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Tobin tax and trading volume tightening: a reassessment

Author

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  • Olivier Damette

    (BETA - Bureau d'Économie Théorique et Appliquée - INRA - Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique - UNISTRA - Université de Strasbourg - UL - Université de Lorraine - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

  • Stéphane Goutte

    (LED - Laboratoire d'Economie Dionysien - UP8 - Université Paris 8 Vincennes-Saint-Denis, EDC - EDC Paris Business School)

Abstract
This article extends the previous literature on the Tobin tax. We find that very roughly, a doubling in transaction costs would reduce trading volume by 25% to 40% in the Forex. Most importantly, this article is the first contribution to specify the trading volume of the Forex through different (low and high volatility) regimes. Our results show evidence of nonlinear patterns for trading volumes and transaction costs on the Forex. Thus, the Tobin tax would not have a monotonic impact on trading activity across market conditions. The change in elasticity between low and high volatility regimes would be slight but significantly different. We may suggest that the high-variance regime might be the fundamentalist regime and the low-variance regime might be the chartist regime. It is a first step towards understanding which categories of agents would react to the introduction of a tax. Our results seem consistent with Tobin's underlying thinking; since a tax would penalize chartists more than fundamentalists, it could reduce exchange rate volatility.

Suggested Citation

  • Olivier Damette & Stéphane Goutte, 2015. "Tobin tax and trading volume tightening: a reassessment," Post-Print hal-01203841, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-01203841
    DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1011325
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal.science/hal-01203841v2
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    References listed on IDEAS

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