[go: up one dir, main page]
IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/inf/wpaper/2012.8.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Testing the UIP Theory in the CEE Countries. Evidence from the Garch Models

Author

Listed:
  • Cristina Maria Triandafil

    (The University Of Finance and Banking and National Institute of Economic Research of the Romanian Academy)

  • Christian Richter

    (Royal Docks Business School, University of East London)

Abstract
This paper tests the Uncovered Interest Parity theorem at the level of the CEE countries using three types of GARCH models (EGARCH, TGARCH and CGARCH models). In general the empirical results highlight that UIP is not confirmed. We find that a possible explanation for this might consist of an indiscriminate risk premium that results in a violation of the underlying assumptions of UIP. The analysis brings in a series of risk premiums which reflect the build up of various risk layers encompassed in the dynamics of macro-economic fundamentals and macro-financial variables. Apart from revealing those risk layers which trigger macroeconomic volatility, the research sheds light on the countries’ limited capacity to achieve nominal and real convergence in the not too distant future.

Suggested Citation

  • Cristina Maria Triandafil & Christian Richter, 2012. "Testing the UIP Theory in the CEE Countries. Evidence from the Garch Models," Working Papers 2012.8, International Network for Economic Research - INFER.
    • Handle: RePEc:inf:wpaper:2012.8
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://infer-research.eu/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/u9ypvvp063cjf9700uw9y8eup7utiak01467808184.pdf
    File Function: First version, 2012
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Juan Carlos Cuestas & Fabio Filipozzi & Karsten Staehr, 2017. "Uncovered interest parity in Central and Eastern Europe: Expectations and structural breaks," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 25(4), pages 695-710, September.
    2. Dąbrowski, Marek A. & Janus, Jakub, 2021. "Does the interest parity puzzle hold for Central and Eastern European economies?," MPRA Paper 107558, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Marek A. Dąbrowski & Jakub Janus, 2024. "Does the Interest Parity Puzzle Hold for Central and Eastern European Economies?," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 35(3), pages 421-456, July.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:inf:wpaper:2012.8. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Pedro Cerqueira (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/inferea.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.