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An Experimental Analysis of the Brazilian Personal Credit Market

Author

Listed:
  • Cláudio Ribeiro de Lucinda
  • Rodrigo Luiz Vieira
Abstract
Este artigo tem por objetivo investigar algumas questões importantes sobre a demanda por crédito pessoal em um grupo que não é muito estudado na literatura acadêmica: a classe média em um grande mercado emergente, o Brasil. Para isto, foi usada uma base de dados de um experimento feito por um grande emissor de cartões de crédito, em que ofertas com diferentes taxas de juros foram enviadas aleatoriamente para clientes em dois grupos diferentes – um deles de renda mediana de USD 20 mil, e outro de USD 8 mil. Foi investigada a sensibilidade a juros da demanda por crédito, tanto na margem extensiva e intensiva, assim como a existência de problemas de seleção adversa e risco moral. Em termos dos resultados, a demanda é mais sensível a taxa de juros para o grupo de renda mais alta, os dois grupos apresentam evidências de seleção adversa em observáveis e os problemas de risco moral podem ser mais importantes para o grupo de renda mais baixa.

Suggested Citation

  • Cláudio Ribeiro de Lucinda & Rodrigo Luiz Vieira, 2011. "An Experimental Analysis of the Brazilian Personal Credit Market," Working Papers 10-2011, Universidade de São Paulo, Faculdade de Economia, Administração e Contabilidade de Ribeirão Preto.
  • Handle: RePEc:fea:wpaper:10-2011
    as

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    File URL: ftp://cpq.fearp.usp.br:2300/textos_discussao/eco/2011/TD-E10-2011.pdf
    File Function: First version, 2011
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. David B. Gross & Nicholas S. Souleles, 2002. "Do Liquidity Constraints and Interest Rates Matter for Consumer Behavior? Evidence from Credit Card Data," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 117(1), pages 149-185.
    2. Sule Alan & Gyongyi Loranth, 2013. "Subprime Consumer Credit Demand: Evidence from a Lender's Pricing Experiment," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 26(9), pages 2353-2374.
    3. Dean Karlan & Jonathan Zinman, 2009. "Observing Unobservables: Identifying Information Asymmetries With a Consumer Credit Field Experiment," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 77(6), pages 1993-2008, November.
    4. David B. Gross & Nicholas S. Souleles, 2000. "Consumer Response to Changes in Credit Supply: Evidence from Credit Card Data," Center for Financial Institutions Working Papers 00-04, Wharton School Center for Financial Institutions, University of Pennsylvania.
    5. Dehejia, Rajeev & Montgomery, Heather & Morduch, Jonathan, 2012. "Do interest rates matter? Credit demand in the Dhaka slums," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 97(2), pages 437-449.
    6. Rob Alessie & Stefan Hochguertel & Guglielmo Weber, 2005. "Consumer Credit: Evidence From Italian Micro Data," Journal of the European Economic Association, MIT Press, vol. 3(1), pages 144-178, March.
    7. Xavier Giné & Dean Karlan, 2009. "Group versus Individual Liability: Long Term Evidence from Philippine Microcredit Lending Groups," Working Papers 970, Economic Growth Center, Yale University.
    8. Dean Karlan & Jonathan Zinman, 2005. "Elasticities of Demand for Consumer Credit," Working Papers 926, Economic Growth Center, Yale University.
    9. Dean S. Karlan & Jonathan Zinman, 2008. "Credit Elasticities in Less-Developed Economies: Implications for Microfinance," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 98(3), pages 1040-1068, June.
    10. George A. Akerlof, 1970. "The Market for "Lemons": Quality Uncertainty and the Market Mechanism," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 84(3), pages 488-500.
    11. Salazar, Gabriela L. & Turvey, Calum G. & Bogan, Vicki & Cubero, Lourdes, 2010. "How high is too high? Soaring Interest Rates and the Elasticity of Demand for Microcredit," 2010 Annual Meeting, July 25-27, 2010, Denver, Colorado 61907, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Credit Demand; Adverse Selection; Moral Hazard;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D12 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior - - - Consumer Economics: Empirical Analysis
    • D14 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior - - - Household Saving; Personal Finance

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