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Terrorism and the Regional and Religious Risk Perception of Foreigners: The Case of German Tourists

Author

Listed:
  • Gabriel Ahlfeldt

    (Chair for Economic Policy, University of Hamburg)

  • Bastian Franke
  • Wolfgang Maennig

    (Chair for Economic Policy, University of Hamburg)

Abstract
This paper analyses how German tourists react to unanticipated shocks that alter their risk perception of selected tourism destinations. Using a difference-in-difference strategy which flexibly accounts for macroeconomic conditions and also addresses potential problems of serial correlation, we isolate significant effects of the 9/11 (2001) terrorist attacks, as well as for the attacks in Egypt (1997), Tunisia (2002), Morocco (2003) and Indonesia (2003). These terror attacks impacted especially on Islamic countries all over the world, indicating a transmission mechanism driven by ethnic and religious proximity. At the same time, tourism into Islamic countries was temporarily substituted by tourism to (south) European countries.

Suggested Citation

  • Gabriel Ahlfeldt & Bastian Franke & Wolfgang Maennig, 2009. "Terrorism and the Regional and Religious Risk Perception of Foreigners: The Case of German Tourists," Working Papers 024, Chair for Economic Policy, University of Hamburg.
    • Handle: RePEc:hce:wpaper:024
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.hced.uni-hamburg.de/WorkingPapers/024.pdf
    File Function: First version, 2009
    Download Restriction: no
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Arne Feddersen & Wolfgang Maennig, 2005. "Trends in Competitive Balance: Is there Evidence for Growing Imbalance in Professional Sport Leagues?," Working Papers 0012005, Chair for Economic Policy, University of Hamburg.
    2. Wolfgang Maennig & Florian Schwarthoff, 2006. "Stadium Architecture and regional economic development: International experience and the plans of Durban," Working Papers 200604, Chair for Economic Policy, University of Hamburg.
    3. Arne Feddersen, 2006. "Economic Consequences of the UEFA Champions League for National Championships - The Case of Germany," Working Papers 0012006, Chair for Economic Policy, University of Hamburg.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    Cited by:

    1. Fischer, Justina AV & Sousa-Poza, Alfonso, 2010. "The impact of institutions on firms’ rejuvenation policies: Early retirement with severance pay versus simple lay-off. A Cross-European Analysis," MPRA Paper 20343, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Falch, Torberg & Fischer, Justina A.V., 2012. "Public sector decentralization and school performance: International evidence," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 114(3), pages 276-279.
    3. Manuela, Wilfred S. & de Vera, Manuel J., 2015. "The impact of government failure on tourism in the Philippines," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 11-22.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Terrorism; 9/11; Islamic Countries; Tourism Demand;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • R19 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Other
    • D89 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Other

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