[go: up one dir, main page]
IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/hal/cesptp/halshs-00703466.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

The winner's curse: why is the cost of sports mega-events so often underestimated?

Author

Listed:
  • Wladimir Andreff

    (CES - Centre d'économie de la Sorbonne - UP1 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

Abstract
Auction theory, when the bidders do not know the value of what is auctionned, is used to explain how the Olympic Games are allocated to competing bidding cities. It is a centralized allocation process with asymmetric information which usually comes out with a winner's curse. Various indicators of the latter are proposed and exemplified, the major one being the systematic ex ante underestimation of the Olympics costs.

Suggested Citation

  • Wladimir Andreff, 2012. "The winner's curse: why is the cost of sports mega-events so often underestimated?," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) halshs-00703466, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:cesptp:halshs-00703466
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://shs.hal.science/halshs-00703466
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://shs.hal.science/halshs-00703466/document
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Bruce K. Johnson & Peter A. Groothuis & John C. Whitehead, 2000. "“The Value of Public Goods Generated by a Major League Sports Team: The CVM Approach,”," Working Papers 0014, East Carolina University, Department of Economics.
    2. Wladimir Andreff, 2003. "Privatisation and Structural Change in Transition Economies," Post-Print halshs-00275935, HAL.
    3. Robert A. Baade & Victor A. Matheson, 2001. "Home Run or Wild Pitch?," Journal of Sports Economics, , vol. 2(4), pages 307-327, November.
    4. Rock, Kevin, 1986. "Why new issues are underpriced," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 15(1-2), pages 187-212.
    5. repec:bla:jfinan:v:44:y:1989:i:1:p:59-75 is not listed on IDEAS
    6. Bruce K. Johnson & Peter A. Groothuis & John C. Whitehead, 2001. "The Value of Public Goods Generated by a Major League Sports Team," Journal of Sports Economics, , vol. 2(1), pages 6-21, February.
    7. Harry Walton & Alberto Longo & Peter Dawson, 2008. "A Contingent Valuation of the 2012 London Olympic Games," Journal of Sports Economics, , vol. 9(3), pages 304-317, June.
    8. Andrew Zimbalist, 2011. "economic impact of the Olympic Games," The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics,, Palgrave Macmillan.
    9. Arne Feddersen & Wolfgang Maennig & Philipp Zimmermann, 2008. "The empirics of key factors in the success of bids for olympic games," Revue d'économie politique, Dalloz, vol. 118(2), pages 171-187.
    10. Levis, Mario, 1990. "The Winner's Curse Problem, Interest Costs and the Underpricing of Initial Public Offerings," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 100(399), pages 76-89, March.
    11. Egon Neuberger, 1959. "The Yugoslav Investment Auctions," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 73(1), pages 88-115.
    12. Wladimir Andreff, 2003. "Twenty Lessons from the Experience of Privatisation in Transition Economies," Post-Print halshs-00275968, HAL.
    13. E. Malinvaud, 1967. "Decentralized Procedures for Planning," International Economic Association Series, in: E. Malinvaud & M. O. L. Bacharach (ed.), Activity Analysis in the Theory of Growth and Planning, chapter 0, pages 170-208, Palgrave Macmillan.
    14. Oskar Lange, 1936. "On the Economic Theory of Socialism," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 4(1), pages 53-71.
    15. George A. Akerlof, 1970. "The Market for "Lemons": Quality Uncertainty and the Market Mechanism," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 84(3), pages 488-500.
    16. Wolfgang Maennig, 2002. "On the Economics of Doping and Corruption in International Sports," Journal of Sports Economics, , vol. 3(1), pages 61-89, February.
    17. Wladimir Andreff, 2000. "Privatisation and Corporate Governance in Transition Countries: Beyond the Principal-Agent Model," Post-Print halshs-00275972, HAL.
    18. Swantje Allmers & Wolfgang Maennig, 2008. "South Africa 2010: Economic Scope and Limits," Working Papers 021, Chair for Economic Policy, University of Hamburg.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Blog mentions

    As found by EconAcademics.org, the blog aggregator for Economics research:
    1. [経済]オリンピック招致合戦なんかいらない
      by himaginary in himaginaryの日記 on 2012-07-25 12:00:00
    2. Why are Olympic Games always more expensive than planned?
      by Economic Logician in Economic Logic on 2012-07-05 18:36:00

