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An Autoregressive Conditional Binomial Option Pricing Model

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  • Jean -Luc Prigent

    (Crest)

  • Olivier Renault

    (Crest)

  • Olivier Scaillet

    (Crest)

Abstract
This paper offers an option pricing framework grounded in econometric microstructure modelling. We consider a model where stock price dynamics follow a pure jump process with constant jump size similar to a binomial setting with random time steps. Jump arrival times are described as an Autoregressive Conditional Duration (ACD) process while conditional probabilities of up-moves and down-moves are given by the logistic transformation of an autoregressive prices. We derive no-arbitrage pricing formulae under the minimal martingale measure and illustrate the use of our Autoregressive Conditional Binomial (ACB) option pricing model on intraday IBM stock date.
(This abstract was borrowed from another version of this item.)

Suggested Citation

  • Jean -Luc Prigent & Olivier Renault & Olivier Scaillet, 1999. "An Autoregressive Conditional Binomial Option Pricing Model," Working Papers 99-65, Center for Research in Economics and Statistics.
    • Handle: RePEc:crs:wpaper:99-65
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. J.L. Prigent & O. Scaillet, 2000. "Weak Convergence of Hedging Strategies of Contingent Claims," THEMA Working Papers 2000-50, THEMA (THéorie Economique, Modélisation et Applications), Université de Cergy-Pontoise.
    2. Bauwens, Luc & Giot, Pierre & Grammig, Joachim & Veredas, David, 2004. "A comparison of financial duration models via density forecasts," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 20(4), pages 589-609.
    3. Fernandes, Marcelo & Grammig, Joachim, 2006. "A family of autoregressive conditional duration models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 130(1), pages 1-23, January.
    4. repec:bla:jecsur:v:22:y:2008:i:4:p:711-751 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. Fernandes, Marcelo & Grammig, Joachim, 2005. "Nonparametric specification tests for conditional duration models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 127(1), pages 35-68, July.
    6. GIOT, Pierre, 2000. "Intraday value-at-risk," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2000045, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
    7. Hujer, Reinhard & Vuletic, Sandra, 2007. "Econometric analysis of financial trade processes by discrete mixture duration models," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 31(2), pages 635-667, February.
    8. Pipat Wongsaart & Jiti Gao, 2011. "Nonparametric Kernel Testing in Semiparametric Autoregressive Conditional Duration Model," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 18/11, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
    9. Damiano Brigo & Francesco Rapisarda & Abir Sridi, 2013. "The arbitrage-free Multivariate Mixture Dynamics Model: Consistent single-assets and index volatility smiles," Papers 1302.7010, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2014.
    10. Prigent, Jean-Luc & Renault, Olivier & Scaillet, Olivier, 2004. "Option pricing with discrete rebalancing," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 11(1), pages 133-161, January.
    11. Pierre Giot, 2005. "Market risk models for intraday data," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(4), pages 309-324.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • C41 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Duration Analysis; Optimal Timing Strategies
    • D52 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium - - - Incomplete Markets
    • G13 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing

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