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Size, openness, and macroeconomic interdependence

Author

Listed:
  • Straub, Roland
  • Chudik, Alexander
Abstract
The curse of dimensionality, a problem associated with analyzing the interaction of a relatively large number of endogenous macroeconomic variables, is a prevailing issue in the open economy macro literature. The most common practise to mitigate this problem is to apply the so-called Small Open Economy Framework (SOEF). In this paper, we aim to review under which conditions the SOEF is a justifiable approximation and how severe the consequences of violation of key conditions might be. Thereby, we use a multicountry general equilibrium model as a laboratory. First, we derive the conditions that ensure the existence of the equilibrium and study the properties of the equilibrium using large N asymptotics. Second, we show that the SOEF is a valid approximation only for economies (i) that have a diversified foreign trade structure and if (ii) there is no globally dominant economy in the system. Third, we illustrate that macroeconomic interdependence is primarily related to the degree of trade diversification, and not to the extent of trade openness. Furthermore, we provide some evidence on the pattern of global macroeconomic interdependence by calculating probability impulse response functions in our calibrated multicountry model using data for 153 economies. JEL Classification: F41

Suggested Citation

  • Straub, Roland & Chudik, Alexander, 2010. "Size, openness, and macroeconomic interdependence," Working Paper Series 1172, European Central Bank.
    • Handle: RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:20101172
    Note: 1065946
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    Cited by:

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    3. Georgiadis, Georgios, 2015. "To bi, or not to bi? Differences in spillover estimates from bilateral and multilateral multi-country models," Working Paper Series 1868, European Central Bank.
    4. Razafindrabe, Tovonony M., 2016. "A multi-country DSGE model with incomplete exchange rate pass-through: An application for the Euro-area," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 52(PA), pages 78-100.
    5. Zachary Knepper & Christopher Yencha, 2023. "Public skate-parks and community well-being: A spatial econometric study," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 43(2), pages 868-881.
    6. Michaelides, Panayotis G. & Tsionas, Efthymios G. & Konstantakis, Konstantinos N., 2018. "Debt Crisis in Europe (2001-2015): A Network General Equilibrium GVAR approach," MPRA Paper 89998, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Konstantakis, Konstantinos N. & Michaelides, Panayotis G. & Tsionas, Efthymios G. & Minou, Chrysanthi, 2015. "System estimation of GVAR with two dominants and network theory: Evidence for BRICs," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 604-616.
    8. Zhang, Wen, 2022. "China’s government spending and global inflation dynamics: The role of the oil price channel," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
    9. Montinari, Letizia & Stracca, Livio, 2016. "Trade, finance or policies: What drives the cross-border spill-over of business cycles?," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 131-148.
    10. Tsionas, Efthymios G. & Konstantakis, Konstantinos N. & Michaelides, Panayotis G., 2016. "Bayesian GVAR with k-endogenous dominants & input–output weights: Financial and trade channels in crisis transmission for BRICs," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 1-26.
    11. Alexander Chudik, 2014. "Toward a Better Understanding of Macroeconomic Interdependence," Annual Report, Globalization and Monetary Policy Institute, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, pages 16-21.
    12. Georgescu Vladimir, 2014. "Patterns in Trade in Selected European Union Countries," Ovidius University Annals, Economic Sciences Series, Ovidius University of Constantza, Faculty of Economic Sciences, vol. 0(1), pages 125-130, May.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    DSGE models; factor models; Open Economy Macroeconomics; Weak and Strong Cross Section Dependence;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

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