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Inflation Inertia and Monetary Policy Shocks

Author

Listed:
  • Julia Lendvai

    (Department of Economics,University of Namur)

Abstract
This paper compares the New Keynesian Phillips curve with the hybrid Phillips curve for its ability to reproduce observed in.ation and output dynamics. The analysis is based on impulse responses of a miniature general equilibrium model incorporating price and in.ation inertia as the only friction. Impulse responses to a monetary policy shock for di.erent intesities of inertia are compared with empirical impulse responses of the US economy estimated using a structural VAR. We .nd that the NKPC does a reasonably good job of reproducing the dynamic link between current output and future inflation. It fails however to reproduce the co-movement of current output with current and lagged in.ation and it generates too low degrees of inflation and output persistence. The assumption of inflation inertia improves a model?s performance of reproducing inflation persistence and the dynamic inflation-output link. A significant improvement requires high intensity of inflation inertia. The fit of observed output persistence can not be improved.

Suggested Citation

  • Julia Lendvai, 2004. "Inflation Inertia and Monetary Policy Shocks," CERS-IE WORKING PAPERS 0417, Institute of Economics, Centre for Economic and Regional Studies.
    • Handle: RePEc:has:discpr:0417
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    File URL: http://www.econ.core.hu/doc/dp/dp/mtdp0417.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    2. Temitope Leshoro & Umakrishnan Kollamparambil, 2016. "Inflation Or Output Targeting? Monetary Policy Appropriateness In South Africa," PSL Quarterly Review, Economia civile, vol. 69(276), pages 77-104.
    3. Carlos Chaverri Morales & Carlos Torres Gutiérrez, 2013. "Inflationary Dynamics and Persistence in Costa Rica: Period 1953-2009," Investigación Conjunta-Joint Research, in: Laura Inés D'Amato & Enrique López Enciso & María Teresa Ramírez Giraldo (ed.), Inflationary Dynamics, Persistence, and Prices and Wages Formation, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 3, pages 37-79, Centro de Estudios Monetarios Latinoamericanos, CEMLA.
    4. Carlos Chaverri Morales & Carlos Torres Gutiérrez, 2013. "Dinámica inflacionaria y persistencia en Costa Rica: periodo 1953-2009," Investigación Conjunta-Joint Research, in: Laura Inés D'Amato & Enrique López Enciso & María Teresa Ramírez Giraldo (ed.), Dinámica inflacionaria, persistencia y formación de precios y salarios, edition 1, chapter 3, pages 43-90, Centro de Estudios Monetarios Latinoamericanos, CEMLA.
    5. Spulbăr Cristi & Niţoi Mihai & STANCIU Cristian, 2012. "Inflation Inertia and Inflation Persistence in Romania Using a DSGE Approach," Scientific Annals of Economics and Business, Sciendo, vol. 59(1), pages 115-124, July.
    6. Gabor Virag, 2006. "Outside offers and bidding costs," CERS-IE WORKING PAPERS 0610, Institute of Economics, Centre for Economic and Regional Studies, revised 30 Aug 2006.

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