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Moving to Goods and Services Tax in India : Impact on India’s Growth and International Trade

Author

Listed:
  • Rajesh Chadha

    (National Council for Applied Economic Research)

Abstract
The differential multiple tax regime across sectors of production leads to distortions in allocation of resources thus introducing inefficiencies in the sectors of domestic production. With regard to Indias exports, this leads to lack of international competitiveness of the sectors which would have been relatively efficient under distortion-free indirect tax regime. Further, there is lack of full offsets of taxes loaded on to the fob export prices. Efficient allocation of productive resources and providing full tax offsets is expected to result in gains for GDP, returns to the factors of production and exports of the economy. Implementation of a comprehensive goods and services tax (GST) is expected, ceteris paribus, to provide gains in Indias GDP somewhere within a range of 0.9 to 1.7 per cent. It is expected that the real returns to the factors of production would go up. Our results show gains in returns to land ranging between 0.42 and 0.82 per cent. Wage rate gains vary between 0.68 and 1.33 per cent. Returns to capital would gain somewhere between 0.37 and 0.74 per cent. In sum, implementation of a comprehensive GST in India is expected to lead to efficient allocation of factors of production thus leading to gains in GDP and exports. This would translate into enhanced economic welfare and higher returns to the factors of production, viz. land, labour and capital.

Suggested Citation

  • Rajesh Chadha, 2009. "Moving to Goods and Services Tax in India : Impact on India’s Growth and International Trade," Trade Working Papers 23071, East Asian Bureau of Economic Research.
    • Handle: RePEc:eab:tradew:23071
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Saeed Solaymani, 2020. "Assessing the economic and social impacts of fiscal policies," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 47(3), pages 671-694, March.
    2. R, Revathi & L. M., Madhushree & Aithal, Sreeramana, 2019. "Review on Global Implications of Goods and Service Tax and its Indian Scenario," MPRA Paper 95152, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Manoranjan Kumar & Akhilesh Barve & Devendra K. Yadav, 2019. "Analysis of barriers in implementation of Goods and Service Tax (GST) in India using interpretive structural modelling (ISM) approach," Journal of Revenue and Pricing Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 18(5), pages 355-366, October.
    4. Suresh Narayanan, 2014. "The Impact Of The Goods And Services Tax (Gst) In Malaysia: Lessons From Experiences Elsewhere (A Note)," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 59(02), pages 1-15.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    tax; India; goods and services tax; economic growth; factors of production;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • H21 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - Efficiency; Optimal Taxation

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