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Multiple curve Lévy forward price model allowing for negative interest rates

Author

Listed:
  • Ernst Eberlein
  • Christoph Gerhart
  • Zorana Grbac

    (UPCité - Université Paris Cité, LPSM (UMR_8001) - Laboratoire de Probabilités, Statistique et Modélisation - SU - Sorbonne Université - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - UPCité - Université Paris Cité)

Abstract
In this paper we develop a framework for discretely compounding interest rates which is based on the forward price process approach. This approach has a number of advantages, in particular in the current market environment. Compared to the classical as well as the Lévy Libor market model, it allows in a natural way for negative interest rates and has superb calibration properties even in the presence of extremely low rates. Moreover, the measure changes along the tenor structure are simplified significantly. These properties make it an excellent base for a post-crisis multiple curve setup. Two variants for multiple curve constructions based on the multiplicative spreads are discussed. Time-inhomogeneous Lévy processes are used as driving processes. An explicit formula for the valuation of caps is derived using Fourier transform techniques. Relying on the valuation formula, we calibrate the two model variants to market data.

Suggested Citation

  • Ernst Eberlein & Christoph Gerhart & Zorana Grbac, 2019. "Multiple curve Lévy forward price model allowing for negative interest rates," Post-Print hal-03898912, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-03898912
    DOI: 10.1111/mafi.12210
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal.science/hal-03898912v1
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ernst Eberlein & Sebastian Raible, 1999. "Term Structure Models Driven by General Lévy Processes," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 9(1), pages 31-53, January.
    2. Zorana Grbac & Antonis Papapantoleon & John Schoenmakers & David Skovmand, 2014. "Affine LIBOR models with multiple curves: theory, examples and calibration," Papers 1405.2450, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2015.
    3. Masaaki Kijima & Keiichi Tanaka & Tony Wong, 2009. "A multi-quality model of interest rates," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 9(2), pages 133-145.
    4. Andrea Macrina & Obeid Mahomed, 2018. "Consistent Valuation Across Curves Using Pricing Kernels," Papers 1801.04994, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2018.
    5. Christa Cuchiero & Claudio Fontana & Alessandro Gnoatto, 2016. "A general HJM framework for multiple yield curve modelling," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 20(2), pages 267-320, April.
    6. Christa Cuchiero & Claudio Fontana & Alessandro Gnoatto, 2019. "Affine multiple yield curve models," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 29(2), pages 568-611, April.
    7. Ernst Eberlein & Kathrin Glau & Antonis Papapantoleon, 2010. "Analysis of Fourier Transform Valuation Formulas and Applications," Applied Mathematical Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(3), pages 211-240.
    8. Ernst Eberlein & Jean Jacod & Sebastian Raible, 2005. "Lévy term structure models: No-arbitrage and completeness," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 9(1), pages 67-88, January.
    9. Ernst Eberlein & Christoph Gerhart, 2018. "A multiple-curve Lévy forward rate model in a two-price economy," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(4), pages 537-561, April.
    10. Ernst Eberlein & Fehmi Özkan, 2005. "The Lévy LIBOR model," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 9(3), pages 327-348, July.
    11. Andrea Macrina & Obeid Mahomed, 2018. "Consistent Valuation Across Curves Using Pricing Kernels," Risks, MDPI, vol. 6(1), pages 1-39, March.
    12. The Anh Nguyen & Frank Thomas Seifried, 2015. "The Multi-Curve Potential Model," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 18(07), pages 1-32, November.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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