[go: up one dir, main page]
IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/fip/fedcwp/8404.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Dollar intervention and the deutschemark-dollar exchange rate: a daily time-series model

Author

Listed:
  • Owen F. Humpage
Abstract
This paper develops a simultaneous time-series model to investigate the daily interactions between official exchange-market intervention and movements in the deutschemark-dollar exchange rate, from November 2, 1978, to October 31, 1979. the model is constructed using both morning-opening and afternoon-closing exchange-rate quotes, Using these two quotes, and making assumptions about the timing of intervention relative to the exchange-rate quotes, enables us to measure the causal relationships among contemporaneous variables, the results suggest that, over the period investigated, the Federal Reserve responded to exchange-rate movements in a manner consistent with a leaning-against-the-wind strategy, but that this intervention tended to accentuate slightly movements in the rate. This result seems to support claims that traders recognized intervention and traded against it.

Suggested Citation

  • Owen F. Humpage, 1984. "Dollar intervention and the deutschemark-dollar exchange rate: a daily time-series model," Working Papers (Old Series) 8404, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
    • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedcwp:8404
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://fraser.stlouisfed.org/scribd/?item_id=494450&filepath=/docs/historical/frbclev/wp/frbclv_wp1984-04.pdf#scribd-open
    File Function: Full text
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Muhammad Kashif Ali Shah & Zulfiqar Hyder & Muhammad Khalid Pervaiz, 2009. "Central bank intervention and exchange rate volatility in Pakistan: an analysis using GARCH-X model," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(18), pages 1497-1508.
    2. Humpage, Owen F. & Osterberg, William P., 1992. "Intervention and the foreign exchange risk premium: An empirical investigation of daily effects," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 3(1), pages 23-50.
    3. Christopher J. Neely, 2005. "An analysis of recent studies of the effect of foreign exchange intervention," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, vol. 87(Nov), pages 685-718.
    4. Pasquariello, Paolo, 2007. "Informative trading or just costly noise? An analysis of Central Bank interventions," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 10(2), pages 107-143, May.
    5. Owen F. Humpage, 1991. "Central-bank intervention: recent literature, continuing controversy," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, vol. 27(Q II), pages 12-26.
    6. Robert Andrew & John Broadbent, 1994. "Reserve Bank Operations in the Foreign Exchange Market: Effectiveness and Profitability," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp9406, Reserve Bank of Australia.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Foreign exchange administration;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:fip:fedcwp:8404. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: 4D Library (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/frbclus.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.