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How does investor sentiment affect stock market crises? Evidence from panel data

Author

Listed:
  • M. Zouaoui

    (CERAG - Centre d'études et de recherches appliquées à la gestion - UPMF - Université Pierre Mendès France - Grenoble 2 - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

  • G. Nouyrigat

    (CERAG - Centre d'études et de recherches appliquées à la gestion - UPMF - Université Pierre Mendès France - Grenoble 2 - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

  • F. Beer

    (CERAG - Centre d'études et de recherches appliquées à la gestion - UPMF - Université Pierre Mendès France - Grenoble 2 - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

Abstract
We test the impact of investor sentiment on a panel of international stock markets. Specifically, we examine the influence of investor sentiment on the probability of stock market crises. We find that investor sentiment increases the probability of occurrence of stock market crises within a one-year horizon. The impact of investor sentiment on stock markets is more pronounced in countries that are culturally more prone to herd-like behavior and overreaction or in countries with low institutional involvement. Results also suggest that investors' sentiment is not a reliable predictor of stock market reversal points

Suggested Citation

  • M. Zouaoui & G. Nouyrigat & F. Beer, 2010. "How does investor sentiment affect stock market crises? Evidence from panel data," Post-Print halshs-00534754, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:halshs-00534754
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://shs.hal.science/halshs-00534754
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Jaqueline Terra Moura Marins, 2020. "Option-Based Risk Aversion Indicators for Predicting Currency Crises in Emerging Markets," Working Papers Series 515, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    2. Mouna Abdelhédi-Zouch & Mouna Boujelbène Abbes & Younès Boujelbène, 2015. "Volatility Spillover And Investor Sentiment: Subprime Crisis," Asian Academy of Management Journal of Accounting and Finance (AAMJAF), Penerbit Universiti Sains Malaysia, vol. 11(2), pages 83-101.

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    Investor sentiment; stock market crises; reversal points;
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