Livestock Productivity In China: Data Revision And Total Factor Productivity Decomposition," China Agriculture Project Working Papers 23691, Massey University, Centre for Applied Economics and Policy Studies.
    17. Tian, Xu & Sun, Feifei & Zhou, Yingheng, 2015. "Technical Efficiency and Its Determinants in China's Hog Production," 2015 Conference, August 9-14, 2015, Milan, Italy 212718, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    18. Yongtong Shao & Tao Xiong & Minghao Li & Dermot Hayes & Wendong Zhang & Wei Xie, 2021. "China's Missing Pigs: Correcting China's Hog Inventory Data Using a Machine Learning Approach," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 103(3), pages 1082-1098, May.
    19. Junfei Bai & Caiping Zhang & Fangbin Qiao & Tom Wahl, 2012. "Disaggregating household expenditures on food away from home in Beijing by type of food facility and type of meal," China Agricultural Economic Review, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 4(1), pages 18-35, January.
    20. Zhang, Xiaoheng & Yu, Xiaohua & You, Liangzhi, 2020. "Does the Granary County Subsidy Program Lead to manipulation of grain production data in China?," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    21. repec:rre:publsh:v:38:y:2008:i:3:p:343-59 is not listed on IDEAS
    22. Lopez, Rigoberto A. & He, Xi & De Falcis, Eleonora, 2017. "What Drives China’s New Agricultural Subsidies?," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 279-292.
    23. Wang, Ji-Min & Zhou, Zhang-Yue & Yang, Jun, 2004. "How Much Animal Product do the Chinese Consume? Empirical Evidence from Household Surveys," Australasian Agribusiness Review, University of Melbourne, Department of Agriculture and Food Systems, vol. 12.
    24. Ma, Hengyun & Rae, Allan N., 2004. "Hog Production In China: Technological Bias And Factor Demand," China Agriculture Project Working Papers 23688, Massey University, Centre for Applied Economics and Policy Studies.

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