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Cointegrated TFP Processes and International Business Cycles

Author

Listed:
  • Vicente Tuesta
  • Juan F. Rubio-Ramirez
  • Mr. Pau Rabanal
Abstract
A puzzle in international macroeconomics is that observed real exchange rates are highly volatile. Standard international real business cycle (IRBC) models cannot reproduce this fact. We show that TFP processes for the U.S. and the "rest of the world," is characterized by a vector error correction (VECM) and that adding cointegrated technology shocks to the standard IRBC model helps explaining the observed high real exchange rate volatility. Also we show that the observed increase of the real exchange rate volatility with respect to output in the last 20 year can be explained by changes in the parameter of the VECM.

Suggested Citation

  • Vicente Tuesta & Juan F. Rubio-Ramirez & Mr. Pau Rabanal, 2009. "Cointegrated TFP Processes and International Business Cycles," IMF Working Papers 2009/212, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2009/212
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    WP; exchange rate; standard deviation;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
    • F33 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

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