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Massiani, Jérôme, 2018. "Assessing the economic impact of mega events using Computable General Equilibrium models: Promises and compromises," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 1-9.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Wladimir Andreff, 2012. "The winner's curse: why is the cost of sports mega-events so often underestimated?," Post-Print halshs-00703466, HAL.
    2. Wladimir Andreff, 2012. "The Winner’s Curse: Why is the Cost of Mega Sporting Events so Often Underestimated?," Chapters, in: Wolfgang Maennig & Andrew Zimbalist (ed.), International Handbook on the Economics of Mega Sporting Events, chapter 4, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    3. Robert Baumann & Victor Matheson & Chihiro Muroi, 2008. "Bowling in Hawaii: Examining the Effectiveness of Sports-Based Tourism Strategies," Working Papers 0808, College of the Holy Cross, Department of Economics.
    4. Roberto Gásquez & Vicente Royuela, 2014. "Is Football an Indicator of Development at the International Level?," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 117(3), pages 827-848, July.
    5. Gary Charness & Dan Levin, 2009. "The Origin of the Winner's Curse: A Laboratory Study," American Economic Journal: Microeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 1(1), pages 207-236, February.
    6. J. Lucy Lee & Jeffrey D. James, 2015. "Assessing sport brand value through use of the contingent valuation method," Journal of Economic and Financial Studies (JEFS), LAR Center Press, vol. 3(6), pages 33-44, December.
    7. Dennis Coates & Victor Matheson, 2011. "Mega-events and housing costs: raising the rent while raising the roof?," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 46(1), pages 119-137, February.
    8. Barajas, Ángel & Salgado, Jesyca & Sánchez, Patricio, 2012. "Problemática de los estudios de impacto económico de eventos deportivos /Problems to face in the Economic Impact of Sports Events Studies," Estudios de Economia Aplicada, Estudios de Economia Aplicada, vol. 30, pages 441-462, Agosto.
    9. O. Ashton Morgan & John C. Whitehead, 2018. "Willingness to Pay for Soccer Player Development in the United States," Journal of Sports Economics, , vol. 19(2), pages 279-296, February.
    10. Robert W. Baumann & Victor A. Matheson & Chihiro Muroi, 2009. "Bowling in Hawaii," Journal of Sports Economics, , vol. 10(1), pages 107-123, February.
    11. Bhattacharya, Arnab, 2017. "Innovations in new venture financing: Evidence from Indian SME IPOs," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 72-88.
    12. Andreff, Wladimir, 2002. "The new multinational corporations from transition countries," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 26(4), pages 371-379, December.
    13. Pamela Wicker & John C. Whitehead & Bruce K. Johnson & Daniel S. Mason, 2016. "Willingness-To-Pay For Sporting Success Of Football Bundesliga Teams," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 34(3), pages 446-462, July.
    14. Pasquale Lucio Scandizzo & Maria Rita Pierleoni, 2018. "Assessing The Olympic Games: The Economic Impact And Beyond," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 32(3), pages 649-682, July.
    15. Wicker, Pamela & Kiefer, Stephanie & Dilger, Alexander, 2013. "The value of sporting success to Germans: Comparing the 2012 UEFA Championships with the 2012 Olympics," Discussion Papers of the Institute for Organisational Economics 11/2013, University of Münster, Institute for Organisational Economics.
    16. Ellen Garbarino & Robert Slonim, 2007. "Preferences and decision errors in the winner’s curse," Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, Springer, vol. 34(3), pages 241-257, June.
    17. Peter A. Groothuis & Kurt W. Rotthoff, 2016. "The Economic Impact and Civic Pride Effects of Sports Teams and Mega-Events: Do The Public and the Professionals Agree?," Economic Affairs, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(1), pages 21-32, February.
    18. Bruce K. Johnson & John C. Whitehead & Daniel S. Mason & Gordon J. Walker, 2007. "Willingness To Pay For Amateur Sport And Recreation Programs," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 25(4), pages 553-564, October.
    19. Brad R. Humphreys & Bruce K. Johnson & Daniel S. Mason & John C. Whitehead, 2011. "Estimating the Value of Medal Success at the 2010 Winter Olympic Games," Working Papers 11-20, Department of Economics, Appalachian State University.
    20. Athreya, Kartik B., 2014. "Big Ideas in Macroeconomics: A Nontechnical View," MIT Press Books, The MIT Press, edition 1, volume 1, number 0262019736, April.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    auctions; bids; winner's curse; asymmetric information; cost underestimation; mega sporting events; Olympics;
    All these keywords.

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:hal:cesptp:halshs-00703466. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: CCSD (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.